Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 011902
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
302 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING
A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG WITH MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
302 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   79-84 (+3)   55-60        73-78
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-6)   28-33 (-10)  87-92        56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G16
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           100
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.43
LAL                   1            1            3            5
LASI                               4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S 16
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   27 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   76-81 (+2)   52-57        71-76
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-7)   27-32 (-11)  92-97        55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           100
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                    5 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.49
LAL                   1            1            3            5
LASI                               5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      S 14
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               28 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-022015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
302 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    77-82 (+2)   53-58        72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-9)   27-32 (-11)  91-96        60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.80
LAL                   1            1            3            5
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8500                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 21
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 11 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-022015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   80-85 (+2)   57-62        75-80
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-10)  28-33 (-10)  93-98        64-69
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  9 G18
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.23         0.88
LAL                   1            1            4            5
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     S 22
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     SW 12 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-022015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   79-84 (+1)   55-60        76-81
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-11)  27-32 (-12)  95-100       60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.18         0.95
LAL                   1            1            4            5
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S 17
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   35 FAIR
MAX LVORI                          3                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  9 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
302 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   81-86 (+2)   55-60        75-80
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   25-30 (-9)   93-98        54-59
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           100
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                    5 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.56
LAL                   1            1            3            5
LASI                               5                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     S 15
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               22 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
302 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   81-86 (+1)   58-63        75-80
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   30-35 (-5)   91-96        60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           100
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            7
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.18         0.77
LAL                   1            1            5            5
LASI                               4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     S 22
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
302 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   82-87 (+1)   61-66        74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   32-37 (-4)   89-94        64-69
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         SW 11 G20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           100
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            7
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.41         0.91
LAL                   1            1            5            5
LASI                               4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     S 25
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   66 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7 G16     SW 13 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$


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