Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 220330
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Corral Creek Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
930 PM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 2200 MDT on August 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A cool and dry night with light winds will prevail.
Light upslope winds will become southerly after noon Tuesday.
Scattered thunderstorms are expected to form Tuesday afternoon and
evening. Brief heavy rain, cloud to ground lightning, and wind
gusts to 40 mph.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(30-35%).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........74%.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope winds up to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......2600-3600 ft AGL until 0100, then 1100-2100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 low.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1000, then partly
                    cloudy(40-50%) until 1500, then mostly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200 until
                    1400, then chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 20 percent early in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2 until 1300, then 3 until
                    1400, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........26%.
Wind (20 ft)........Upslope up to 5 mph until 1200, then south 5-12
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......1000-1800 ft AGL until 1000, then 4400 ft AGL
                    until 1100, then 7000 ft AGL until 1200, then
                    8600-9600 ft AGL until 1700, then 6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1700, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........4 low.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms until
                    2400.
CWR.................10 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
                    midnight.
LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........79%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5-6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms until 2400.
Mixing height.......3600-4600 ft AGL until 2000. Below 1000 FT AGL
                    after 2300.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........3 very low.


Fire Weather Table for Corral Creek Fire.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

08/21-22 42  3  1 54 54 ESE  8 14 4 1         3636  SE  8 25779 P
08/21-23 35  2  0 51 59 ESE  8 14 4 1         3115  SE 10 27116 P
08/22-00 29  5  1 50 61 ESE  8 13 4 1         2593 SSE 12 26768 P
08/22-01 23  5  1 49 63  SE  7  7 4 1         2139 SSE 10 19955 P
08/22-02 22  5  1 48 66  SE  7  7 3 1         1684 SSE  9 14044 P
08/22-03 21  4  1 46 71  SE  6  6 3 1         1229 SSE  8  9034 P
08/22-04 22  4  1 45 72  SE  6  6 3 1         1142 SSE  8  7744 P
08/22-05 24  4  1 44 74 SSE  5  5 3 1         1055   S  7  6552 P
08/22-06 24  4  1 44 73 SSE  5  5 3 1          967   S  7  5460 P
08/22-07 22  5  1 46 69 SSE  3  3 3 1         1260   S  7  6956 P
08/22-08 21  6  1 50 61 SSE  2  2 3 1         1553 SSW  6  8378 P
08/22-09 20  6  1 55 51  SE  2  2 3 1         1846  SW  6  9727 P
08/22-10 30  6  1 59 42 SSE  2  2 3 1         4411  SW  6 23209 P
08/22-11 35  6  1 63 35   S  3  3 4 1         6976  SW  6 36647 P
