Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 201602
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Pumpkin Ridge 3...Greeley Fire
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1002 AM MDT Fri Oct 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MDT on October 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Southerly winds will increase today ahead of an
expected cold front tonight. Wind gusts may get to or above 20 mph
after 2pm. RH values will likely go down into the upper teens today.
Dispersion should be excellent this afternoon. The dry cold front is
expected to push in right around midnight with winds of 15 to 30 mph
into the early morning hours.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1700, then partly
                    cloudy(30-35%).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........17%.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph until 1200, then south
                    6-12 mph.
Mixing height.......2100-3100 ft AGL until 1200, then 5300-6300 ft
                    AGL until 1400, then 9200-10200 ft AGL until
                    1700, then 7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then good until 1300, then
                    very good until 1400, then excellent until
                    1700, then very good.
Haines Index........3 very low.


Fire Weather Table for Pumpkin Ridge 3.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/20-10 23  0  0 56 47  SW  2  2 3 1         1899   W 10 17416 P
10/20-11 22  0  0 64 38   S  3  3 3 1         3313   W 13 36461 P
10/20-12 26  1  0 71 31 SSE  5  5 3 1         4727 WSW 15 60690   G
10/20-13 24  1  0 76 24 SSE  7  7 3 1         6759 WSW 17101703    V
10/20-14 21  1  0 79 20   S 10 15 3 1         8791 WSW 20151692     E
10/20-15 19  1  0 79 19   S 12 17 3 1        10822 WSW 22210658     E
10/20-16 23  1  0 77 17   S 10 15 3 1         8983 WSW 20155148     E
10/20-17 32  1  0 74 22  SW  8  8 3 1         7144  SW 17107709    V
10/20-18 44  1  0 70 29  SW  6  6 4 1         5305  SW 15 68340   G
10/20-19 44  1  0 65 34 WSW  6  6 4 1         4248  SW 15 54748  F
10/20-20 44  1  0 61 39   W  6  6 4 1         3191 WSW 15 41143  F
10/20-21 44  1  0 57 45 WNW  7  7 4 1         2133   W 15 27525 P
10/20-22 50  1  0 54 50 WNW  8  8 4 1         2043   W 16 29088 P
10/20-23 56  1  0 52 53 WNW  9  9 3 1         1952   W 18 30407 P
10/21-00 62  3  1 50 56 WNW 10 16 3 1         1862   W 20 31485 P
10/21-01 62  4  1 48 58  NW 13 20 3 1         1589   W 23 32200 P
10/21-02 62  7  1 47 57  NW 15 21 3 1         1316  NW 28 31086 P
10/21-03 58  7  1 45 58 NNW 17 24 3 1         1043  NW 31 28144 P
10/21-04 55  6  1 44 57 NNW 17 24 3 1         1503  NW 33 43017  F
10/21-05 55  4  1 43 56 NNW 16 23 2 1         1962  NW 35 59411  F
10/21-06 51  3  1 42 55 NNW 15 22 2 1         2421  NW 37 77327   G
10/21-07 44  3  1 41 57 NNW 15 22 2 1         2801  NW 37 90710   G
10/21-08 30  3  1 41 57  NW 15 22 3 1         3182  NW 38104429    V
10/21-09 23  3  1 43 53  NW 15 22 3 1         3562  NW 38118482    V
