Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 230932
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
532 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...A low pressure system will push through the region
today bringing a soaking rainfall lasting into tonight. Around
an inch and a half is expected in most locations. High pressure
will return by Wednesday but with the expected rainfall, no fire
weather concerns are anticipated.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-084-104-106>109-111-
112-114-232030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-
Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-Owsley-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Beattyville, Jackson, and Booneville
532 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........65-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....46.
Vent Rate...........Fair (45700 knot-ft).
ADI.................20 increasing to 44 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.85 - 1.36 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then a slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........96 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................49 decreasing to 28 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 - 0.30 inches.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. A chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then a slight chance of rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Dispersion Index....132.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (131900 knot-ft).
ADI.................63 increasing to 84 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.


$$

KYZ085>088-110-113-115>120-232030-
Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Knott-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Prestonsburg,
Wheelwright, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden,
Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
532 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 10 to 20 mph shifting to the
                    southwest early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....57.
Vent Rate...........Good (57300 knot-ft).
ADI.................26 increasing to 50 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.85 - 1.34 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then a slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................50 decreasing to 26 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 - 0.38 inches.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....128.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (127700 knot-ft).
ADI.................55 increasing to 79 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 50. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy frost late. Lows in the
mid 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Milder, sunny. Patchy frost in the morning. Highs in
the mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds
around 5 mph in the evening.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the
evening, then a chance of showers. Lows around 40. West winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cooler. Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
SHALLENBERGER



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