Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
333 PM PDT FRI APR 28 2017

ECC029-291645-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PDT FRI APR 28 2017

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...DRY AND GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH SATURDAY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER FOR GRASS OR SMALL FIRES THROUGH
SATURDAY...

THE LONG PERIOD OF GUSTY-TO-STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING THEN SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY ON SATURDAY. PEAK GUSTS IN
THE 30 TO 50 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING, THEN WILL SHIFT TO ONLY THE SANTA ANA WIND AREAS OF
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON SATURDAY. ALREADY LOW HUMIDITIES
 WILL LOWER FURTHER ON SATURDAY WITH MINIMUMS GENERALLY IN THE 5 TO
10 PERCENT RANGE. POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
NIGHT  WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. TEMPERATURES
WILL TOP OUT IN THE 85 TO 95 DEGREE RANGE AWAY FROM THE BEACHES. RED
FLAG WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE WINDY LOCATIONS
(ESPECIALLY  SATURDAY), BUT NO WARNINGS WILL BE POSTED DUE TO THE
LACK OF FUEL  SUPPORT FOR THE MOST EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER DOES EXIST HOWEVER, MAINLY FOR GRASS AND SMALL FIRES.

COOLER BUT STILL WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN DRY (MINIMUMS 8 TO 18 PERCENT) ON SUNDAY, BUT
IMPROVEMENT IS LIKELY AFTER THAT. WINDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
ON SUNDAY AND SHOULD TURNING ONSHORE AND SEASONAL BY THE AFTERNOON.
SEASONAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

...BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS AGAIN TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...
...TURNING MUCH WARMER AND DRIER THIS WEEKEND THRU NEXT WEEK...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL KICK THE WARMING TREND INTO FULL
GEAR THIS WEEKEND AS OFFSHORE WINDS SET UP ACROSS THE FIRE DISTRICT.
MODERATE AND GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS  ARE FORECAST FOR
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY ACROSS THE NORTH AND EAST  BAY MOUNTAINS WITH
FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND ARE EXPECTED
TO REACH INTO THE 80S OVER THE WARMEST  INLAND VALLEYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPS WARMING INTO
THE LOWER 90S. ALONG WITH  SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES ANOTHER
ROUND OF GUSTY OFFSHORE  FLOW IS EXPECT EARLY MONDAY. WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL  THROUGH MID WEEK WITH POOR HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES AND RAPIDLY DRYING  FINE FUELS. MODELS BEGIN TO BREAK
DOWN THE RIDGE BY THURSDAY WITH COOLER AND MORE SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-291645-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PDT FRI APR 28 2017

...DRY AND GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH SATURDAY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER FOR GRASS OR SMALL FIRES THROUGH
SATURDAY...

THE LONG PERIOD OF GUSTY-TO-STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING THEN SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY ON SATURDAY. PEAK GUSTS IN
THE 30 TO 50 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING, THEN WILL SHIFT TO ONLY THE SANTA ANA WIND AREAS OF
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON SATURDAY. ALREADY LOW HUMIDITIES
 WILL LOWER FURTHER ON SATURDAY WITH MINIMUMS GENERALLY IN THE 5 TO
10 PERCENT RANGE. POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
NIGHT  WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. TEMPERATURES
WILL TOP OUT IN THE 85 TO 95 DEGREE RANGE AWAY FROM THE BEACHES. RED
FLAG WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE WINDY LOCATIONS
(ESPECIALLY  SATURDAY), BUT NO WARNINGS WILL BE POSTED DUE TO THE
LACK OF FUEL  SUPPORT FOR THE MOST EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER DOES EXIST HOWEVER, MAINLY FOR GRASS AND SMALL FIRES.

COOLER BUT STILL WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN DRY (MINIMUMS 8 TO 18 PERCENT) ON SUNDAY, BUT
IMPROVEMENT IS LIKELY AFTER THAT. WINDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
ON SUNDAY AND SHOULD TURNING ONSHORE AND SEASONAL BY THE AFTERNOON.
SEASONAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC031-291645-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PDT FRI APR 28 2017

...DRY AND GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH SATURDAY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER FOR GRASS OR SMALL FIRES THROUGH
SATURDAY...

THE LONG PERIOD OF GUSTY-TO-STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING THEN SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY ON SATURDAY. PEAK GUSTS IN
THE 30 TO 50 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING, THEN WILL SHIFT TO ONLY THE SANTA ANA WIND AREAS OF
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON SATURDAY. ALREADY LOW HUMIDITIES
 WILL LOWER FURTHER ON SATURDAY WITH MINIMUMS GENERALLY IN THE 5 TO
10 PERCENT RANGE. POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
NIGHT  WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. TEMPERATURES
WILL TOP OUT IN THE 85 TO 95 DEGREE RANGE AWAY FROM THE BEACHES. RED
FLAG WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE WINDY LOCATIONS
(ESPECIALLY  SATURDAY), BUT NO WARNINGS WILL BE POSTED DUE TO THE
LACK OF FUEL  SUPPORT FOR THE MOST EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER DOES EXIST HOWEVER, MAINLY FOR GRASS AND SMALL FIRES.

