Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FNUS74 KAMA 180503
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE HOPE SPRINGS 2...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1203 AM CDT THU AUG 18 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2351 CDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE FIRE SITE TODAY BUT WILL QUICKLY
SHIFT EAST AWAY FROM THE FIRE SITE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AN
UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. GENERALLY
CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED
AT THE FIRE SITE FRIDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT THE FIRE SITE AFTER 1600 TO 1800 HOURS TODAY WITH MAINLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000-9500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............59     61     73     82     88     90
RH..............100    100    68     49     40     37
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 6    S 6    S 7    S 8    S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     20     20
HAINES INDEX....3      2      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............89     82     75     72     70     68
RH..............37     47     62     71     78     87
20 FT WIND......S 14   S 14   S 14   S 13   S 12   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............66     68     77     86     90     92
RH..............97     90     64     46     41     37
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 8    S 9    S 9    S 9    S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     20     20     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...SCHNEIDER
REQUESTED BY...SAMANTHA HAMRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160817.BLUEH.01/AMA



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