Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 291903
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
303 PM EDT Mon May 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The Southern Appalachian region will remain in a rather active weather
pattern this week.  A weak cold front will move across the area on
Tuesday.  The weakening frontal boundary will stall near the Tennessee
Georgia border and continue the chance of showers and thunderstorms
across the area through at least Wednesday.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-302015-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
303 PM EDT Mon May 29 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (0)    74-79 (-2)   53-58        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-2)   47-52 (-4)   95-100       50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      W  9 G21
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           20           40
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end                         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.02
LAL                   1            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7600                      6800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     W 18
Dispersion                         64 Good                   76 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     SW  7 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9        SW  5        W 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower
60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-302015-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
303 PM EDT Mon May 29 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (0)    72-77 (0)    52-57        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-1)  49-54 (-1)   92-97        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  5                     W  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      W  8 G21
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            12 AM        Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.01         0.02
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7500                      7800
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W 16
Dispersion                         41 Gen good               72 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6                     W  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        W 10 G18     W  6         W 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower
60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. North winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-302015-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
303 PM EDT Mon May 29 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (+1)   72-77 (+2)   51-56        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  48-53 (-7)   93-98        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G20     LGT/VAR      W  8 G20
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            4 AM         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.01         0.02
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7700                      7300
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      W 14
Dispersion                         39 Fair                   49 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  5                      SW  8
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        W 10 G20     SW  5        W 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper 70s. East winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-302015-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
303 PM EDT Mon May 29 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+1)   76-81 (+2)   53-58        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-1)  48-53 (-10)  95-100       51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  6 G18
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            4 AM         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.06         0.02         0.01         0.04
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7700                      7000
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      W 10
Dispersion                         42 Gen good               43 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  7 G18

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-302015-
Nantahala National Forest-
303 PM EDT Mon May 29 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   75-80 (0)    51-56        74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   48-53 (-8)   95-100       51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  6 G15
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           30
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         Continuing   8 AM
PRECIP END            4 AM         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.01         0.03
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      7900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W  9
DISPERSION                         40 Fair                   45 Gen good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the west early in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-302015-
East Tennessee District East-
303 PM EDT Mon May 29 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (-1)   76-81 (-1)   54-59        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  46-51 (-6)   95-100       47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      W  8 G19
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           20           40
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end                         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.02
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7300                      6800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     W 16
Dispersion                         61 Good                   75 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     SW  7 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9        LGT/VAR      W 11 G19

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph
early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid
60s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-302015-
East Tennessee District West-
303 PM EDT Mon May 29 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+1)   78-83 (+2)   55-60        76-81
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  47-52 (-8)   95-100       49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  6 G17
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     10           30           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            12 AM        Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.02         0.01         0.09
LAL                   1            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7400                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     W 14
Dispersion                         68 Good                   63 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-302015-
Cumberland District South-
303 PM EDT Mon May 29 2017 /203 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017/

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+1)   79-84 (+3)   57-62        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  47-52 (-10)  95-100       47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            12 AM        Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.02         0.01         0.11
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7400                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     W 12
Dispersion                         57 Gen good               48 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. East winds
less than 10 mph.

$$



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