Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FNUS53 KAPX 211042
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
642 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

...PERIODS OF RAIN TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY INTO TONIGHT...
PRODUCING ANOTHER SURGE OF RAIN FOR MAINLY NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN.
WRAP AROUND MOISTURE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE DEPARTING LOW COMBINED
WITH A STRONG SHORT WAVE AND COLDER AIR WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE OF
RAIN OR SNOW ON TUESDAY. MAINLY PRECIPITATION-FREE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
MICHIGAN. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY ARE THE ONLY FIRE
WEATHER THREAT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.




MIZ016-017-019-021>023-212030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
642 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0900. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (430).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.26 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED SPRINKLES
                    AND FLURRIES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.11 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (820).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-212030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
642 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 44 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.26 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2400...THEN SCATTERED SPRINKLES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 12 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (860).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-212030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
642 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (460).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.23 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED SPRINKLES
                    AND FLURRIES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (980).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-212030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
642 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.17 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (110).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 24 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......22 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1070).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-212030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
642 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (440).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.26 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED SPRINKLES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.19 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1040).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

TL





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.