Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FNUS74 KBMX 141204
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SANDY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
704 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0654 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 14.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES TODAY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE CONFINED TO
AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-85. MONDAY WILL BRING DECENT RAIN
CHANCES TO ALMOST ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA AS MOISTURE LIFTS OVER
A STALLED FRONT. AFTER THAT RAIN CHANCES DECREASE FOR THE REST OF
THE WEEK. RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD.

RAIN CHANCES SHOULD REMAIN TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FIRE
LOCATION TODAY. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN QUITE WEAK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5600 FT AGL.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     66     74     81     84     85
RH..............93     84     68     56     52     51
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 2    N 5    N 3    N 3    NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     5      5      10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....600    800    1800   3800   5300   5600
DISPERSION......2      4      2      6      11     7
TRANSPORT WIND..020/7  020/5  010/1  320/2  300/3  300/2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............83     77     72     70     69     69
RH..............55     68     82     90     93     93
20 FT WIND......N 5    NE 2   NE 2   NE 1   NE 1   NE 0
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      <5     <5     <5
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5100   3200   800    400    400    300
DISPERSION......7      2      3      3      2      1
TRANSPORT WIND..350/2  010/3  020/6  050/6  050/5  020/2

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-7600 FT AGL.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 42 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 24
                    DECREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............69     71     79     84     87     87
RH..............93     90     71     60     56     56
20 FT WIND......NE 0   NE 0   E 1    SE 2   E 3    NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.<5     <5     <5     5      5      10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     50     50     50     50     50
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1500   4800   6700   7500   7300
DISPERSION......0      7      26     42     20     20
TRANSPORT WIND..050/2  010/3  240/5  250/6  260/6  280/6

$$
FORECASTER...GLEASON
REQUESTED BY...PALOSTM RICHEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140914.SANDY.01/BMX




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