Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS53 KAPX 220846
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
446 AM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

...Shower chances through the weekend...

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure systems in the central and northern
plains will converge on Michigan through Sunday. This will keep
chances for showers in the forecast. The best chance today will be
this morning, south of M-72. Shower and thunderstorm chances will
be higher tonight, especially late, in northwest lower Michigan.
Showers and storms will continue to be likely Sunday in much of
northern lower Michigan.

East to southeast winds will be light today, with variable winds
Sunday as low pressure crosses the region. Humidity levels will
remain high.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-222200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
446 AM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
                    until 0700, then scattered showers until 1400,
                    then slight chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 0200. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2000. showers likely after
                    0200. Patchy fog after 0200 until 0400.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.43 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    until 1400. chance of showers after 1400.
                    Patchy fog after 0700 until 0900.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (440).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.73 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-222200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
446 AM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 1400, then slight chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (350).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2000. slight chance of showers
                    after 2300 until 0500. chance of showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms after 0500.
                    Patchy fog after 0300.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0700. Chance of showers until 0800. showers
                    likely after 0800. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1400.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........65-70 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (370).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.44 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-222200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
446 AM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 1100, then slight chance of
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1700.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (440).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 0200, then
                    chance of showers until 0500. showers likely
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms after 0500.
                    Patchy fog after 0200.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (70).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.16 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900. Showers likely until 0800. chance of
                    showers after 0800.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (700).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the west around
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.34 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-222200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
446 AM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 1400, then slight chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (320).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 0200. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2000 until 0200. chance of
                    showers after 0200. Patchy fog after 0200.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.11 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900. Chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (980).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.22 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-222200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
446 AM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 1400. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 0800 until 1400, then
                    slight chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (370).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 0200. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2000 until 0200. chance of
                    showers after 0200. Patchy fog after 0100.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (70).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900. Chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (740).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.26 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.