Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KFGZ 191149
FWFFGZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++

+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
    terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

.DISCUSSION...An area of low pressure will continue to move across
Arizona today with periods of low elevation rain and higher elevation
snow. High pressure will begin to move over the state on Monday with
showers ending from west to east.

.Tuesday through Thursday...High pressure will begin to move east on
Tuesday with warmer temperatures and increasing southwest winds. A
trough of low pressure will move on the West Coast on Wednesday
with increasing winds for Northern Arizona. A cold front will move over
the area on Thursday with gusty winds and a chance for showers.

AZZ115-200145-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow showers likely through the
                    day. Chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....35-45.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
                    25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................70 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......2733 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 17 knots.
Ventilation.........Good (46981 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and
                    slight chance of rain showers in the evening,
                    then slight chance of snow showers after
                    midnight.
Min temperature.....25-32.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................30 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....45-55.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......1913 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots shifting to the west
                    around 7 knots in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Marginal (13487 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 54 to 64. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy early in the morning then
becoming mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 51 to 61.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph with
gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Highs
37 to 47. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the
afternoon.

$$

AZZ106-200145-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain and snow likely in the
                    morning, then snow showers likely and slight
                    chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....51-59 at the river...36-46 at the river.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........41-51 percent at the river...60-70 percent at
                    the rim.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................60 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......1097 ft agl increasing to 4094 ft agl in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 17 knots.
Ventilation.........Marginal (11544 knot-ft) increasing to very
                    good (73015 knot-ft) in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of rain showers.
Min temperature.....37-42 at the river...27-33 at the river.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........58-78 percent at the river...70-90 percent at
                    the rim.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................20 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers.
Max temperature.....57-66 at the river...44-54 at the river.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent at the river...54-64 percent at
                    the rim.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................10 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......2394 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 14 knots.
Ventilation.........Fair (28632 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 64 to
74. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 57 to 67.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
snow showers. Highs 43 to 53. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ108-200145-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Snow likely in the morning. Rain
                    showers likely through the day. Snow showers
                    likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....41-47.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........66-76 percent Below 5000 feet...63-73 percent
                    Above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................70 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......3276 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 17 knots.
Ventilation.........Good (51538 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
                    through the night.
Min temperature.....31-37.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................20 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the morning.
Max temperature.....50-57.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................10 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......2809 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 3 knots shifting to the
                    southwest around 4 knots in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Marginal (12275 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 60 to 68. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 57 to 64.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 43 to 52. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ137-200145-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely.
Max temperature.....48-58.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................70 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
                    through the night.
Min temperature.....34-44.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................30 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....55-64.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 66 to 74. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 63 to
73. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 51 to 61. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

AZZ138-200145-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain and snow in the morning,
                    then chance of rain showers and snow showers in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....40-48 Below 5000 feet...38-45 Above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........65-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................80 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers
                    after midnight.
Min temperature.....29-36.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................40 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....50-58.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 61 to 70. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 56 to 66.
Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
snow showers. Highs 43 to 53. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

AZZ105-200145-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the morning, then
                    slight chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....49-55.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Pop.................70 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........74-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................10 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....54-62.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 60 to 69. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 59 to 66. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
snow showers. Highs 45 to 52. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 30 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ104-200145-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow with rain likely in the
                    morning, then snow showers likely and chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....41-51 Below 7000 feet...33-40 Above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........61-71 percent Below 7000 feet...74-84 percent
                    Above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................80 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of snow showers in the evening. Slight
                    chance of rain showers through the night.
                    Slight chance of snow showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....31-36 Below 7000 feet...24-31 Above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........70-90 percent Below 7000 feet...74-94 percent
                    Above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................20 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
                    and snow showers through the day.
Max temperature.....49-55 Below 7000 feet...41-49 Above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-58 percent Below 7000 feet...58-68 percent
                    Above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................10 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 53 to
63. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and
slight chance of showers. Highs 50 to 60. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the
afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Highs 37 to 47.
West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ107-200145-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow likely in the morning. Rain
                    showers likely through the day. Snow showers
                    likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....40-47 on the plateau...52-58 at the river.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........63-73 percent on the plateau...45-55 percent at
                    the river.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................60 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers.
Min temperature.....28-33 on the plateau...34-41 at the river.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent on the plateau...69-89 percent
                    at the river.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................20 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers.
Max temperature.....48-53 on the plateau...58-65 at the river.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-61 percent on the plateau...38-48 percent at
                    the river.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................10 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 56 to
65. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy early in the morning then
becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 53 to 62.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph with
gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Highs
38 to 47. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the
afternoon.

