Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 231143
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWATER MARSH...US FISH AND WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
643 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...A WIDESPREAD AND SOAKING RAINFALL TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...

HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE COAST TODAY. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST LATE TODAY...THEN TRACKS NORTHEAST
ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
RETURNS BRIEFLY ON SUNDAY...TO BE FOLLOWED BY LOW PRESSURE FROM
THE NORTHWEST CROSSING THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AND SLEET LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............32  32  32  39  39  39  62  62  62  86  86  86
WEATHER COV.........                                    CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........                                    RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................29  29  31  33  35  37  38  39  39  39  38  38
RH..................81  78  75  72  66  64  62  62  62  64  67  70
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.2
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   NE  NE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   NE  N   W   SW  SW  S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   6   5   3   2   2   3   5   5   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/1000....3   2   3   3   3   4   5   7   7   7   7   5
LVORI...............4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................8   6   5   5   5   6   8   10  10  10  10  2
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SLEET LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING. RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
               GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 9 TO 17
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............99  99  99  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36  35  35  35  36  36  36  37  37  37  37  37
RH..................79  82  85  85  82  82  85  85  85  89  89  89
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  70  70  70  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   5   7   8   9   9   10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   10  15  15  15  15  15  20
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   SE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   6   7   9   12  14  16  17  17  16  15  15
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   2   2   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
LVORI...............4   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.................2   3   3   6   10  12  14  15  15  14  13  17
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.SATURDAY...

CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
CHC OF PCPN (%).....60  60  60  40  40  40  40  40  60  60  60  60
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....16  16  14  12  10  13  15  17  16  14  13  13
VRATE KT-FT/1000....5   5   7   8   8   11  15  19  17  15  13  10
LVORI...............4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   4
ADI.................18  18  16  13  13  16  21  26  24  20  18  12
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3



FORECASTER...ALBRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150123.BLACK.01/AKQ








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