Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNAK71 PAFC 041634
FWSAER

SPOT FORECAST FOR JBER RX...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
834 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 AKDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL RESULT IN A WELL MIXED
ENVIRONMENT WITH LARGELY UNLIMITED MIXING HEIGHTS THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL COMBINE WITH THIS INSTABILITY
TO PRODUCE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EVENING. A MUCH MORE ORGANIZED STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE
GULF ON THURSDAY...BRINGING MORE CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF RAIN BEGINNING
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE PREVAILING LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL BE OUT OF
THE EAST TODAY AND NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY. AS THE SURFACE HEATS UP EXPECT
SOME WINDS TO MIX DOWN FROM ALOFT...THOUGH IT WILL NOT BE VERY STRONG.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 5 MPH BECOMING EAST
                    5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WIND 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE
                    LESS THAN 5 MPH DURING THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH
                    6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BAINES
REQUESTED BY...KELLY CLEMONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.JBERR.01/AER



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