Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 180753
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
353 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING INTO THE REGION BEHIND A
COLD FRONT NOW TO THE SOUTH OF MICHIGAN. NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OFF
LAKE HURON WILL RESULT IN A WIDE VARIATION OF TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE AREA...RANGING FROM THE 50S FOR THE NORTHERN THUMB TO THE LOW
70S FROM DETROIT SOUTHWARD. HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO FALL FAIRLY LOW
IN THE AFTERNOON...DROPPING JUST BELOW 40 PERCENT AWAY FROM THE
LAKESHORE. LOW PRESSURE LIFTING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WILL THEN
BRING A PERIOD OF WET AND BREEZY CONDITIONS SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-182115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
353 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN...BECOMING NORTHEAST 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2930-3430 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN...BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (670).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......320-520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 3 PM...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2010-2510 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (620).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-182115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
353 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN...BECOMING NORTHEAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2560-3060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN...BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......220-420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1920-2420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (750).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-182115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
353 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7840-8340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    15 TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (910).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......680-880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM UNTIL 11 AM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1690-2190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (580).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.

$$

DRK



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