Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 032021
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
421 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY WHILE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
HUMIDITY PERSISTS RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE A TREND
TOWARD LESS COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-041430-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
421 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF FOG AFTER
                    2 AM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......760-960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 9 AM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
                    2 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3580-4080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (650).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......420-620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6710-7210 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1020).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-041430-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
421 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF FOG AFTER
                    2 AM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......460-660 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 9 AM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
                    2 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3850-4350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......180-380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5540-6040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (900).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-041430-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
421 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2 AM.
                    POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......560-760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 9 AM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5110-5610 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (990).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......420-620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (910).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$

BT



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