Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 122325
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLS LAKE SAR...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
525 PM MDT FRI SEP 12 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1702 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER
COLORADO TONIGHT.  DRY AND STABLE AIR FROM THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
STATE WILL MOVE OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND FLUSH THE MOISTURE
IN THE UPPER PARTS OF BIG THOMPSON CANYON OFF TO THE EAST.  SKIES
WILL REMAIN CLEAR OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATES THE WEATHER PATTERN.  MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND MAY STRENGTHEN AFTER MIDNIGHT.  CLEAR SKIES
TONIGHT WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL A LITTLE COLDER THAN THE
FREEZING MARK.  SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE EVENING...BUT
MAY INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS INCREASING FLOW ALOFT ENHANCES THE
DIURNAL DOWNSLOPE WINDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-32 DURING THE EVENING...THEN MODERATING
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-62%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    WEST 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-26%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN 8-14
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH THROUGH 1200.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MILLS LAKE SAR.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

09/12-17 11  0  0 42 44 WSW  6  6 5 1   W 28  3852   W 20 67132   G
09/12-18  7  0  0 40 46 WSW  7  7 5 1   W 28  3304   W 18 53095  F
09/12-19  6  0  0 38 49 WSW  8  8 5 1   W 29  2532   W 17 39519 P
09/12-20  6  0  0 36 52 WSW  8  8 4 1   W 30  1759 WSW 16 25943 P
09/12-21  6  0  0 34 56 WSW  9 14 4 1   W 31   987 WSW 15 12367 P
09/12-22  6  0  0 34 56 WSW 10 15 4 1   W 30   950 WSW 16 13293 P
09/12-23  5  0  0 34 57   W 10 16 5 1 WNW 30   914   W 18 14219 P
09/13-00  5  0  0 34 56   W 12 17 5 1 WNW 30   878   W 20 15145 P
09/13-01  5  0  0 34 54   W 13 20 5 1 WNW 29   965   W 21 17754 P
09/13-02  6  0  0 34 52   W 15 22 5 1 WNW 26  1051   W 22 20363 P
09/13-03  7  0  0 34 49   W 16 24 5 1 WNW 25  1138   W 23 22972 P
09/13-04  8  0  0 33 49   W 17 26 5 1 WNW 24  1059   W 25 22950 P
09/13-05  1  0  0 33 46   W 20 29 5 1 WNW 24   979   W 28 22929 P
09/13-06 10  0  0 34 43   W 21 31 5 1 WNW 24   900   W 29 22907 P
09/13-07 10  0  0 36 40   W 22 33 5 1 WNW 23  1367   W 31 37872 P
09/13-08 10  0  0 40 36   W 23 35 4 1   W 23  1834   W 32 52837  F
09/13-09 10  0  0 44 32   W 23 35 4 1   W 22  2301   W 33 67802   G
09/13-10 10  0  0 47 31   W 21 32 4 1   W 26  3417   W 33 96464   G
09/13-11 10  0  0 49 30   W 18 28 4 1   W 32  4533   W 32125126    V
09/13-12 13  0  0 51 29   W 16 24 4 1   W 37  5649   W 31153788     E
09/13-13 16  0  0 53 26   W 15 22 3 1   W 33  6231   W 29154769     E
09/13-14 19  0  0 53 25   W 14 21 3 1   W 29  6813   W 26155750     E
09/13-15 21  0  0 52 25   W 13 20 2 1   W 25  7395   W 24156730     E
09/13-16 24  0  0 50 27   W 12 17 2 1   W 24  7132   W 23144434    V
09/13-17 27  0  0 47 31   W 10 15 2 1   W 24  6868   W 22132137    V
