Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 201859
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
259 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Above normal temperatures and high humidity will continue
across the Tennessee Valley and Southern Appalachians into the
weekend. The possibilty of precipitation will increase this
weekend...with the best chances on Sunday.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
259 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (+3)   85-90 (-1)   67-72        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  51-56 (+8)   95-100       51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            40           20           30
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.12         0.03         0.23
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      6400
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      SW  8
Dispersion                         23 Fair                   30 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s to lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
259 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+2)   82-87 (-1)   66-71        84-89
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  51-56 (+5)   94-99        52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            40           30           30
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.15         0.03         0.30
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5400                      6600
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     W  6
Dispersion                         19 Gen poor               18 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  5

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-212000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
259 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+1)   83-88 (+1)   65-70        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+5)   44-49 (-1)   91-96        52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           30           40
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.09         0.02         0.23
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5800                      6600
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  6                     W  7
Dispersion                         14 Gen poor               20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  7

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-212000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
259 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (+1)   88-93 (+2)   67-72        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+9)  45-50 (0)    95-100       49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           10           30
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.01         0.17
LAL                   1            3            1            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5800                      6700
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  6                     SW  6
Dispersion                         17 Gen poor               21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-212000-
Nantahala National Forest-
259 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   87-92 (+2)   66-71        85-90
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  45-50 (-1)   95-100       53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            30
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM                     Continuing
PRECIP END                         8 PM                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.00         0.17
LAL                   1            3            1            3
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     W  5
DISPERSION                         15 Gen poor               17 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212000-
East Tennessee District East-
259 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (+2)   87-92 (0)    68-73        88-93
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  50-55 (+5)   95-100       50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           20           30
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end                         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.09         0.02         0.25
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5300                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)                W  7                      SW  7
Dispersion                         24 Fair                   29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s to lower 90s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212000-
East Tennessee District West-
259 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+3)   89-94 (+2)   69-74        88-93
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  47-52 (+3)   93-98        49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           20           30
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end                         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.16
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)                W  6                      SW  8
Dispersion                         21 Fair                   35 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-212000-
Cumberland District South-
259 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017 /159 PM CDT Thu Jul 20 2017/

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+2)   91-96 (+3)   71-76        89-94
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (+3)   43-48 (-4)   89-94        49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            30
Precip duration                    1                         1
Precip begin                       4 PM                      8 AM
Precip end                         8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.14
LAL                   1            2            1            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5800                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)                W  5                      SW  7
Dispersion                         18 Gen poor               31 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$


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