Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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462
FNUS53 KDTX 210716
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
316 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...Well above normal temperatures will continue today and Sunday.
A gradual increase in moisture will lead to showers by Sunday evening,
as a cold front moves through. Min RH in the 40s today, and 50s on
Sunday. Southerly winds will also increase each day, with gusts
topping out at or above 25 mph on Sunday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-211915-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
316 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........35-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2420-2920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (630).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......160-360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........49-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3010-3510 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1080).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-211915-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
316 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2230-2730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (550).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........83-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......240-440 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). A slight chance
                    of. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2490-2990 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (930).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-211915-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
316 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (570).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........83-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......180-380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........49 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3210-3710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (950).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
50s. West winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. West winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.

$$

SC



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