Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 251106
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for AG Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
406 AM MST Sat Feb 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on February 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Today and tonight...Cool air aloft will remain over the
area behind yesterday`s storm system. Strengthening northwest flow
aloft and some low level warming will also help to produce better
mixing today. Snow showers will increase over the mountains this
afternoon, peaking this evening as an area of moisture moves
through.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(40-50%) until 1300, then mostly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of snow showers after 1200.
Max temperature.....Around 24.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 4-10 mph until 1000 then west 6-12 mph
                    with gusts to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......Rising to 3000 ft AGL by 1100 and 6000 ft AGL by 1400.
Transport winds.....West 10 mph until 1000, then 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1200, then
                    very good.
Haines Index........4 low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers
                    until 0100.
Min temperature.....3-8.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 4-10 mph.
Mixing height.......Lowering to 2000 ft AGL by 2000 and 1000 ft AGL by 2400.
Transport winds.....West 25 mph decreasing to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2000, then poor.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1100, then partly
                    cloudy(30-35%).
Max temperature.....Around 25.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6-12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......Rising to 2000 ft AGL by 1000 and 6000 ft AGL by 1400.
Transport winds.....West 15-25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1200, then
                    good until 1400, then very good.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows around 10. Highs in the upper
20s. Southwest winds 6-12 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows around 13. Highs in the upper
20s. West winds 6-12 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows around 9. Highs around
30. West winds 8-16 mph.


Fire Weather Table for AG Piles.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