$$

AZZ109-200145-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow likely in the morning. Rain
                    showers likely through the day. Snow showers
                    likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....43-51.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
                    25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................70 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of rain showers in the evening.
Min temperature.....29-36.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................20 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....50-57.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 56 to 64. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 57 to 64.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Highs
40 to 49. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph.

$$

AZZ140-200145-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow likely in the morning. Rain
                    showers likely through the day. Snow showers
                    likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....44-50.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
                    25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................60 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of rain showers through the
                    night.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................30 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 60 to 67. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
Highs 60 to 67. South winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to southwest
20 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 42 to 51. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to
35 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ110-200145-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely.
Max temperature.....43-49.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
                    25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................70 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of rain showers in the evening, then
                    slight chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........77-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................30 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....51-58.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 58 to 64. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 58 to 65.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Highs 41 to 49. West winds
15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph.

$$

AZZ111-200145-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the morning. Snow
                    showers through the day. Rain showers likely in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....38-47.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
                    25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................80 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......3395 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
Ventilation.........Good (64655 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and rain
                    showers in the evening, then slight chance of
                    rain showers and snow showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....25-30.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................50 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....46-54.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......2630 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 4 to 9 knots.
Ventilation.........Marginal (16826 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 53 to 63. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy early in the morning then
becoming mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 53 to 63.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph with
gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy early in the morning then
becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Highs 36 to 46.
West winds 15 to 25 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ139-200145-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the morning. Snow
                    showers likely through the day. Rain showers
                    likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....39-45.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
                    30 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................70 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of rain showers and snow showers in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers and
                    snow showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....28-33.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................30 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....47-54.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 53 to 61. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs
54 to 61. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph
with gusts up to 40 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Highs 36 to
43. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ112-200145-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M and .Tuba City
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Max temperature.....44-54.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30
                    mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................50 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Pop.................10 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....54-61.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 63 to 70. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
Highs 61 to 69. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to
25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 46 to 53. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to
30 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ113-200145-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow in the morning.
                    Chance of rain showers through the day.
Max temperature.....44-52.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30
                    mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................40 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......1342 ft agl increasing to 6025 ft agl in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 8 knots shifting to the southwest
                    around 17 knots in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Marginal (17345 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (100775 knot-ft) in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of rain showers in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Pop.................20 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........27-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......Less than 1000 ft agl increasing to 3485 ft agl
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 3 knots shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Marginal (10801 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 64 to 69. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 62 to 69. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 47 to 53. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to
35 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ114-200145-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow in the
                    morning, then chance of rain showers and snow
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....42-49.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30
                    mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................50 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of rain showers and snow showers
                    through the night.
Min temperature.....25-31.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
                    mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Northwest 20 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................20 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....51-57.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 63 to 68. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 61 to
68. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
snow showers. Highs 46 to 52. West winds 15 to 25 mph. Gusts up
to 40 mph.

$$

AZZ116-200145-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow in the morning, then snow
                    showers likely and chance of rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 45 Below 5000 feet...37-43 Above 5000
                    feet.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........70 percent Below 5000 feet...75 percent Above
                    5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
                    25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................70 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of rain showers and snow showers in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers and
                    snow showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 33 Below 5000 feet...around 30 Above
                    5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Pop.................30 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 57 Below 5000 feet...48-54 Above 5000
                    feet.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 57 to 66. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 53 to
63. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 40 to 49. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to
30 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ117-200145-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow in the morning, then snow
                    showers and rain showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....38-45 Below 7000 feet...31-41 Above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................80 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......1290 ft agl increasing to 3612 ft agl in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 11 knots.
Ventilation.........Fair (32226 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    evening. Slight chance of snow showers through
                    the night.
Min temperature.....25-30 Below 7000 feet...19-26 Above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........78-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................30 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....50-55 Below 7000 feet...43-51 Above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent Below 7000 feet...30-40 percent
                    Above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.
Mixing height.......2122 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 3 knots shifting to the west
                    around 4 knots in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Poor (8050 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 57 to 67. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 54 to 64. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
snow showers. Highs 42 to 52. West winds 15 to 25 mph. Gusts up
to 30 mph increasing to 35 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ118-200145-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
449 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Snow in the morning. Rain showers
                    through the day. Snow showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....44-53 Below 5000 feet...39-47 Above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........64-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................90 percent.
Lal.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers
                    after midnight.
Min temperature.....32-40 Below 5000 feet...28-35 Above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Pop.................30 percent.
Lal.................1.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....55-62 Below 5000 feet...50-57 Above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Pop.................0 percent.
Lal.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 63 to 73. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 60 to
70. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 49 to 59. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$


.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR FEB 24 - 28, 2017
Below normal temperatures and Below normal precipitation.

=
$$


VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.

ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.

$$



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