Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 112111
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR UTE CROSSING SAR...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
311 PM MDT FRI JUL 11 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1503 MDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000...
WITH DECREASING ACTIVITY THEREAFTER.  OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE 3-8 MPH RANGE.  WIND GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH MAY OCCUR WITH THUNDERSTORMS.  TEMPERATURES WILL DROP
INTO THE 50S AFTER SUNSET AND THEN INTO THE UPPER 40S BY SUNRISE.



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL
                    2000...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 0300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........99%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    0300...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........52%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 6600-7600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL
                    1500...THEN POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS 8-9 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR UTE CROSSING SAR.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/11-15 87 60 38 52 83   E  6  6 2 4 WSW 15  5136 WSW 10 44199  F
07/11-16 88 60 38 55 76  SE  3  3 2 4 WSW 17  5612 WSW 12 57263  F
07/11-17 88 60 38 59 66  SE  5  5 2 4 WSW 20  6087 WSW 13 70326   G
07/11-18 89 60 38 58 68  SE  5  5 2 4 WSW 22  6562 WSW 15 83389   G
07/11-19 87 60 38 57 72  SE  5  5 2 4 WSW 21  6045 WSW 14 73977   G
07/11-20 85 42 19 55 74 SSW  3  3 2 3 WSW 20  5527 WSW 14 64565   G
07/11-21 84 24  5 54 75  SW  5  5 2 2 WSW 20  5010 WSW 13 55152  F
07/11-22 82 23  5 52 76  SW  5  5 2 2 WSW 21  4214 WSW 13 46909  F
07/11-23 80 23  5 51 78 WSW  6  6 2 2 WSW 22  3417 WSW 13 38667 P
07/12-00 78 18  4 51 80 WSW  7  7 2 2 WSW 23  2621 WSW 14 30424 P
07/12-01 76 18  4 50 79 WSW  7  7 2 2 WSW 24  2467 WSW 13 27385 P
07/12-02 74 18  4 50 80   W  6  6 2 2 WSW 25  2313   W 12 24347 P
07/12-03 72  9  2 49 83   W  6  6 2 1   W 26  2159   W 12 21309 P
07/12-04 69  9  2 48 84   W  7  7 2 1   W 28  2219   W 13 24196 P
07/12-05 67  9  2 47 86   W  9  9 2 1   W 29  2278   W 14 27083 P
07/12-06 65 13  3 48 83   W  9  9 2 2   W 30  2337   W 15 29971 P
07/12-07 69 13  3 51 74   W  9  9 2 2   W 29  3794   W 16 59776  F
07/12-08 73 13  3 55 67   W  8  8 2 2   W 28  5251   W 18 89581   G
07/12-09 77 21  4 59 58   W  8  8 2 2   W 26  6707   W 21119386    V
07/12-10 81 21  4 61 53   W  7  7 2 2   W 22  7161 WNW 17107565    V
07/12-11 85 21  4 62 52 WNW  7  7 2 2 WNW 18  7615 WNW 15 95744   G
07/12-12 89 58 35 62 54 WNW  7  7 2 4 WNW 15  8069 WNW 12 83923   G
07/12-13 89 62 41 61 57 NNW  6  6 2 4 WNW 13  7848 WNW 10 67591   G
07/12-14 89 66 47 60 60   N  5  5 2 4 WNW 10  7626  NW  8 51260  F
07/12-15 90 66 47 59 65 NNE  5  5 2 4 WNW  9  7405  NW  6 34928 P
07/12-16 90 68 50 58 69  NE  5  5 2 4  NW  8  6883 NNW  5 29478 P
07/12-17 90 68 50 57 71 ENE  6  6 2 4   N  6  6362 NNE  5 24028 P
07/12-18 70 48 24 56 77 ENE  7  7 2 4   N  5  5840  NE  3 18578 P
07/12-19 70 48 24 54 81   E  7  7 2 4 NNE  5  5135 ENE  3 16778 P
07/12-20 70 48 24 52 85   E  6  6 2 4   E  3  4430   E  3 14978 P
