Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 211124
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
524 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT PRECEDED BY AREAS OF RAIN. LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS
WILL TURN MORE TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH PASSAGE OF THE WARM FRONT. MOST
LOCATIONS WILL BE RAIN FREE SATURDAY WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.
INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PUSH WARMER AIR INTO THE AREA.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH FROM
THE SOUTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION BEGINNING MAINLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT...THEN DIMINISHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-212330-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
524 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           40           40
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.07         0.08         0.09
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      6            2            2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      48 (-1)      44 (+7)      61
RH % (24H TREND)      58 (+19)     100 (+28)    59
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 6-10                    S 8-12 G20
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 4-8        SE 3-7       S 9-13 G21
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    347                       711
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1138                      2334
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    433                       797
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1420                      2616
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  6                     S  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     S 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2598                      7173
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 54                        61
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SE  8                     S 11
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SE 19                     S 24
DISPERSION INDEX      22           9            51
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
LVORI
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS...SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 81 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-212330-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
524 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.07         0.07         0.05
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      6            2            1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      58 (+4)      49 (+10)     66
RH % (24H TREND)      60 (+19)     93 (+6)      52
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 5-9                     S 7-11
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 3-7       SE 3-7       SE 8-12
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    460                       796
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1508                      2613
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    522                       859
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1712                      2817
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  5                     S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     S 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2610                      6872
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61                        62
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SE  6                     S 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SE 14                     S 23
DISPERSION INDEX      17           9            45
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3            2            2
LVORI
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
50. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-212330-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
524 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.01         0.04         0.02
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      3            2            1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      48 (+2)      44 (+13)     61
RH % (24H TREND)      49 (+12)     82 (+10)     50
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 4-8                     S 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 4-8        LGT/VAR      S 7-11 G17
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    406                       616
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1333                      2021
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    528                       739
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1732                      2423
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  6                     S 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     S 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3168                      7390
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 52                        59
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  8                      S 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E 17                      S 23
DISPERSION INDEX      25           11           50
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            3            2
LVORI
STABILITY             D            C            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-212330-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
524 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     50           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.03         0.04         0.02
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            1            1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      53 (+2)      47 (+11)     64
RH % (24H TREND)      52 (+17)     85 (+12)     47
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 3-7                     S 6-10 G17
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 4-8       LGT/VAR      S 7-11 G17
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    354                       649
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1160                      2128
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    475                       771
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1558                      2528
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  6                     S  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     S 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2850                      6939
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 56                        59
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SE  8                     S 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SE 17                     S 22
DISPERSION INDEX      27           11           46
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            3            2
LVORI
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS...SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-212330-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
524 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.04         0.05         0.01
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            1            1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      60 (+3)      50 (+10)     67
RH % (24H TREND)      65 (+20)     89 (-9)      48
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 4-8                     SE 7-11
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 3-7       SE 3-7       SE 8-12
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    696                       740
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2282                      2427
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    767                       811
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2517                      2662
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  5                     SE  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SE 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3835                      5677
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 62                        61
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SE  5                     SE  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SE 11                     SE 20
DISPERSION INDEX      13           12           39
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3            3            2
LVORI
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS
AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-212330-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
524 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           20           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.02         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      3            1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      59 (+2)      46 (+9)      66
RH % (24H TREND)      58 (+20)     88 (-6)      49
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 3-7                     S 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 4-8       SE 2-6       S 8-12 G17
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    439                       665
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1440                      2181
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    563                       789
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1847                      2587
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  4                     SE  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SE 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2252                      6312
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59                        58
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SE  5                     SE  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SE 12                     SE 20
DISPERSION INDEX      18           13           39
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3            4            4
LVORI
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS...SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JCL



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