Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 231930
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
330 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will track across the eastern Carolinas from the
northwest Thursday then pass of the coast Thursday
night. Canadian high pressure will build in behind the front
bringing drier and breezier weather with slightly below normal
temps for the weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...Low/Moderate.

NCZ105>110-241130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
330 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        80           70           60           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            4            4            3
Min/Max Temp          75           84           67           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        N  4         NE  3        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         SE  3        NE  4        NE  6
Precip amount         0.15         0.17         0.08         0.04
Precip duration       6            6            2            1
Inversion             2000         78/0900      2000         74/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           68           94           53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3980                      6650
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      NE  7
Ventilation rate                   51740                     46550
ADI early             25 Fair      28 Fair      30 Fair      34 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  62 Good      4 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            6            6
Max LVORI late        6            3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-241130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
330 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        80           60           50           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            4            3            3
Min/Max Temp          73           85           66           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        NE  6        NE  5        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         E  4         NE  4        NE  6
Precip amount         0.16         0.14         0.04         0.02
Precip duration       8            2            1            1
Inversion             2000         76/0900      2000         73/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           62           96           48
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5400                      6430
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     NE  8
Ventilation rate                   43200                     51440
ADI early             28 Fair      21 Fair      39 Fair      50 Gen good
ADI late              4 Very poor  37 Fair      4 Very poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            5            7
Max LVORI late        8            3            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-241130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
330 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           70           60           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            4            3
Min/Max Temp          75           86           68           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        W  3         SE  5        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        S  4         N  3         NE  7
Precip amount         0.15         0.17         0.08         0.04
Precip duration       5            7            4            1
Inversion             2000         78/0900      2000         75/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           64           96           54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4980                      6560
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     E  8
Ventilation rate                   59760                     52480
ADI early             26 Fair      33 Fair      28 Fair      49 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  48 Gen good  4 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            7            6            6
Max LVORI late        7            3            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-241130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
330 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        80           60           50           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            4            3            3
Min/Max Temp          73           87           67           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        NE  5        NE  6        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        E  4         NE  5        NE  7
Precip amount         0.14         0.13         0.04         0.02
Precip duration       5            2            1            1
Inversion             2000         77/0900      2000         74/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        97           58           95           46
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5830                      6750
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  7                     NE  9
Ventilation rate                   40810                     60750
ADI early             27 Fair      17 Gen poor  31 Fair      52 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  28 Fair      4 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            8            5            7
Max LVORI late        7            3            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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