09/13-18 24  0  0 45 35   W  9 15 2 1   W 23  6605   W 21119840    V
09/13-19 24  0  0 43 39   W  9 14 2 1   W 24  5313   W 20 92418   G
09/13-20 24  0  0 41 43   W  9 14 2 1   W 24  4022   W 17 64995   G
09/13-21 24  0  0 40 46 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 25  2730 WSW 16 37572 P
09/13-22 24  0  0 39 49 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 28  2695 WSW 18 43095  F
09/13-23 24  0  0 38 52 WSW 12 18 2 1   W 30  2660 WSW 21 48618  F
09/14-00 17  0  0 38 52 WSW 13 21 2 1   W 33  2625 WSW 24 54141  F
09/14-01 17  0  0 38 52   W 14 23 2 1   W 37  2503   W 26 56343  F
09/14-02 17  0  0 39 50   W 16 25 2 1   W 40  2380   W 29 58545  F
09/14-03 17  0  0 39 50   W 17 28 2 1   W 45  2258   W 31 60748   G
09/14-04 17  0  0 38 52   W 17 28 2 1   W 44  2295   W 31 61011   G
09/14-05 17  0  0 38 52   W 17 28 2 1 WNW 43  2331   W 30 61274   G
09/14-06 32  0  0 39 50   W 17 28 2 1 WNW 41  2367   W 30 61538   G
09/14-07 32  0  0 42 46   W 17 29 2 1 WNW 40  3784   W 32110319    V
09/14-08 32  0  0 46 40   W 18 29 2 1   W 40  5201   W 35159100     E
09/14-09 32  4  1 50 36   W 18 30 2 1   W 39  6618   W 36207881     E
09/14-10 32  4  1 52 34   W 18 29 2 1   W 40  7427   W 37237523     E
09/14-11 32  4  1 53 34   W 17 28 3 1   W 43  8237   W 37267166     E
09/14-12 52 10  2 54 34   W 17 28 3 1   W 44  9046   W 38296809     E
09/14-13 52 10  2 55 33   W 17 29 3 1   W 40  9559   W 36297929     E
09/14-14 52 10  2 55 33   W 18 29 3 1   W 37 10072   W 35299050     E
09/14-15 52 20  4 54 35   W 18 30 3 3   W 32 10585   W 32300171     E
09/14-16 52 20  4 52 40   W 18 29 3 3   W 30  9381   W 30250952     E
09/14-17 52 20  4 49 46   W 17 28 3 3   W 29  8176   W 28201733     E
09/14-18 65 24  5 46 53   W 16 25 3 3   W 26  6971   W 25152514     E
09/14-19 65 24  5 43 59   W 15 23 3 3   W 25  6351   W 24132726    V
09/14-20 65 24  5 42 59   W 13 21 3 3   W 25  5730   W 22112938    V
09/14-21 65 18  4 41 60   W 12 18 3 3   W 24  5110   W 21 93150   G
09/14-22 65 18  4 40 62   W 10 17 3 3   W 23  4760   W 20 83485   G
09/14-23 65 18  4 40 63   W 10 16 2 3   W 23  4409   W 20 73820   G
09/15-00 49 10  2 40 65   W 10 16 2 2   W 23  4059   W 18 64156   G
09/15-01 49 10  2 40 65   W 10 17 2 2   W 24  3755   W 18 60206   G
09/15-02 49 10  2 40 65   W 12 17 2 2   W 25  3451   W 18 56257  F
09/15-03 49 10  2 40 65   W 12 18 2 2   W 25  3147   W 20 52307  F
09/15-04 49 10  2 39 66   W 12 18 2 2   W 26  3262   W 20 56669  F
09/15-05 49 10  2 39 65 WNW 12 18 2 2   W 28  3377 WNW 21 61030   G
09/15-06 46 22  4 40 62 WNW 12 18 2 3   W 29  3492 WNW 22 65392   G
09/15-07 46 22  4 42 57 WNW 12 18   3
09/15-08 46 22  4 44 53   W 10 17   3
09/15-09 46 22  4 47 47   W 10 16   3
09/15-10 46 22  4 50 43   W 10 16   3
09/15-11 46 22  4 51 42   W  9 15   3
09/15-12 44 20  4 53 39   W  9 15   3
09/15-13 44 20  4 53 40   W  9 14   3
09/15-14 44 20  4 53 41   W  8 14   3
09/15-15 44 20  4 52 43   W  8 13   3
09/15-16 44 20  4 50 47   W  8  8   3
09/15-17 44 20  4 48 51   W  7  7   3
09/15-18 38  6  1 46 56   W  7  7   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...DANKERS
REQUESTED BY...ROMO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20140912.MILLS.01/BOU


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