Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
614
FNUS75 KBOU 310103
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSIER MOUNTAIN...LFRA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
700 PM MDT MON MAY 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1828 MDT ON MAY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA
BETWEEN 2000 AND 2200...WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE. THE
SHOWERS WILL MAINLY PRODUCE LIGHT RAINFALL AND BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH. AFTER THAT THERE WILL ONLY BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT SHOWERS.

TUESDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES. THERE MAY BE SOME
DRIZZLE IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE AFTERNOON. IN GENERAL THERE WILL BE UPVALLEY FLOW...HARD TO
TELL WHAT THE WIND DIRECTION WILL BE ON THE WEST SIDE OF CROSIER
MOUNTAIN BUT SPEEDS SHOULD BE LIGHT.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 2000...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 0200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400. AREAS OF FOG AFTER
                    0300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........88%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4-7 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    UPVALLEY WINDS 0-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 2100 AND 2000 FT AGL BY
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTH 10-15
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR. POOR AFTER 2300.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........45%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................15 PERCENT INCREASING TO 25 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 1100 AND 6000 FT BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH UP TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CROSIER MOUNTAIN.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

05/30-18 65 28  8 59 37  SW  7  7 3 4   W 33 10887   W 21193733     E
05/30-19 60 23  5 57 42 WSW  7  7 3 3 WNW 31  8117   W 16117329    V
05/30-20 55 17  3 55 48   W  7  7 3 3  NW 28  5346   W 13 59428  F
05/30-21 50 12  2 51 56   W  7  7 3 2  NW 24  2575   W  9 20029 P
05/30-22 45  9  2 48 63   W  7  7 3 1  NW 23  2098   W 10 19056 P
05/30-23 40  7  1 46 67 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 23  1622   W 12 16840 P
05/31-00 49  4  1 45 68 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 22  1145   W 14 13380 P
05/31-01 58  7  1 44 70  NW  6  6 3 1  NW 21  1400 WNW 13 15232 P
05/31-02 67 10  2 43 73   N  5  5 2 1 WNW 21  1655   N 12 16671 P
05/31-03 76 13  3 42 76 NNE  3  3 2 1 WNW 20  1910   N 10 17699 P
05/31-04 85 19  4 40 83   N  3  3 2 1   W 22  1977 NNE  8 13552 P
05/31-05 85 25  5 39 88  NW  3  3 2 1   W 24  2045  NE  5  9078 P
05/31-06 84 34 13 40 85 WNW  3  3 2 1   W 26  2113 ENE  2  4278 P
05/31-07 84 34 13 41 82 SSW  2  2 2 1   W 29  2450   E  5  8753 P
05/31-08 84 34 13 44 73 SSE  2  2 3 1   W 30  2787   S  6 14272 P
05/31-09 84 34 13 47 65  SE  3  3 3 1   W 31  3125  SW  8 20836 P
05/31-10 84 34 13 50 59 ESE  3  3 3 1   W 30  4124  SW  8 29342 P
05/31-11 84 34 13 53 54 ESE  5  5 3 1   W 29  5124   W  9 38742 P
05/31-12 88 51 27 55 51 ESE  5  5 3 3   W 28  6123   W  9 49034  F
05/31-13 88 51 27 56 48   E  5  5 3 3   W 26  6524   W  8 47948  F
05/31-14 88 51 27 57 46   E  5  5 3 3   W 26  6925 WNW  8 46334  F
05/31-15 88 51 27 57 45   E  5  5 3 3   W 25  7326 WNW  7 44192  F
05/31-16 88 51 27 57 46 ENE  5  5 3 3   W 25  7108 WNW  7 45367  F
