Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 132004
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
304 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will return to normal Thursday and Friday as high pressure
briefly builds in. Another cold front will bring chilly temperatures Saturday,
before seasonable weather returns on Sunday. Low pressure approaching
from the Gulf Coast may bring rain to the area early next week.

Fog potential for tonight...none.

NCZ105>110-141215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
304 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          31           58           34           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7 G20    W 10 G20     N  3         N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12 G23    W  7         NE  4        W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         39/0800      1800         42/0800
Dispersion            Good                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        78           39           92           54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3210                      3470
Transport wnd (mph)                W 15                      W 21
Ventilation rate                   48150                     72870
ADI early             7 poor       28 Fair      2 Very poor  41 Gen good
ADI late              11 poor      47 Gen good  3 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            3            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-141215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
304 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          31           57           33           56
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        W  9         NE  4        E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        NW  6        NE  5        W  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         36/0800      1800         38/0800
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        83           41           90           53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3240                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      W 16
Ventilation rate                   42120                     44800
ADI early             7 poor       27 Fair      2 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              11 poor      44 Gen good  4 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-141215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
304 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           61           35           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        W 10         W  3         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11 G20    W  7         N  3         W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         39/0800      1800         42/0800
Dispersion            Good                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        82           40           94           54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3170                      3110
Transport wnd (mph)                W 17                      W 20
Ventilation rate                   53890                     62200
ADI early             8 poor       32 Fair      3 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              11 poor      55 Gen good  3 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            6            6
Max LVORI late        3            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-141215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
304 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          31           58           34           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  9        W  8         NE  4        E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        NW  6        E  5         W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         36/0800      1800         38/0800
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        83           39           90           51
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3280                      2220
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W 13
Ventilation rate                   39360                     28860
ADI early             9 poor       25 Fair      2 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              11 poor      40 Fair      4 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            5
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-141215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
304 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           61           35           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        W  9         W  3         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        W  7         LGT/VAR      W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         37/0800      1800         39/0800
Dispersion            Good                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        83           41           94           54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3230                      2280
Transport wnd (mph)                W 17                      W 18
Ventilation rate                   54910                     41040
ADI early             7 poor       31 Fair      2 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              10 poor      58 Gen good  2 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            6            6
Max LVORI late        4            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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