07/12-21 64 28  8 50 89 ESE  6  6 2 4   E  2  3725 ESE  5 13179 P
07/12-22 64 28  8 48 97 ESE  6  6 2 4 ESE  3  3163 ESE  5 11901 P
07/12-23 64 28  8 48 97   E  6  6 2 4 SSE  5  2601  SE  5 10624 P
07/13-00 39 17  3 47100   E  6  6 2 3   S  6  2038  SE  6  9347 P
07/13-01 39 17  3 47 96  SE  6  6 2 3 SSW  7  1884 SSE  6  8874 P
07/13-02 39 17  3 46 94 SSW  5  5 2 3  SW  7  1730   S  6  8401 P
07/13-03 39 10  2 45 93  SW  5  5 2 2 WSW  8  1575 SSW  6  7927 P
07/13-04 39 10  2 44 94 SSW  5  5 2 2   W  8  1505 SSW  5  6722 P
07/13-05 39 10  2 44 92 SSE  3  3 2 2 WNW  9  1435  SW  5  5517 P
07/13-06 40  8  2 45 89 ESE  3  3 2 1  NW  9  1364 WSW  3  4312 P
07/13-07 40  8  2 49 78   E  3  3 2 1  NW 10  3176   W  6 22515 P
07/13-08 40  8  2 53 69  NE  5  5 2 1 NNW 12  4988  NW  8 40719  F
07/13-09 39 17  3 57 62 NNE  5  5 2 3 NNW 13  6799 NNW 10 58922  F
07/13-10 39 17  3 60 57  NE  5  5 2 3  NW 13  7559  NW  9 63807   G
07/13-11 39 17  3 61 57 ENE  6  6 2 3 WNW 12  8318 WNW  9 68691   G
07/13-12 63 44 21 61 58   E  6  6 2 4 WNW 12  9077 WNW  9 73575   G
07/13-13 63 44 21 61 57   E  7  7 2 4 WNW 13  8661 WNW  9 71782   G
07/13-14 63 44 21 60 57 ENE  7  7 2 4  NW 13  8244  NW 10 69988   G
07/13-15 63 44 21 60 55 ENE  8 13 2 4  NW 14  7828  NW 10 68195   G
07/13-16 63 44 21 59 59 ENE  9 14 2 4  NW 14  7095 NNW  9 57289  F
07/13-17 63 44 21 58 63 ENE  9 15 2 4  NW 14  6362 NNW  8 46383  F
07/13-18 71 39 17 57 67 ENE  9 15 2 4  NW 14  5629 NNW  7 35476 P
07/13-19 71 39 17 54 73   E  9 15 2 4 NNW 15  4833 NNW  6 26169 P
07/13-20 71 39 17 51 79 ESE  9 14 2 4 NNW 15  4037   N  5 16862 P
07/13-21 59 39 17 49 83 ESE  8 13 2 4   N 16  3241   N  2  7555 P
07/13-22 59 39 17 47 92 SSE  7  7 2 4   N 16  2969 NNW  5 10114 P
07/13-23 59 39 17 46 99  SW  6  6 3 4 NNW 17  2697 NNW  6 12674 P
07/14-00 54 10  2 46100   W  5  5 3 2 NNW 17  2425  NW  7 15233 P
07/14-01 54 10  2 45 97   W  6  6 3 2 NNW 20  2270 NNW  8 16486 P
07/14-02 54 10  2 45 89 WNW  8 13 3 2 NNW 21  2116 NNW 10 17738 P
07/14-03 36 10  2 44 86  NW  9 15 3 2 NNW 23  1961 NNW 12 18990 P
07/14-04 36 10  2 42 92  NW  9 14 3 2 NNW 25  1985 NNW 12 19860 P
07/14-05 36 10  2 42 94  NW  8 13 2 2 NNW 28  2010 NNW 12 20731 P
07/14-06 43 18  4 43 93 NNW  7  7 2 3 NNW 31  2035 NNW 13 21601 P
07/14-07 43 18  4 47 79 NNW  8  8 2 3 NNW 29  3690 NNW 15 52747  F
07/14-08 43 18  4 52 65 NNW  8 14 2 3 NNW 28  5345 NNW 16 83893   G
07/14-09 43 18  4 57 53   N  9 15 2 3 NNW 26  7000 NNW 18115039    V
07/14-10 43 18  4 60 47   N  9 15 2 3 NNW 22  7530 NNW 16 98963   G
07/14-11 43 18  4 62 43 NNE  8 14 2 3  NW 17  8060 NNW 13 82888   G
07/14-12 65 37 15 62 43  NE  8 13 2 4  NW 13  8590 NNW  9 66812   G
07/14-13 65 37 15 62 43  NE  8 13 2 4 WNW 13  8289  NW  8 56282  F
07/14-14 65 37 15 61 45  NE  8 13 2 4   W 12  7987   W  7 45753  F
07/14-15 65 37 15 61 46  NE  8 13 2 4   W 10  7686   W  6 35223 P
07/14-16 65 37 15 60 48 ENE  8 14 2 4   W 12  7238   W  6 33522 P
07/14-17 65 37 15 60 49 ENE  9 14 2 4   W 13  6789 WSW  6 31821 P
07/14-18 70 30  9 58 53 ENE  9 15 2 4   W 14  6341  SW  6 30121 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RPK
REQUESTED BY...ROMO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20140711.UTECR.01/BOU



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