Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 181952
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
346 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GREAT LAKES FOR
SATURDAY...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND DROPPING MIN HUMIDITIES AWAY FROM
THE LAKESHORES TO NEAR 30 PERCENT BY LATE AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL WITH EAST WINDS OFF
THE COLD GREAT LAKES SATURDAY...THEN WARM INTO THE 60S TO NEAR 70
SUNDAY AND MONDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
COLD FRONT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-191400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
346 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
   24 HR TREND......10-14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7-10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......860-1060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2880-3380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (390).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......2-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3-6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......920-1120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7060-7560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-191400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
346 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    4 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
   24 HR TREND......11-14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3-8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......720-920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    9 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2780-3280 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (330).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......880-1080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6060-6560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (990).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-191400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
346 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......10-13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......720-920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2640-3140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8-15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......540-740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......12-14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5070-5570 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (710).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.

$$

HLO





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