Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 100754
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
254 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY. COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ALSO
SLOWLY MODERATE ACROSS THE AREA STARTING THURSDAY.  A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY
PRODUCING CHANCES OF SNOW AND RAIN. ARCTIC AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
254 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-5)   9-14 (-4)    26-31
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   89-94 (+12)  33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 13
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G21                  W  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G22     W 10 G21     W  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 11 TO
20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS 14 TO 28. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
254 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-2)   9-14 (-1)    25-30
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-12)  93-98 (+10)  44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G20                  NW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W 11 G22     NW  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 15
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G25                  NW  8 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     W 14 G27     NW  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 12 TO
22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 18.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-110900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
254 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+1)   12-17 (+4)   30-35
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-20)  95-100 (+10) 44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W  8 G18     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 12
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G25                  NW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G27     W 10 G22     NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 11 TO
23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-110900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
254 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   17-22 (+4)   35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-23)  79-84 (-2)   42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW  8
DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G22                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W  6         LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-110900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
254 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   17-22 (+4)   36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-23)  79-84 (-4)   40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G19                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     NW  7        LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 10
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI             3                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G23                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     NW  8 G18    NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
254 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-2)   14-19 (0)    30-35
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-11)  86-91 (+8)   37-42
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G18                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     W  6         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 12
DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   29 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G23                  W  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G23     W  8 G18     W  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 14 TO
23. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
254 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-2)   16-21 (+1)   33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-15)  87-92 (+17)  37-42
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW  7
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G21                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W  6         LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 14 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
254 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016 /154 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   19-24 (+4)   38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-25)  81-86 (+9)   40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      N  3
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   8 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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