Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 111923
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
323 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAKENING FRONT WILL BECOME ILL-DEFINED ON SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN DURING
THE WEEKEND AND MORE SUNSHINE WILL ALLOW FOR WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH BY TUESDAY BRINGING A RENEWED CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE BALANCE OF
NEXT WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-121130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
323 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           20           0            20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   4            2            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          68           89           71           91
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  3         NE  3        SE  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.07         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1
INVERSION             2000         78/0900      2100         79/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           53           95           49
DSI                                3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5170                      5060
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SE  5
VENTILATION RATE                   46530                     25300
ADI EARLY             24 FAIR      21 FAIR      33 FAIR      20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  31 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            8            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        9            2            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-121130-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
323 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   4            2            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          68           90           71           93
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  3        LGT/VAR      SE  4        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.06         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
INVERSION             2000         77/0900      2100         78/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           48           99           43
DSI                                3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6480                      6070
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     S  6
VENTILATION RATE                   38880                     36420
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      23 FAIR      30 FAIR      14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  31 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  35 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            10           5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        10           2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-121130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
323 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           0            20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   4            3            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          68           90           71           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  4        E  3         S  5         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  3        SE  7        LGT/VAR      S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.09         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1
INVERSION             2000         78/0900      2100         80/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          53           98           50
DSI                                3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5520                      5670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     SE  3
VENTILATION RATE                   44160                     17010
ADI EARLY             22 FAIR      25 FAIR      33 FAIR      20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  28 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            10           4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        10           2            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-121130-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
323 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   4            2            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          68           92           71           94
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  4        NE  3        SE  5        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.06         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
INVERSION             2000         77/0900      2100         78/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          47           99           42
DSI                                3                         4
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6780                      6920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      S  6
VENTILATION RATE                   54240                     41520
ADI EARLY             20 GEN POOR  29 FAIR      35 FAIR      13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  33 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            10           5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        10           1            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27




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