Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 300825
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
425 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...

COOL AIR FLOWING INTO THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE LIGHT
LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY...USHERING IN CHILLY TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND ALONG
WITH SOME RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION IS NOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIQUID...ALTHOUGH A FEW WET
SNOWFLAKES MAY MIX IN ON THE HILLS SATURDAY NIGHT. A WARMING TREND
IS THEN EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-302115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
425 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       50           36           47
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  7                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.02         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                  4 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           94           73
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4850         3450         4650
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 15        SW  7         S  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               72750        24150        32550
DISPERSION INDEX                   73           24           33
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-302115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
425 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       47           32           46
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  6                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9         W  5      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                               4
PRECIP BEGIN                                              11 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           94           68
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4900         2760         4750
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 15        SW  8         S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               73500        22080        47500
DISPERSION INDEX                   74           22           48
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-302115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
425 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           50
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       50           36           50
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  8                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9      LGT/VAR        SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                              12 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           89           62
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5220         3080         5010
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 17         W  5         S  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               88740        15400        40080
DISPERSION INDEX                   89           15           40
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-302115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
425 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       48           27           48
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  6      LGT/VAR        SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                               9 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           95           62
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5260         2470         4810
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 12         W  9        SE  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               63120        22230        43290
DISPERSION INDEX                   63           22           43
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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