10/21-10 21  3  1 47 43  NW 16 24 3 1         5734  NW 37180842     E
10/21-11 16  3  1 51 34  NW 16 24 3 1         7906  NW 35235716     E
10/21-12 14  1  0 55 27  NW 17 26 3 1        10078  NW 32283105     E
10/21-13 15  1  0 57 22  NW 16 28 2 1        10145  NW 31273492     E
10/21-14 16  1  0 58 20 WNW 16 26 2 1        10213  NW 30263725     E
10/21-15 17  1  0 57 19 WNW 15 24 2 1        10280  NW 29253806     E
10/21-16 17  1  0 56 19 WNW 14 20 2 1         9515 WNW 26217478     E
10/21-17 16  1  0 54 21  NW 13 17 2 1         8750 WNW 24183956     E
10/21-18 16  0  0 51 24  NW 12 15 2 1         7985 WNW 22153237     E
10/21-19 15  0  0 48 30  NW  9 10 2 1         5967 WNW 16 85734   G
10/21-20 12  0  0 44 36  NW  7  7 2 1         3949   W 12 37695 P
10/21-21 11  0  0 41 44  NW  5  5 2 1         1931   W  6  9120 P
10/21-22 12  0  0 39 50 WNW  5  5 2 1         1734   W  7 10348 P
10/21-23 13  0  0 37 54 WSW  5  5 2 1         1538  SW  8 11089 P
10/22-00 13  0  0 36 56  SW  5  5 2 1         1342 SSW  9 11341 P
10/22-01 13  0  0 34 61  SW  5  5 2 1         1129 SSW  9  9187 P
10/22-02 13  0  0 33 66 WSW  5  5 2 1          917  SW  9  7169 P
10/22-03 13  0  0 31 72   W  5  5 2 1          705  SW  8  5286 P
10/22-04 13  0  0 30 72 WSW  6  6 2 1          621  SW  8  4106 P
10/22-05 12  0  0 29 75 WSW  6  6 3 1          537  SW  7  3074 P
10/22-06 12  1  0 30 72  SW  7  7 3 1          453  SW  6  2192 P
10/22-07 16  1  0 32 72 WSW  7  7 3 1          608  SW  6  2878 P
10/22-08 23  1  0 36 69 WSW  6  6 2 1          763  SW  6  3530 P
10/22-09 26  1  0 41 65 WSW  6  6 2 1          919  SW  6  4149 P
10/22-10 26  1  0 47 53 WSW  6  6 2 1         1558  SW  7 10041 P
10/22-11 25  1  0 54 43   W  7  7 2 1         2197   W  9 18400 P
10/22-12 25  1  0 60 35   W  8  8 2 1         2837 WNW 12 29225 P
10/22-13 27  1  0 65 28   W  9 10 2 1         3641 WNW 12 37309 P
10/22-14 31  1  0 68 25   W  9 10 2 1         4444   W 12 45308  F
10/22-15 33  1  0 69 23   W  9 10 2 1         5248   W 12 53221  F
10/22-16 31  1  0 68 24   W  8  8 2 1         4738   W 12 45177  F
10/22-17 27  1  0 66 27   W  7  7 2 1         4229   W 10 37751 P
10/22-18 25  1  0 62 32   W  6  6 2 1         3720   W  9 30945 P
10/22-19 24  1  0 58 37   W  5  5 3 1         2959 WSW  8 20070 P
10/22-20 22  1  0 54 45   W  5  5 3 1         2199 WSW  6 11532 P
10/22-21 21  1  0 51 50   W  3  3 4 1         1438 WSW  5  5333 P
10/22-22 20  1  0 49 54   W  3  3 4 1         1172 WSW  3  3890 P
10/22-23 19  1  0 48 56   W  3  3 4 1          905 WSW  3  2654 P
10/23-00 18  0  0 48 56   W  3  3 3 1          638 WSW  3  1624 P
10/23-01 19  0  0 46 60   W  3  3 3 1          639   W  3  1830 P
10/23-02 20  0  0 45 65  NW  5  5 3 1          640 NNW  3  2037 P
10/23-03 21  0  0 43 70  NW  5  5 3 1          642   N  3  2245 P
10/23-04 21  0  0 42 73  NW  5  5   1
10/23-05 20  0  0 42 70  NW  5  5   1
10/23-06 20  1  0 43 67 WNW  5  5   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN
REQUESTED BY...Zachery Sullivan
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717621.0/BOU


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