Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 220725
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
THURSDAY CONTINUING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FOR
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 79-84 (-3) 58-63 (-1) 72-77
RH % (24H TREND) 45-50 (-2) 87-92 (+1) 46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 7 G15 SW 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 7 G15 LGT/VAR W 8
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 60 70
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.20 0.26 0.21
LAL 4 4 5
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 18
DISPERSION 65 GOOD 52 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 78-83 (-1) 57-62 (0) 73-78
RH % (24H TREND) 41-46 (-7) 86-91 (-2) 41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 6 G15 W 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) S 8 G17 S 6 W 9
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 60
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.16 0.28 0.21
LAL 4 4 4
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 W 21
DISPERSION 39 FAIR 48 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-230830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 75-80 (-4) 56-61 (-2) 74-79
RH % (24H TREND) 47-52 (-4) 86-91 (-2) 40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 9 G17 W 7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 7 G16 S 6 W 9
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 60 50
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.22 0.26 0.17
LAL 4 4 4
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6100 5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 W 24
DISPERSION 46 GEN GOOD 51 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-230830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 78-83 (-6) 59-64 (-1) 78-83
RH % (24H TREND) 50-55 (+3) 84-89 (0) 39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 8 G16 SW 5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 6 G15 LGT/VAR W 10 G17
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 60 30
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.24 0.21 0.11
LAL 4 4 3
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6100 5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 21
DISPERSION 62 GOOD 58 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-230830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 77-82 (-7) 58-63 (-1) 77-82
RH % (24H TREND) 51-56 (+4) 84-89 (-3) 38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 7 G15 W 5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) S 5 G16 LGT/VAR W 9 G16
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 60 30
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.23 0.25 0.10
LAL 4 4 3
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6300 5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 W 21
DISPERSION 53 GEN GOOD 56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 81-86 (-2) 58-63 (-2) 75-80
RH % (24H TREND) 43-48 (-5) 87-92 (+1) 42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 6 G16 SW 5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 7 G17 LGT/VAR W 9 G16
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 60 50
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.21 0.25 0.16
LAL 4 4 4
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 W 20
DISPERSION 64 GOOD 66 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 80-85 (-4) 59-64 (-2) 76-81
RH % (24H TREND) 46-51 (-3) 86-91 (+2) 42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 8 G17 SW 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 6 G15 LGT/VAR W 9 G17
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 60 50
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.28 0.18 0.12
LAL 4 4 4
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 22 W 22
DISPERSION 86 GOOD 76 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013 /225 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013/
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 80-85 (-4) 59-64 (-3) 79-84
RH % (24H TREND) 47-52 (-2) 84-89 (+1) 38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 8 W 6 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR W 11 G22
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 60 30
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.30 0.12 0.03
LAL 4 3 3
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 W 21
DISPERSION 82 GOOD 77 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$