Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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521
FNUS53 KGRR 251937
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
337 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

...Periods of Showers and Storms...

.DISCUSSION...
The dry and warm air mass that has been over the area the past few
days will gradually come to an end through Wednesday evening as a
system slowly pushes in from the West. This system will have waves
of low pressure move along it, and bring periods of showers and
storms through Thursday afternoon. There is a small chance of severe
weather, however heavier rainfall will likely be a better threat.

A mainly dry period can be expected from Thursday night through
Friday night as the area will be in between systems. Another bigger
system that will have plentiful moisture from the Gulf will move in
over the course of the weekend and bring more rain to the area.



MIZ037>039-043>045-260815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
337 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    2400-2900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1800. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1100 until 1800, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 13 to 18 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    2600-3100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND 1600-2100
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.78 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to west
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.30 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-260815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
337 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0900. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1100.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around
                    27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.15-0.28 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.21-0.32 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-260815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
337 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2100, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0900. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1100.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    3700-4200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND 1600-2100
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph becoming southwest around
                    10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.68 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.27 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-260815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
337 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around
                    28 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) increasing to 1900 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.55 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 24
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.31 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-260815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
337 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 0600, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1600.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around
                    30 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) increasing to 1800 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.29 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.24 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. West winds 6 to
11 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
East winds 8 to 13 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers in the evening, then a chance of
showers overnight. Lows in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.



$$



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