Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FNUS54 KMEG 300911
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
411 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front will move into the Mid-South this morning. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue to occur over
the area through the morning hours. A line of thunderstorms
is expected to redevelop along the cold front as it approaches
the Mississippi River. These storms will quickly become severe
as they move into West Tennessee and Northeast Mississippi.
The line will push east of the Mid-South this evening. In
addition...strong southerly gradient winds will occur across
the Mid-South today.

High pressure will build into the area on Friday.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-302315-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
411 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.17         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      3
Precip Begins         6 AM
Precip Ends           6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      72 (-7)      48 (-12)     66
RH % (24h Trend)      50 (-11)     86 (-10)     56
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11 G20                W 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 13-17 G23 SW 7-11 G19  W 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1463                      984
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4799                      3229
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1549                      1070
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   5081                      3511
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 14                     NW  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 32                     NW  9
Vent Index (m2/s)     21686                     4280
Category Day          5                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 64                        54
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 11                      NW  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 24                      NW 12
Dispersion Index      86           51           34
LAL                   5            4            1
LASI                  3            2            2
Stability             D            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            1            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming northeast late
in the evening.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph becoming south late in
the morning.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-302315-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
411 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     30           0            0
Precip Type           tstms        NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.08         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      2
Precip Begins         6 AM
Precip Ends           6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      72 (-8)      48 (-14)     70
RH % (24h Trend)      49 (0)       87 (-4)      51
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11 G21                W 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 13-17 G23 SW 6-10 G18  Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1684                      1026
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   5525                      3366
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1746                      1088
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   5729                      3570
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 14                     W  3
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 32                     W  7
Vent Index (m2/s)     24444                     3264
Category Day          5                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 65                        58
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW 10                     W  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 23                     W  9
Dispersion Index      92           50           22
LAL                   5            3            1
LASI                  2            3            3
Stability             D            E            B
Stagnation Index      1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming east late in the
evening.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph becoming south late in the
morning.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-302315-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
411 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           40           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.62         0.04         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      10           2
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      76 (-5)      49 (-11)     64
RH % (24h Trend)      53 (-3)      84 (-8)      60
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11 G22                W 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 11-15 G22 SW 6-10      W 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1198                      928
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   3930                      3046
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1319                      1049
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4328                      3443
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S 14                      W  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 31                      W 15
Vent Index (m2/s)     18466                     7343
Category Day          5                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68                        52
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 12                      W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 27                      W 16
Dispersion Index      85           48           43
LAL                   5            5            1
LASI                  3            3            2
Stability             D            E            C
Stagnation Index      1            1            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
north late in the morning.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds around 5 mph
becoming south late in the morning.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-302315-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
411 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           40           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.47         0.04         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            2
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      76 (-6)      49 (-13)     68
RH % (24h Trend)      52 (+1)      86 (-6)      55
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 8-12 G21                W 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 11-15 G21 SW 6-10 G17  W 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1135                      1049
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   3724                      3441
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1256                      1170
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4121                      3838
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 14                     W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 32                     W 13
Vent Index (m2/s)     17584                     7020
Category Day          5                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68                        55
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 12                      W  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 27                      W 14
Dispersion Index      83           44           40
LAL                   5            5            1
LASI                  3            3            2
Stability             D            E            C
Stagnation Index      0            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
northwest late in the morning.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph
becoming south late in the morning.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-302315-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
411 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     60           0            0
Precip Type           tstms        NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.20         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      6
Precip Begins         6 AM
Precip Ends           6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      75 (-6)      49 (-15)     72
RH % (24h Trend)      48 (+3)      86 (-6)      49
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 11-15 G23               W 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 11-15 G21 SW 4-8       Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1482                      1049
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4863                      3441
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1554                      1121
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   5098                      3677
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 15                     W  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 35                     W  9
Vent Index (m2/s)     23310                     4484
Category Day          5                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68                        60
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW 11                     W  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 25                     W  9
Dispersion Index      87           44           26
LAL                   5            4            1
LASI                  3            3            3
Stability             D            E            B
Stagnation Index      1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows around 60.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
west late in the morning.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. West winds around 5 mph becoming south late in the
morning.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-302315-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
411 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           50           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.49         0.09         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            2
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      79 (-3)      50 (-13)     72
RH % (24h Trend)      51 (+2)      85 (-5)      47
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 9-13 G18                W 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 10-14 G20  SW 4-8       W 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1295                      1070
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4250                      3512
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1419                      1195
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4657                      3919
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S 14                      W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 31                      W 13
Vent Index (m2/s)     19866                     7170
Category Day          5                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70                        59
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 12                      W  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 27                      W 13
Dispersion Index      97           49           37
LAL                   5            5            1
LASI                  2            3            3
Stability             C            E            B
Stagnation Index      1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows around 60.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
northwest late in the morning.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph
becoming southwest late in the morning.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

KRM


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