Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 252109
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST RIDGE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
309 PM MDT MON JUL 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1453 MDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN NEAR THE 4 CORNERS
REGION WITH A WEAK WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE BURN AREA. THERE
WILL BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MORE MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN
AREAL COVERATE OF STORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14400-15400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 2000...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0500...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(60-65%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 0100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........63%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7-11 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTH 4-8
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0100.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13900 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1500-2500 FT AGL AFTER
                    2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2300.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 0800...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1000...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000 UNTIL
                    1500...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........24%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1500...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 5900-6900 FT
                    AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 10100-11100 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1200...THEN 12300-13300 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 10800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WEST RIDGE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/25-14 50 14  3 78 17 WNW 10 16 4 2  NW 13 15173 WNW 12152055     E
07/25-15 50 18  4 78 15 WNW 10 16 4 3  NW 12 15358  NW 10141179    V
07/25-16 54 18  4 78 15  NW 10 16 4 3 NNW 10 14856  NW  9123671    V
07/25-17 59 18  4 76 16  NW 10 16 4 3   N  9 14354 NNW  8107035    V
07/25-18 63 18  4 73 17  NW 10 16 4 3   N  8 13852   N  8 91270   G
07/25-19 61 18  4 69 19 WNW  9 15 4 3  NW  8 10964  NW 10 94688   G
07/25-20 58 18  4 63 24 WSW  8 13 3 3 WSW  9  8075  SW 13 86274   G
07/25-21 56 16  3 59 31 SSW  7  7 3 3  SW  9  5186   S 15 66029   G
07/25-22 54 14  3 56 38   S  6  6 3 2  SW  7  4069   S 14 48448  F
07/25-23 53 12  2 54 47   S  8 13 3 2   W  6  2953   S 13 32713 P
07/26-00 51 10  2 52 52   S  8 13 3 2   W  5  1836   S 12 18825 P
07/26-01 53  9  2 51 54   S  8 13 3 1   W  5  1657 SSW 10 15044 P
07/26-02 55  7  1 49 58   S  8 13 3 1   W  5  1478 SSW  9 11683 P
07/26-03 57  6  1 48 61   S  8 13 3 1 WSW  5  1299 SSW  8  8743 P
07/26-04 59  5  1 46 63   S  7  7 3 1   W  6  1356 SSW  8  8914 P
07/26-05 62  5  1 46 60 SSW  7  7 3 1   W  6  1413 WSW  7  9068 P
07/26-06 64  6  1 48 56 SSW  6  6 3 1 WNW  7  1470   W  7  9203 P
07/26-07 61  7  1 52 50  SW  6  6 3 1 WNW  7  3418   W  8 23718 P
07/26-08 57  8  2 57 43 WSW  6  6 3 1 WNW  8  5366 WNW  9 40883  F
07/26-09 54  9  2 63 37   W  6  6 3 1 WNW  9  7313 WNW  9 60697   G
07/26-10 60 10  2 67 32   W  6  6 3 2 WNW  9  9455 WNW  9 75272   G
07/26-11 66 11  2 71 27 WNW  7  7 3 2  NW  9 11596  NW  9 88399   G
07/26-12 72 13  3 73 24 WNW  7  7 3 2  NW  9 13738  NW  8100075    V
07/26-13 73 19  4 73 24 WNW  7  7 3 3  NW  8 13428  NW  8 87404   G
07/26-14 75 24  5 72 26 WNW  7  7 3 3 NNW  7 13117 NNW  7 75213   G
07/26-15 76 29  8 71 28 WNW  7  7 3 4 NNW  6 12807 NNW  6 63504   G
