Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS51 KCTP 271937
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
237 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Some very light rain moving into the western and central
counties this afternoon will continue through the early evening.
The temperatures will rise about 10 degrees higher than Sunday.

Scattered very light rain will linger over the north through the
middle of the night. The warm up will continue on Tuesday with
showers moving in from the west in the afternoon. A strong cold
front will move through late in the day Wed with strong
thunderstorms possible before the front and gusty west winds
and rapidly falling temperatures after the front passes -
much like Saturday.

PAZ004>006-010-011-280915-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
237 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      Rain      Showers        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  20           80           90          100
Temp (24h trend)              32 (+5)     56 (+11)           49           64
RH % (24h trend)             96 (+22)     49 (+15)           96           56
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                 SW 13 G26
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S  8         S  8    SW 15 G27
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.11         0.40         0.42
Precip Duration                     1            5           10           12
Precip Begin                     6 PM         7 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                       3 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            110         1880          400         4910
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  3         S 17         S 14        SW 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        56150         1190       211390
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            2            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain showers likely and a chance
of snow showers. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Lows
around 18. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Highs in the upper
20s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 15. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Not as cold. Lows in the upper
20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the upper
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-280915-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
237 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      Rain      Showers        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  20           50           80          100
Temp (24h trend)              33 (+7)     59 (+13)           50           66
RH % (24h trend)              96 (+4)     47 (+13)           96           51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                 SW 11 G26
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S  7         S  6    SW 14 G30
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.08         0.21         0.37
Precip Duration                     1            4           10           12
Precip Begin                     6 PM        10 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                       3 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             80         2450          500         4890
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  2         S 18         S  9        SW 43
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        52840          800       202710
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Lows in
the lower 20s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Highs in the lower
30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 17. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Not as cold. Lows around 30.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 50s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the lower
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-280915-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
237 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      None      Showers        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           60           80          100
Temp (24h trend)              35 (+7)     60 (+15)           53           66
RH % (24h trend)             89 (+22)     51 (+17)           90           50
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                          S  5                 SW 15 G31
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S  9         S 10    SW 16 G33
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.13         0.17         0.36
Precip Duration                                  5           11           12
Precip Begin                                 10 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             10         2790          510         5310
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  3         S 20        SW 17        SW 44
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        78800         2160       245120
Dispersion                          1            5            2            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain
and snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. West
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Lows in
the lower 20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Highs around 30.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 19. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Not as cold. Lows in the lower
30s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 50s. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the lower
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-280915-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
237 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      None      Showers        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           20           70           90
Temp (24h trend)              34 (+9)     62 (+14)           53           70
RH % (24h trend)              92 (-4)     46 (+17)           93           45
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                 SW 11 G25
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S  7         S  7    SW 13 G29
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.06         0.13         0.30
Precip Duration                                  2            6           12
Precip Begin                                  1 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             50         3500          260         7320
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  2         S 22        SW 14         W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        93050            0       278790
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain
and snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. West
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Lows in
the mid 20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of snow or rain. Highs in
the mid 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Not as cold. Lows in the lower
30s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 50s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-280915-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
237 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      Rain      Showers        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  20           30           80           90
Temp (24h trend)              33 (+9)     56 (+10)           49           67
RH % (24h trend)              92 (+4)     49 (+15)           93           52
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                  S 13 G27
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S  8         S  8    SW 15 G29
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.04         0.17         0.36
Precip Duration                     1            2           10           12
Precip Begin                     6 PM         1 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                       3 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             20         1990          240         5580
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  3         S 21         S 12        SW 45
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        55840            0       257440
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Colder.
Lows in the lower 20s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Highs in the lower
30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 15. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Not as cold. Lows in the upper
20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the lower
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-058-280915-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
237 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      None      Showers      Showers        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           20           60           90
Temp (24h trend)             33 (+11)     61 (+12)           52           70
RH % (24h trend)              92 (-8)     45 (+13)           96           50
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                  S 10 G24
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S  6         S  6    SW 13 G26
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.03         0.14         0.30
Precip Duration                                  1            8           12
Precip Begin                                  1 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             40         3510          520         6520
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  3         S 22         S 15        SW 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        83280         1000       284200
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  1-8 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Colder.
Lows in the mid 20s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow. Highs in
the mid 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 19. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 40. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Not as cold. Lows around 30.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 50s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-280915-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
237 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           60           90
Temp (24h trend)             36 (+10)     64 (+12)           54           73
RH % (24h trend)             89 (-11)     46 (+13)           96           49
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                 SW 12 G23
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR     S  7 G17         S  8    SW 13 G25
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.13         0.28
Precip Duration                                               9           12
Precip Begin                                               6 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)              0         4460          350         6840
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  3         S 22        SW 16        SW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        95080          430       279320
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  1-8 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 40. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. Colder.
Lows in the upper 20s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain or snow. Highs in
the upper 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the upper 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain. Highs in the upper
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$



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