Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 202001
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
355 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

...WARM AND HUMID WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...AN ACTIVE WARM FRONT WILL PUSH TOWARD SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT TRIGGERING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORMS ON THURSDAY NIGHT COULD PRODUCE HEAVY
RAIN AND A RISK OF FLOODING. A LOW THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS WILL
ALSO EXIST. VERY WARM AND HUMID WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS POSSIBLY REACHING 90. A POP
UP SHOWER OR STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY BUT MOST OF THE TIME IT
WILL BE DRY.


MIZ037>039-043>045-210815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
355 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...400-900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2400-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4200-4700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-1.67 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6600-7100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-210815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
355 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.25-0.71 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-210815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
355 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT TOWARD DAYBREAK.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    1700-2200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4000-4500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2200-2700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........1.54-2.02 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...3500-4000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4100-4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    6300-6800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-210815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
355 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.11 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.45-1.75 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.15 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-210815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
355 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT TOWARD DAYBREAK.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.22 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.63-1.92 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.25 IN.

$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.

$$









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