COOLER BUT STILL WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN DRY (MINIMUMS 8 TO 18 PERCENT) ON SUNDAY, BUT
IMPROVEMENT IS LIKELY AFTER THAT. WINDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
ON SUNDAY AND SHOULD TURNING ONSHORE AND SEASONAL BY THE AFTERNOON.
SEASONAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC024-291645-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PDT FRI APR 28 2017

...DRY AND GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH SATURDAY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER FOR GRASS OR SMALL FIRES THROUGH
SATURDAY...

THE LONG PERIOD OF GUSTY-TO-STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING THEN SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY ON SATURDAY. PEAK GUSTS IN
THE 30 TO 50 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING, THEN WILL SHIFT TO ONLY THE SANTA ANA WIND AREAS OF
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON SATURDAY. ALREADY LOW HUMIDITIES
 WILL LOWER FURTHER ON SATURDAY WITH MINIMUMS GENERALLY IN THE 5 TO
10 PERCENT RANGE. POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
NIGHT  WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. TEMPERATURES
WILL TOP OUT IN THE 85 TO 95 DEGREE RANGE AWAY FROM THE BEACHES. RED
FLAG WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE WINDY LOCATIONS
(ESPECIALLY  SATURDAY), BUT NO WARNINGS WILL BE POSTED DUE TO THE
LACK OF FUEL  SUPPORT FOR THE MOST EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER DOES EXIST HOWEVER, MAINLY FOR GRASS AND SMALL FIRES.

COOLER BUT STILL WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN DRY (MINIMUMS 8 TO 18 PERCENT) ON SUNDAY, BUT
IMPROVEMENT IS LIKELY AFTER THAT. WINDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
ON SUNDAY AND SHOULD TURNING ONSHORE AND SEASONAL BY THE AFTERNOON.
SEASONAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC032-291645-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PDT FRI APR 28 2017

...DRY AND GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH SATURDAY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER FOR GRASS OR SMALL FIRES THROUGH
SATURDAY...

THE LONG PERIOD OF GUSTY-TO-STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING THEN SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY ON SATURDAY. PEAK GUSTS IN
THE 30 TO 50 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING, THEN WILL SHIFT TO ONLY THE SANTA ANA WIND AREAS OF
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON SATURDAY. ALREADY LOW HUMIDITIES
 WILL LOWER FURTHER ON SATURDAY WITH MINIMUMS GENERALLY IN THE 5 TO
10 PERCENT RANGE. POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
NIGHT  WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. TEMPERATURES
WILL TOP OUT IN THE 85 TO 95 DEGREE RANGE AWAY FROM THE BEACHES. RED
FLAG WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE WINDY LOCATIONS
(ESPECIALLY  SATURDAY), BUT NO WARNINGS WILL BE POSTED DUE TO THE
LACK OF FUEL  SUPPORT FOR THE MOST EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER DOES EXIST HOWEVER, MAINLY FOR GRASS AND SMALL FIRES.

COOLER BUT STILL WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN DRY (MINIMUMS 8 TO 18 PERCENT) ON SUNDAY, BUT
IMPROVEMENT IS LIKELY AFTER THAT. WINDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
ON SUNDAY AND SHOULD TURNING ONSHORE AND SEASONAL BY THE AFTERNOON.
SEASONAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC030-291645-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PDT FRI APR 28 2017

...DRY AND GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH SATURDAY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER FOR GRASS OR SMALL FIRES THROUGH
SATURDAY...

THE LONG PERIOD OF GUSTY-TO-STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING THEN SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY ON SATURDAY. PEAK GUSTS IN
THE 30 TO 50 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING, THEN WILL SHIFT TO ONLY THE SANTA ANA WIND AREAS OF
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON SATURDAY. ALREADY LOW HUMIDITIES
 WILL LOWER FURTHER ON SATURDAY WITH MINIMUMS GENERALLY IN THE 5 TO
10 PERCENT RANGE. POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
NIGHT  WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. TEMPERATURES
WILL TOP OUT IN THE 85 TO 95 DEGREE RANGE AWAY FROM THE BEACHES. RED
FLAG WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE WINDY LOCATIONS
(ESPECIALLY  SATURDAY), BUT NO WARNINGS WILL BE POSTED DUE TO THE
LACK OF FUEL  SUPPORT FOR THE MOST EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER DOES EXIST HOWEVER, MAINLY FOR GRASS AND SMALL FIRES.

COOLER BUT STILL WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN DRY (MINIMUMS 8 TO 18 PERCENT) ON SUNDAY, BUT
IMPROVEMENT IS LIKELY AFTER THAT. WINDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
ON SUNDAY AND SHOULD TURNING ONSHORE AND SEASONAL BY THE AFTERNOON.
SEASONAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.


$$



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