02/25-07 35  5  1  2 68   W 13 21 3 1 WNW 29  1822   W 20 30577 P
02/25-08 41  5  1  4 62   W 13 21 3 1 WNW 29  1745   W 21 31926 P
02/25-09 48  5  1  8 55   W 14 22 3 1 WNW 30  2706   W 23 53767  F
02/25-10 51  5  1 13 46   W 13 20 4 1   W 31  3668   W 24 78623   G
02/25-11 54  7  1 18 39   W 16 25 4 1   W 32  4629   W 26106495    V
02/25-12 58 10  2 21 36   W 16 25 3 1   W 37  5367   W 28131279    V
02/25-13 61 13  3 23 33 WNW 16 26 3 1   W 41  6104   W 30158211     E
02/25-14 63 15  3 24 31 WNW 16 25 2 1   W 45  6842   W 31187291     E
02/25-15 68 16  3 24 33 WNW 15 23 2 1   W 46  6781   W 31185065     E
02/25-16 72 17  3 22 36   W 13 21 2 1   W 46  6721   W 31182849     E
02/25-17 74 18  4 20 39   W 10 16 2 1   W 47  6661   W 31180644     E
02/25-18 74 18  4 16 46   W  9 16 2 1   W 45  5095   W 26117397    V
02/25-19 74 18  4 13 53   W  9 16 2 1   W 43  3529   W 22 66921   G
02/25-20 74 17  3 11 58   W  9 15 2 1   W 40  1963   W 17 29218 P
02/25-21 75 16  3 10 60 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 44  1795   W 16 25837 P
02/25-22 75 15  3 10 60 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 48  1628 WSW 16 22623 P
02/25-23 75 14  3  9 63 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 52  1461 WSW 15 19574 P
02/26-00 75 11  2  9 63 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 54  1505   W 16 20556 P
02/26-01 75  6  1  8 66 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 56  1549   W 16 21560 P
02/26-02 75  3  1  7 69 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 59  1593   W 16 22588 P
02/26-03 75  2  0  5 72   W 10 16 2 1   W 60  1412   W 16 20265 P
02/26-04 75  2  0  4 72   W 10 16 2 1   W 61  1232   W 17 17882 P
02/26-05 28  1  0  4 66   W 10 16 2 1   W 62  1052   W 17 15439 P
02/26-06 28  1  0  5 66   W 12 18 2 1   W 55  1133   W 17 16812 P
02/26-07 28  1  0  5 66   W 13 20 2 1 WNW 48  1214   W 17 18442 P
02/26-08 28  1  0  8 60   W 13 21 2 1 WNW 44  1299   W 18 20979 P
02/26-09 28  1  0 11 57   W 12 18 2 1 WNW 37  2737   W 20 47352  F
02/26-10 28  1  0 16 51   W 10 17 2 1 WNW 31  4176   W 21 77032   G
02/26-11 31  3  1 21 45   W  9 15 2 1 WNW 24  5614   W 23110017    V
02/26-12 31  3  1 23 45   W  9 14 2 1 WNW 23  5845   W 21106287    V
02/26-13 31  3  1 25 45   W  8 14 2 1   W 23  6076   W 20101904    V
02/26-14 31  3  1 25 46   W  8 13 2 1   W 22  6308   W 17 96868   G
02/26-15 31  3  1 25 44   W  8  8 2 1   W 23  5901   W 18 91559   G
02/26-16 31  3  1 23 43 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 23  5495   W 18 86121   G
02/26-17 38  1  0 21 43 WSW  7  7 2 1 WSW 23  5088 WSW 18 80554   G
02/26-18 38  1  0 18 46 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 23  3920 WSW 16 54806  F
02/26-19 38  1  0 15 50 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 22  2752 WSW 14 33382 P
02/26-20 38  1  0 13 53 WSW  7  7 4 1 WSW 22  1584 WSW 12 16284 P
02/26-21 38  1  0 11 57 WSW  7  7 4 1 WSW 23  1436 WSW 13 16214 P
02/26-22 38  1  0 10 59 WSW  8 13 4 1 WSW 24  1288 WSW 14 15844 P
02/26-23 31  0  0 10 60 WSW  9 15 4 1 WSW 25  1140 WSW 15 15176 P
02/27-00 31  0  0 10 62 WSW 10 17 4 1 WSW 22  1115   W 17 16792 P
02/27-01 31  0  0 10 64   W 12 18 4 1 WSW 20  1089   W 20 18320 P
02/27-02 31  0  0 10 66   W 13 21 4 1 WSW 17  1064   W 22 19757 P
02/27-03 31  0  0 10 68   W 13 20 4 1 WSW 20   993   W 21 18321 P
02/27-04 31  0  0 11 67 WSW 12 20 4 1  SW 22   922   W 21 16902 P
02/27-05 35 19  4 11 70 WSW 12 18 4 1  SW 23   851   W 21 15500 P
02/27-06 35 19  4 12 70 WSW 12 18 4 1  SW 31   973   W 21 17553 P
02/27-07 35 19  4 14 69 WSW 12 18 4 1 WSW 39  1095 WSW 21 19565 P
02/27-08 35 19  4 17 64 WSW 12 18 4 1 WSW 47  1216 WSW 21 21535 P
02/27-09 35 19  4 20 60 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 51  2596 WSW 23 53054  F
02/27-10 35 19  4 24 54 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 53  3976 WSW 26 92110   G
02/27-11 61 23  5 27 50  SW 12 18 2 1 WSW 56  5356 WSW 30138703    V
02/27-12 61 24  5 29 49  SW 13 21 2 1 WSW 55  5966 WSW 33171359     E
02/27-13 61 25  5 30 50 WSW 15 24 2 1 WSW 54  6577 WSW 37207463     E
02/27-14 61 27  7 30 51 WSW 16 25 2 1 WSW 53  7187 WSW 39247015     E
02/27-15 61 28  8 29 51 WSW 15 24 2 1 WSW 54  6585 WSW 38218381     E
02/27-16 61 29  8 27 53 WSW 14 22 3 1 WSW 55  5983 WSW 37191198     E
02/27-17 84 33 12 25 55 WSW 13 21 3 1 WSW 55  5381 WSW 36165468     E
02/27-18 85 33 12 24 57 WSW 13 21 3 1   W 59  4336 WSW 32121830    V
02/27-19 87 33 12 22 62 WSW 14 23 3 1   W 62  3291 WSW 29 83737   G
02/27-20 88 33 12 21 65 WSW 15 24 3 1   W 64  2246 WSW 26 51190  F
02/27-21 87 33 12 20 66 WSW 15 23 3 1   W 62  2205 WSW 24 46939  F
02/27-22 84 33 12 20 64 WSW 14 22 3 1   W 59  2163   W 23 42812  F
02/27-23 82 30  9 19 65   W 13 21 3 1   W 55  2121   W 21 38810 P
02/28-00 84 30  9 18 66   W 10 17 3 1   W 52  2339   W 18 36430 P
02/28-01 87 30  9 17 66   W  9 15 2 1   W 48  2556   W 15 32870 P
02/28-02 88 30  9 16 67   W  8 13 2 1   W 45  2773   W 12 28128 P
02/28-03 81 30  9 15 67   W  9 14 2 1   W 49  2960   W 16 41886  F
02/28-04 67 30  9 14 66   W 10 16 2 1   W 55  3146   W 21 57140  F
02/28-05 60 22  4 14 64   W 12 18 2 1   W 61  3333   W 25 73889   G

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD
REQUESTED BY...Craig Brown
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700983.19/BOU



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