Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 300844
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TODAY AND PROVIDE
ANOTHER MAINLY DRY DAY WITH JUST A SMALL CHANCE OF A SPOTTY SHOWER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN NY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
THEN CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF SUNDAY WITH
A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MONDAY WILL
BE DRY THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE TIME...ALTHOUGH A FEW WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH A WARM AND
HUMID AIRMASS STILL IN PLACE.

NYZ001-002-010-011-302115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       88           70           80
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 10                     SW 15
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 13         S 11        SW 17
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.21         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                                  5            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         2 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               47           92           67
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5370           70         3480
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 19         S 19        SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              102030         1330        87000
DISPERSION INDEX                  102            1           87
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-302115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       85           65           78
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 12                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 13         S 12         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.17         0.33
PRECIP DURATION                     1            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               53           98           67
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5640           70         4620
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17         S 21         W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               95880         1470        83160
DISPERSION INDEX                   96            1           83
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-302115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       86           67           80
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 12                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 13         S 13        SW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.16         0.23
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                  1 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           97           63
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6210           70         4130
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 18         S 21        SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              111780         1470        86730
DISPERSION INDEX                  112            1           87
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-302115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       82           63           78
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 11                      S 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 14         S 13        SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.13         0.24
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            8
PRECIP BEGIN                                 11 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49          100           69
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            3
LAL                                 1            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3750           70         4120
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 20         S 21        SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               75000         1470        82400
DISPERSION INDEX                   75            1           82
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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