Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 232039
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
339 PM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonable warmth will last for the remainder of the week. A few
showers may accompany a Saturday cold front that will knock temperatures
back down to normal by Sunday. A warmup then begins already on Monday.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate/High.

NCZ105>110-241245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
339 PM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           80           52           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         NE  5        E  3         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        E  8         LGT/VAR      SW 13 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration       1                                      1
Inversion             1900         65/0900      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        99           46           99           40
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6100                      5840
Transport wnd (mph)                E 12                      SW 23
Ventilation rate                   73200                     134320
ADI early             5 Very poor  34 Fair      3 Very poor  29 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  42 Gen good  1 Very poor  72 Good
Max LVORI early       7            9            7            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear with isolated showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 28 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-241245-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
339 PM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          53           80           53           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         E  3         SE  3        S  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        SE  5        LGT/VAR      SW 14 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         63/0900      1900         64/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        100          45           97           35
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6200                      6130
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  7                     SW 25
Ventilation rate                   43400                     153250
ADI early             4 Very poor  23 Fair      3 Very poor  36 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  30 Fair      1 Very poor  85 Good
Max LVORI early       7            9            6            9
Max LVORI late        10           2            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear with isolated showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 78 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-241245-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
339 PM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           80           53           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         NE  5        SE  4        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        E  9         LGT/VAR      SW 15 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         65/0900      1900         64/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        98           45           97           37
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5890                      6070
Transport wnd (mph)                E  9                      W 24
Ventilation rate                   53010                     145680
ADI early             4 Very poor  32 Fair      4 Very poor  33 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  31 Fair      1 Very poor  79 Good
Max LVORI early       6            8            7            8
Max LVORI late        8            2            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
60 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-241245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
339 PM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          53           80           55           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        E  3         S  4         SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        SE  5        S  4         SW 16 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         62/0900      1900         64/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        98           45           94           30
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6380                      6140
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  6                     W 26
Ventilation rate                   38280                     159640
ADI early             3 Very poor  14 Gen poor  3 Very poor  60 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  26 Fair      3 Very poor  85 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            6
Max LVORI late        7            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
62 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
76 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-241245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
339 PM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           81           54           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         NE  4        SE  5        SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        SE  6        S  3         W 16 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         64/0900      1900         65/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        97           43           96           33
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6480                      5980
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  7                     W 26
Ventilation rate                   45360                     155480
ADI early             4 Very poor  26 Fair      3 Very poor  61 Good
ADI late              2 Very poor  33 Fair      2 Very poor  87 Good
Max LVORI early       6            8            5            7
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 61 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 79 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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