05/31-17 88 51 27 56 49  NE  5  5 2 3   W 25  6889  NW  8 46390  F
05/31-18 87 36 14 55 53  NE  5  5 2 4 WNW 24  6671  NW  8 47258  F
05/31-19 87 36 14 52 59  NE  5  5 2 4 WNW 24  5750 NNW  7 34745 P
05/31-20 87 36 14 49 66 ENE  3  3 2 4 WNW 23  4830   N  6 24040 P
05/31-21 87 36 14 46 73 ENE  3  3 2 4 WNW 23  3910 NNE  5 15340 P
05/31-22 87 36 14 44 79 ENE  3  3 2 4 WNW 21  3752  NE  5 15653 P
05/31-23 87 36 14 43 81 ENE  3  3 2 4  NW 20  3594   E  5 15886 P
06/01-00 74 14  3 42 82 ENE  3  3 2 2  NW 17  3436 ESE  6 16041 P
06/01-01 74 14  3 41 84 ENE  3  3 2 2  NW 18  3051  SE  5 13671 P
06/01-02 74 14  3 40 85   E  2  2 2 2  NW 20  2666  SE  5 11446 P
06/01-03 74 14  3 39 85   E  2  2 2 2  NW 20  2282 SSE  5  9365 P
06/01-04 74 14  3 38 86  SE  2  2 2 2  NW 18  2076 SSE  5  8921 P
06/01-05 74 14  3 37 87   S  2  2 2 2  NW 16  1870   S  5  8397 P
06/01-06 73  4  1 38 82  SW  2  2 2 1 WNW 14  1665 SSW  6  7794 P
06/01-07 73  4  1 40 76 SSW  2  2 2 1 WNW 13  2103 SSW  6 10048 P
06/01-08 73  4  1 43 69 SSE  2  2 2 1 WNW 13  2542   S  6 12386 P
06/01-09 73  4  1 47 60  SE  2  2 2 1   W 12  2981   S  6 14807 P
06/01-10 73  4  1 51 53  SE  3  3 2 1   W 15  4323 SSW  6 20948 P
06/01-11 73  4  1 54 49  SE  3  3 2 1   W 17  5664 WSW  6 26763 P
06/01-12 68 19  4 57 45  SE  5  5 2 3   W 20  7006 WSW  6 32254 P
06/01-13 68 19  4 59 43  SE  6  6 2 3   W 21  7244 WSW  6 35561 P
06/01-14 68 19  4 61 41  SE  6  6 2 3   W 22  7482 WSW  6 39013 P
06/01-15 68 19  4 62 41  SE  6  6 2 3   W 22  7720 WSW  7 42611  F
06/01-16 68 19  4 62 42 ESE  6  6 2 3   W 22  7439 WSW  6 35257 P
06/01-17 68 19  4 62 42 ESE  6  6 2 3 WNW 21  7159 WSW  5 28340 P
06/01-18 62 14  3 61 44 ESE  5  5 2 2 WNW 21  6878 WSW  3 21861 P
06/01-19 62 14  3 58 49 ESE  3  3 2 2 WNW 18  5727  SW  5 25463 P
06/01-20 62 14  3 56 53  SE  3  3 2 2 WNW 15  4576 SSW  7 26146 P
06/01-21 62 14  3 53 59  SE  2  2 2 2 WNW 13  3425   S  8 23909 P
06/01-22 62 14  3 50 65   CALM  1 2 2 WNW 14  2724 SSW  6 14912 P
06/01-23 62 14  3 47 72   CALM  1 3 2 WNW 14  2023 WSW  5  8027 P
06/02-00 24  0  0 46 73   CALM  1 3 1 WNW 14  1322   W  2  3254 P
06/02-01 24  0  0 45 75   CALM  1 3 1 WNW 14  1282   W  3  4098 P
06/02-02 24  0  0 44 77   CALM  1 3 1 WNW 14  1242   W  5  4883 P
06/02-03 24  0  0 43 79 WSW  2  2 3 1 WNW 13  1203   W  6  5610 P
06/02-04 24  0  0 41 83 WSW  3  3 3 1 WNW 13  1166   W  7  6816 P
06/02-05 24  0  0 40 84   W  3  3 3 1 WNW 12  1129   W  8  7935 P
06/02-06 19  0  0 41 79   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 12  1092   W  9  8968 P
06/02-07 19  0  0 44 69   W  5  5 4 1 WNW 12  2317   W 12 23896 P
06/02-08 19  0  0 49 57  NW  5  5 4 1 WNW 10  3542 WNW 14 43978  F
06/02-09 19  0  0 55 45  NW  5  5 5 1  NW 10  4767 WNW 17 69213   G
06/02-10 19  0  0 60 37 NNW  5  5 4 1 WNW 14  7401 WNW 16100618    V
06/02-11 19  0  0 65 31   N  5  5 4 1 WNW 17 10036 WNW 15127150    V
06/02-12 33  5  1 68 27   N  5  5 3 1 WNW 21 12670 WNW 14148807    V
06/02-13 33  5  1 70 25   N  5  5 3 1 WNW 20 13359 WNW 13145015    V
06/02-14 33  5  1 71 24   N  5  5 4 1 WNW 18 14048  NW 12139998    V
06/02-15 33  5  1 71 24   N  5  5 4 1 WNW 17 14736  NW 10133756    V
06/02-16 33  5  1 71 24   N  5  5 4 1 WNW 17 14487  NW 12139010    V
06/02-17 33  5  1 71 24   N  5  5 4 1 WNW 17 14238 WNW 12144005    V
06/02-18 28  6  1 69 26 NNW  5  5 4 1 WNW 18 13988 WNW 13148742    V

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD
REQUESTED BY...CANYON FD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160530.CROSI.01/BOU



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.