Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 010756
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
356 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT DRY EAST FLOW AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW
AFTERNOON RH VALUES TO FALL TO AROUND 45 TO 50 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON. MOISTURE RETURN WILL GET UNDERWAY IN EARNEST ON THURSDAY
WITH RH VALUES MOST LIKELY REMAINING ABOVE 60 PERCENT AS SOUTHWEST
WINDS GUST TO 30 MPH.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-012115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
356 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3850-4350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (33510).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 6 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2850-3350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (75080).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-012115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
356 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3740-4240 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (37240).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (580).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2640-3140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (82220).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-012115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
356 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH THROUGH
                    MID AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4960-5460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (54570).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 PM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3950-4450 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (213040).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.

$$

CB



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