Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 231714
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI RX FIRE...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE/PARKS AND OPEN SPA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1014 AM MST SUN NOV 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER TROUGH IS PUSHING EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA
LATE THIS MORNING/EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  INCREASING NORTH-
NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THIS AFTERNOON.  NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES ABOUT 20 DEGREES COLDER
THAN YESTERDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32-36.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 6400-7400 FT
                    AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15-20 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN AROUND 25
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1300...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 2300...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(55-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
MAX HUMIDITY........52%.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 17-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45
                    MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MIN HUMIDITY........35%.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 16-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    45 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2900 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5500-6500 FT
                    AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 8300-9300 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1600...THEN 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25-35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL
                    1600...THEN VERY GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
12-16 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI RX FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

11/23-10 77  7  1 32 45  NW 16 26 3 1  NW 36  4882  NW 20 89516   G
11/23-11 77  7  1 33 41  NW 18 30 3 1  NW 35  6149  NW 23120437    V
11/23-12 66  8  2 34 37  NW 20 32 3 1  NW 37  6756  NW 23134687    V
11/23-13 66  8  2 34 34  NW 21 33 3 1  NW 39  7363  NW 23148937    V
11/23-14 66  8  2 33 33  NW 21 33 3 1  NW 40  7971  NW 23163187     E
11/23-15 66  8  2 31 35  NW 20 32 3 1  NW 44  6224  NW 23126441    V
11/23-16 66  9  2 28 39  NW 20 31 3 1  NW 47  4477  NW 23 89694   G
11/23-17 66  9  2 26 42  NW 18 30 3 1  NW 49  2731  NW 22 52947  F
11/23-18 65  9  2 24 46 WNW 18 30 3 1  NW 51  2547  NW 24 52403  F
11/23-19 63  9  2 23 48 WNW 20 31 3 1 NNW 52  2364  NW 25 51858  F
11/23-20 62  9  2 22 50 WNW 20 31 3 1   N 53  2181  NW 28 51314  F
11/23-21 61  9  2 21 50 WNW 18 30 4 1   N 52  1876 WNW 26 42901  F
11/23-22 60  9  2 21 49 WNW 18 30 4 1 NNW 49  1571 WNW 25 34488 P
11/23-23 59  9  2 20 49 WNW 18 30 5 1 NNW 48  1266 WNW 24 26075 P
11/24-00 60  9  2 20 49 WNW 20 32 5 1 NNW 47  1254 WNW 25 26982 P
11/24-01 63  9  2 20 49   W 22 36 5 1 NNW 46  1242 WNW 25 27890 P
11/24-02 66  9  2 20 49   W 24 39 5 1 NNW 45  1230 WNW 26 28798 P
11/24-03 69  9  2 20 50   W 26 41 5 1 NNW 43  1226 WNW 28 29302 P
11/24-04 72  9  2 20 50   W 28 44 5 1 NNW 39  1222 WNW 28 29806 P
11/24-05 73 21  4 20 52   W 28 44 5 1 NNW 37  1218 WNW 29 30310 P
