Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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560
FNUS55 KPSR 230932
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
232 AM MST SAT JUL 23 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A SLIGHT REDUCTION IN AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND VERY WARM AIR ALOFT WILL
LIMIT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS WELL EAST OF
PHOENIX TODAY...WITH NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE LOWER
DESERTS...WELL ABOVE 110 DEGREES. SOME INCREASE IN SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AND SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPERATURES IS LIKELY ON SUNDAY AS
MONSOON MOISTURE BEGINS TO RETURN TO THE REGION. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES
IN THE 10 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE TODAY WILL RISE INTO THE 15 TO 30
PERCENT RANGE ON SUNDAY...WITH FAIR TO GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-232145-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
232 AM MST SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................108-114.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................13-18 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......12200 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 6 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................84-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................35-45 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................104-109.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-22 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......8400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 9 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 82-92. HIGHS 103-108. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 82-92. HIGHS 103-108. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 82-92. HIGHS 104-109. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 82-92. HIGHS 104-109.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 80-90. HIGHS 101-106.

$$

AZZ133-232145-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
232 AM MST SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................95-110.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-21 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................69-84.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................41-58 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................91-105.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................19-27 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 68-82. HIGHS 89-103. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 68-83. HIGHS 88-103. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 67-83. HIGHS 89-105. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 67-81. HIGHS 88-104.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 66-81. HIGHS 87-101.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-232145-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
232 AM MST SAT JUL 23 2016 /232 AM PDT SAT JUL 23 2016/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................111-115.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-17 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 12 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................85-89.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................36-48 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................107-112.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-20 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........7400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 12 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 83-87. HIGHS 106-110. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 84-88. HIGHS 106-111. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 84-88. HIGHS 107-111. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 84-88. HIGHS 107-111.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 83-87. HIGHS 103-109.

$$

CAZ230-232145-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
232 AM PDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................98-111.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................73-85.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................19-25 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................95-108.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 72-83. HIGHS 94-106. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 72-84. HIGHS 94-106. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 73-84. HIGHS 95-107. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-84. HIGHS 95-108.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 72-84. HIGHS 93-105.

$$

CAZ232-232145-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
232 AM PDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................108-116.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................83-88.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................25-55 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................105-112.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................13-19 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 81-86. HIGHS 103-110. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 82-87. HIGHS 104-111. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 83-87. HIGHS 104-111. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 82-87. HIGHS 105-112.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 81-86. HIGHS 102-109.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...SATURDAY JULY 30TH THROUGH MONDAY AUGUST
1ST...ABOVE TO NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION.



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