Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 062004
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
404 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH EAST AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES SATURDAY AND BRINGS INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE LOWER 30
PERCENT RANGE TODAY WILL INCREASE TO THE 40 AND 50 PERCENT RANGE
TOMORROW. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS BACK IN ON SUNDAY BRINGING DRY
WEATHER AGAIN BEFORE A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN SETS UP FOR
LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-071415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
404 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM UNTIL
                    4 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6590-7090 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11520-12020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 20 TO
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (3370).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-071415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
404 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM UNTIL
                    5 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 PM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 15 TO
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5820-6320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTH
                    AROUND 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1410).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 11 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10800-11300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (3360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-071415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
404 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM UNTIL
                    5 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1190).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11820-12320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (3460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

$$

BT



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