Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 040759
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
359 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT IN THE 70S
DURING THE MIDWEEK PERIOD AS COOL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MAINTAINS A
FOOTHOLD ACROSS THE REGION. SCATTERED SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY
AS A SECONDARY COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCE OF
RAIN WILL BE OVER THE THUMB REGION WHERE MINIMUM RH READINGS WILL
HOLD ABOVE 50 PERCENT. ELSEWHERE...AFTERNOON RH MINIMUMS WILL RANGE
BETWEEN 45 AND 50 PERCENT INTO WEDNESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-042115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
359 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM. SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6280-6780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (740).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-042115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
359 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM. SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7020-7520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1720).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (810).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-042115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
359 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL 4 PM. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8720-9220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1930).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5970-6470 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (880).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

CB



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