Extended Streamflow Prediction
Issued by NWS Arkansas-Red Basin RFC

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FGUS64 KTUA 061451
ESPTUA
                       National Weather Service

                  Arkansas Red River Forecast Center



 2016 Water Supply Forecast                     Issued as of May 6, 2016



                              Forecast Runoff                        Average

                                                                     Runoff

                                  Most      Reasonable   Reasonable    30YR

                                Probable     Maximum      Minimum   1981-2010

 Forecast            Forecast          %            %            %

   Point              Period    1000  30YR   1000  30YR   1000  30YR    1000

                          (*)    AF   AVG.    AF   AVG.    AF   AVG.     AF

                  *(1)Apr-Sep

                  *(2)Mar-Jun

UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN, COLORADO

ARKANSAS RIVER

  Granite, Co           001      195    99     250   127    140   71    197

  Salida, Co            001      290    98     375   127    215   73    295

  Canon City, Co        001      370    97     480   125    270   70    383

  Pueblo Abv, Co        001      430    95     630   138    270   59    455

GRAPE CREEK

  Westcliffe Nr, Co     001     17.8    91    26.0   133   11.2   57   19.6

CUCHARAS RIVER

  Boyd Ranch, La Veta   001     11.0    78    14.5   103    7.9   56   14.1

PURGATOIRE  RIVER

  Trinidad, Co          001     39.0    83    58.0   123   24.0   51     47

HUERFANO RIVER

  Redwing Nr, Co        001     13.0    86    17.7   116    9.1   60   15.2

CHALK CREEK

  Nathrop Nr, Co        001     24.0    92    38.0   146   13.2   51   26.0



LOWER ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN, COLORADO

**ARKANSAS RIVER

  Las Animas, Co        001      141    95     220   149     75   51    148

**PURGATOIRE RIVER

  Las Animas, Co        001     20.0    83    35.0   146    7.5   31   24.0



CANADIAN RIVER BASIN, NEW MEXICO

VERMEJO RIVER

  Dawson Nr, NM         002     4.30    55    7.20    92   2.50   32    7.8

EAGLE NEST RES

  Rsvr Inflow, NM       002     5.60    50   15.90   142   2.80   25   11.2

CIMARRON  RIVER

  Cimarron Nr, NM       002     7.70    49   23.00   146   2.80   18   15.8

PONIL CREEK

  Cimarron Nr, NM       002     4.40    61    6.30    88   3.20   44    7.2

RAYADO CREEK

  At Sauble Ranch, NM   002     4.10    59    5.00    71   3.40   49    7.0

*CONCHAS RES

  Rsvr Inflow, NM       002    17.00    57   45.00   150   3.90   13     30



 *Indicates the 30-year normal is based upon the 30-year median rather than the 30-year mean.

**Indicates the historical and forecast information is regulated or observed flow at the gage.



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