Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 312006
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
406 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL SLOWLY TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT
JUST AS ARCTIC AIR OVERTAKES THE REGION. CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT ON
SATURDAY BUT VERY COLD AIR WILL LINGER INTO EARLY SUNDAY. A WARMER
AND MOIST MOIST AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-011415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
406 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 4 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH...DIMINISHING TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (31860).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 11 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER 11 AM UNTIL 1 PM. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4910-5410 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (120160).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1890-2390 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (23920).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-011415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
406 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 AM. SNOW SHOWERS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH...DIMINISHING TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3140-3340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 35 TO 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (70340).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL NOON...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 5 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5280-5780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (166470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2520-3020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (39600).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-011415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
406 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH...DIMINISHING TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1780-1980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (32730).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 5 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5350-5850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (153560).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2420-2920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (36980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S.

$$

DRK



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