Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 210820
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE
REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING A CHANCE
FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. RAIN
SHOWERS ON TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY WILL CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS
FOR CHRISTMAS EVE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   33-38 (+5)   47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-15)  89-94 (+1)   60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S  9
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   32-37 (+3)   45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-10)  90-95 (-2)   62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SE  9
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  8

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-220930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   34-39 (+3)   47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-14)  89-94 (-6)   64-69
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  2                      S  6
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-220930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   36-41 (+4)   51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-14)  95-100 (0)   60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     S 12
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    15 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-220930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   36-41 (+2)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-16)  95-100 (0)   62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SE  9
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   12 POOR
MAX LVORI             7                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   33-38 (+4)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-11)  91-96 (+1)   58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  2                      SE  7
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   35-40 (+8)   51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-9)   91-96 (+3)   60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S  9
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    19 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   36-41 (+8)   52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   93-98 (+6)   60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     S 15
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               29 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$



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