11/24-06 73 21  4 21 52   W 25 41 5 1 NNW 37  1504 WNW 30 40210  F
11/24-07 73 21  4 22 52 WNW 23 37 5 1  NW 38  1790 WNW 32 50110  F
11/24-08 73 21  4 23 52 WNW 21 33 5 1  NW 38  2076 WNW 33 60010   G
11/24-09 73 21  4 26 47 WNW 20 31 4 1  NW 41  3627 WNW 33108849    V
11/24-10 73 21  4 29 42 WNW 18 30 4 1  NW 46  5179 WNW 35157687     E
11/24-11 69 25  5 31 39 WNW 18 30 3 1  NW 49  6730 WNW 36206526     E
11/24-12 69 25  5 33 36  NW 20 31 3 1  NW 51  7984  NW 33227373     E
11/24-13 69 25  5 33 35  NW 21 32 3 1  NW 49  9238  NW 31248221     E
11/24-14 69 25  5 32 36  NW 21 33 3 1  NW 46 10491  NW 30269068     E
11/24-15 69 25  5 30 37  NW 20 31 3 1  NW 41  7730  NW 25190984     E
11/24-16 69 25  5 27 40  NW 17 28 3 1  NW 36  4968  NW 22112900    V
11/24-17 61 10  2 24 44  NW 16 25 3 1  NW 31  2207  NW 18 34816 P
11/24-18 61 10  2 22 46  NW 16 25 3 1 NNW 28  2267  NW 21 41133  F
11/24-19 61 10  2 20 48  NW 16 26 4 1 NNW 26  2328  NW 23 47451  F
11/24-20 61 10  2 19 49  NW 17 28 4 1 NNW 25  2388  NW 26 53768  F
11/24-21 61 10  2 18 51 WNW 16 26 4 1 NNW 25  2177  NW 24 46071  F
11/24-22 61 10  2 18 50 WNW 14 24 4 1 NNW 25  1966  NW 22 38373 P
11/24-23 50  9  2 17 51 WNW 13 22 4 1 NNW 25  1755  NW 20 30675 P
11/25-00 50  9  2 17 50 WNW 13 22 4 1 NNW 22  1542  NW 18 25207 P
11/25-01 50  9  2 17 49 WNW 13 22 3 1 NNW 20  1329 WNW 16 19739 P
11/25-02 50  9  2 16 51 WNW 14 23 3 1 NNW 20  1116 WNW 15 14271 P
11/25-03 50  9  2 16 51   W 14 24 4 1 NNW 24  1053 WNW 15 14082 P
11/25-04 50  9  2 16 52   W 15 24 4 1   N 32   989   W 16 13894 P
11/25-05 62  8  2 16 53   W 15 25 5 1   N 39   926   W 17 13705 P
11/25-06 62  8  2 17 54   W 16 26 5 1   N 46  1067   W 20 18100 P
11/25-07 62  8  2 19 53   W 16 29 5 1   N 52  1208 WNW 21 22495 P
11/25-08 62  8  2 22 50   W 17 30 5 1   N 53  1348 WNW 23 26890 P
11/25-09 62  8  2 26 46   W 17 29 5 1   N 48  1644 WNW 24 34401 P
11/25-10 62  8  2 31 40   W 17 29 5 1 NNW 41  1941 WNW 24 41911  F
11/25-11 68 17  3 36 35   W 17 30 5 1 NNW 33  2237 WNW 25 49422  F
11/25-12 68 17  3 39 32   W 18 31 5 1 NNW 26  2442 WNW 28 58449  F
11/25-13 68 17  3 40 31   W 20 33 4 1 NNW 22  2646 WNW 29 67477   G
11/25-14 68 17  3 40 32   W 21 36 4 1 NNW 22  2850 WNW 31 76504   G
11/25-15 68 17  3 38 35   W 21 36 4 1 NNW 33  2683 WNW 32 73834   G
11/25-16 68 17  3 37 36   W 21 36 3 1 NNW 49  2516   W 32 71164   G
11/25-17 63 20  4 35 40   W 21 36 3 1 NNW 61  2349   W 33 68494   G
11/25-18 63 20  4 34 43   W 21 36 3 1 NNW 61  2033   W 33 58526  F
11/25-19 63 20  4 33 46   W 21 36 3 1  NW 55  1716 WNW 32 48557  F
11/25-20 63 20  4 32 50   W 21 36 3 1  NW 47  1400 WNW 32 38588 P
11/25-21 63 20  4 32 52   W 20 32 3 1  NW 40  1297 WNW 30 34280 P
11/25-22 63 20  4 31 56   W 17 29 4 1  NW 33  1195 WNW 29 29972 P
11/25-23 51 18  4 31 58   W 15 25 4 1  NW 28  1092 WNW 28 25663 P
11/26-00 51 18  4 31 59   W 15 24 4 1  NW 24  1044 WNW 26 23942 P
11/26-01 51 18  4 31 59   W 15 24 4 1 WNW 23   996   W 25 22221 P
11/26-02 51 18  4 31 59   W 15 25 4 1 WNW 23   948   W 25 20500 P
11/26-03 51 18  4 31 60   W 16 26 4 1  NW 25   974   W 24 20229 P
11/26-04 51 18  4 32 58   W 17 29 4 1  NW 29   999   W 23 19959 P
11/26-05 55 10  2 32 58   W 17 30 4 1 NNW 35  1025   W 22 19689 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RJK
REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141123.WAPIT.01/BOU



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