Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 031952
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
352 PM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTROLS THE REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
SOUTH THROUGH LOWER MI ON SATURDAY BUT WILL BE WEAKENING SO ONLY
LOCATIONS AROUND THE SAGINAW VALLEY MAY SEE SOME PRECIPITATION FALL
IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REESTABLISH ITSELF OVER
THE REGION ON SUNDAY. DEVELOPING LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PUSH HIGH
TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S SUNDAY AND MONDAY...LEADING TO MIN RH
VALUES IN THE 40S. THE NEXT GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE WITH A
STRONGER COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-041415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
352 PM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 5 PM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8910-9410 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1250).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 10 PM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 0 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7740-8240 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (770).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-041415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
352 PM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7250-7750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (730).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6330-6830 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (480).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-041415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
352 PM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7230-7730 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (560).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7940-8440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (720).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

DRK



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