07/26-16 73 32 11 69 30 WNW  7  7 3 4 NNW  6 11793  NW  6 55475  F
07/26-17 66 32 11 67 33 WNW  7  7 3 4  NW  7 10779 WNW  5 47515  F
07/26-18 62 21  4 67 33 WNW  7  7 3 3  NW  7  9764 WNW  5 40156  F
07/26-19 57 20  4 64 38   W  7  7 3 3  NW  8  7404 WNW  6 36233 P
07/26-20 53 18  4 61 43 WSW  6  6 3 3  NW  9  5043   W  7 28620 P
07/26-21 48 17  3 57 51  SW  6  6 3 3  NW 10  2682 WSW  7 17317 P
07/26-22 43 14  3 54 57  SW  6  6 3 2  NW 12  2334   W  7 15049 P
07/26-23 39 12  2 52 60 WSW  5  5 3 2  NW 14  1987   W  7 12788 P
07/27-00 34  9  2 51 61 WSW  5  5 3 1  NW 15  1639   W  7 10534 P
07/27-01 33  8  2 50 62 WSW  5  5 3 1  NW 16  1542   W  7  9481 P
07/27-02 32  8  2 49 62 WSW  5  5 3 1  NW 17  1444   W  7  8483 P
07/27-03 32  7  1 48 63 WSW  5  5 3 1  NW 18  1347   W  7  7538 P
07/27-04 31  6  1 46 65   W  5  5 3 1  NW 20  1377   W  8  9098 P
07/27-05 30  5  1 45 65   W  5  5 3 1  NW 21  1407   W  9 10718 P
07/27-06 18  3  1 46 63   W  5  5 3 1  NW 22  1437   W 10 12398 P
07/27-07 18  3  1 49 60   W  5  5 3 1  NW 23  3125 WNW 13 33574 P
07/27-08 18  3  1 55 53 WNW  5  5 3 1  NW 23  4812 WNW 15 61893   G
07/27-09 18  3  1 61 44 WNW  5  5 3 1  NW 24  6500  NW 17 97357   G
07/27-10 18  3  1 66 34  NW  6  6 3 1  NW 23  8289  NW 17124796    V
07/27-11 18  3  1 70 26  NW  8 13 3 1  NW 21 10079 WNW 17152511     E
07/27-12 33  6  1 73 20  NW  9 15 3 1 WNW 20 11868 WNW 17180500     E
07/27-13 33  6  1 74 19  NW  9 15 3 1 WNW 18 11905 WNW 17175398     E
07/27-14 33  6  1 74 19  NW  9 15 3 1  NW 17 11941  NW 16170262     E
07/27-15 33  6  1 74 20  NW  9 15 3 1  NW 16 11977  NW 16165091     E
07/27-16 33  6  1 74 19  NW 10 16 3 1  NW 16 11663  NW 15155838     E
07/27-17 33  6  1 74 18  NW 10 17 3 1  NW 15 11349  NW 15146851    V
07/27-18 19  4  1 73 19  NW 10 16 3 1  NW 14 11035  NW 15138129    V
07/27-19 19  4  1 69 22 NNW  8 13 3 1  NW 14  8897  NW 13 95767   G
07/27-20 19  4  1 64 28   N  6  6 3 1  NW 13  6759  NW 10 60903   G
07/27-21 19  4  1 59 36 NNE  3  3 3 1  NW 12  4621  NW  8 33536 P
07/27-22 19  4  1 56 40  NE  3  3 3 1 WNW 12  3779  NW  6 20305 P
07/27-23 19  4  1 53 45  SE  3  3 3 1 WNW 12  2937 WNW  3 10246 P
07/28-00 12  0  0 51 48 SSE  5  5 3 1 WNW 10  2096   W  2  3361 P
07/28-01 12  0  0 50 51   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 12  1850   W  3  4663 P
07/28-02 12  0  0 49 55   S  5  5 4 1 WNW 12  1605  SW  3  5516 P
07/28-03 12  0  0 47 60   S  5  5 4 1   W 12  1360 SSW  5  5919 P
07/28-04 12  0  0 45 64   S  6  6 4 1   W 14  1332  SW  6  6097 P
07/28-05 12  0  0 44 64 SSW  6  6 4 1   W 16  1304  SW  6  6263 P
07/28-06 13  3  1 45 60  SW  7  7 4 1   W 18  1277  SW  6  6416 P
07/28-07 13  3  1 49 52  SW  7  7 4 1   W 18  3269 WSW  9 25059 P
07/28-08 13  3  1 55 42   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 18  5262   W 12 54217  F
07/28-09 13  3  1 62 32   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 18  7254 WNW 15 93893   G
07/28-10 13  3  1 67 26   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 18  8627 WNW 15115324    V
07/28-11 13  3  1 70 21 WNW  8 14 3 1 WNW 17 10001 WNW 16137920    V
07/28-12 28 10  2 73 18 WNW  9 15 3 2 WNW 17 11374 WNW 16161680     E
07/28-13 28 10  2 74 17 WNW  9 15 3 2 WNW 17 11747 WNW 16166375     E
07/28-14 28 10  2 75 16  NW  9 15 4 2 WNW 17 12120 WNW 16171030     E
07/28-15 28 10  2 75 16  NW  9 15 4 2 WNW 17 12493 WNW 16175647     E
07/28-16 28 10  2 75 16  NW  9 15 4 2 WNW 16 12149 WNW 15162796     E
07/28-17 28 10  2 74 16  NW  9 14 4 2 WNW 15 11805 WNW 15150398     E
07/28-18 27  5  1 72 18  NW  8 13 4 1 WNW 14 11461 WNW 14138455    V

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...GRAND JUNCTION DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160725.WESTR.01/BOU


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