08/22-12 45 12  2 67 28 SSW  5  5 4 2         9541 WSW  6 50043  F
08/22-13 54 24  5 69 26 SSW  5  5 4 3         9702 WSW  6 48169  F
08/22-14 57 35 13 69 26 SSW  6  6 4 4         9863   W  6 46205  F
08/22-15 65 41 18 68 27 SSW  6  6 4 4        10024   W  5 44151  F
08/22-16 71 41 18 66 32   S  7  7 3 4         8206   W  6 40511  F
08/22-17 74 41 18 63 37   S  7  7 3 4         6389 WSW  6 34938 P
08/22-18 78 30  9 61 39   S  8 13 2 4         4572 WSW  7 26957 P
08/22-19 78 30  9 58 46   S  8 13 2 4         3618  SW  8 26689 P
08/22-20 78 30  9 56 51 SSW  7  7 2 4         2665 SSW 10 23597 P
08/22-21 78 30  9 54 57 SSW  7  7 2 4         1711   S 12 17681 P
08/22-22 78 30  9 52 62  SW  6  6 2 4         1315 SSW 10 11678 P
08/22-23 78 30  9 51 64  SW  6  6 2 4          919  SW  8  6826 P
08/23-00 65  8  2 50 66  SW  5  5 2 1          522 WSW  7  3124 P
08/23-01 65  8  2 49 67 WSW  5  5 3 1          456 WSW  7  2634 P
08/23-02 65  8  2 48 69 WSW  5  5 3 1          389   W  7  2171 P
08/23-03 65  8  2 46 73   W  5  5 3 1          322 WNW  6  1734 P
08/23-04 65  8  2 45 76   W  5  5 3 1          339 WNW  7  1934 P
08/23-05 65  8  2 44 79   W  6  6 3 1          356 WNW  7  2146 P
08/23-06 58 15  3 44 79   W  6  6 3 3          373 WNW  7  2369 P
08/23-07 58 15  3 45 77   W  6  6 3 3          462 WNW  7  2953 P
08/23-08 58 15  3 48 70   W  5  5 3 3          551 WNW  7  3544 P
08/23-09 58 15  3 51 63   W  5  5 3 3          640  NW  7  4141 P
08/23-10 58 15  3 55 55   W  5  5 3 3         3161  NW  8 21297 P
08/23-11 58 15  3 59 47   W  6  6 3 3         5681  NW  8 39813 P
08/23-12 69 38 16 63 40   W  7  7 4 4         8202 NNW  8 59687  F
08/23-13 69 38 16 64 37   W  7  7 4 4         8765  NW  9 66207   G
08/23-14 69 38 16 65 34   W  8 13 4 4         9328  NW  9 73039   G
08/23-15 69 38 16 65 33   W  8 13 4 4         9890 WNW  9 80181   G
08/23-16 69 38 16 65 33   W  8 14 4 4         8850 WNW 10 79677   G
08/23-17 69 38 16 64 35   W  8 14 4 4         7809 WNW 12 77308   G
08/23-18 70 35 13 63 38 WNW  8 13 4 4         6768 WNW 13 73073   G
08/23-19 70 35 13 60 43   W  7  7 4 4         4816 WNW 10 42931  F
08/23-20 70 35 13 58 48   W  7  7 3 4         2864   W  8 20139 P
08/23-21 70 35 13 55 55   W  6  6 3 4          913   W  6  4697 P
08/23-22 70 35 13 53 60 WSW  6  6 3 4          841   W  6  4451 P
08/23-23 70 35 13 52 63  SW  6  6 3 4          769 WSW  6  4184 P
08/24-00 60  7  1 51 66  SW  6  6 3 1          697 WSW  7  3895 P
08/24-01 60  7  1 50 67  SW  6  6 3 1          669 WSW  6  3620 P
08/24-02 60  7  1 49 67 WSW  5  5 3 1          640   W  6  3356 P
08/24-03 60  7  1 47 71 WSW  5  5 3 1          612   W  6  3101 P
08/24-04 60  7  1 46 73 WSW  5  5 3 1          704   W  6  3508 P
08/24-05 60  7  1 45 76 WSW  5  5 3 1          796   W  6  3900 P
08/24-06 55 12  2 45 76 WSW  5  5 3 2          889   W  6  4277 P
08/24-07 55 12  2 47 71 WSW  5  5 3 2         1139   W  7  6359 P
08/24-08 55 12  2 49 66 WSW  5  5 3 2         1389   W  7  8826 P
08/24-09 55 12  2 52 59 WSW  5  5 3 2         1639   W  8 11680 P
08/24-10 55 12  2 56 49   W  6  6 3 2         3936   W 10 33874 P
08/24-11 55 12  2 59 42   W  7  7 4 2         6234   W 12 62858   G
08/24-12 72 35 13 62 36   W  8 13 4 4         8532   W 14 98633   G
08/24-13 72 35 13 63 34   W  9 14 4 4         9017   W 14106736    V
08/24-14 72 35 13 64 32   W  9 15 4 4         9502   W 14115108    V
08/24-15 72 35 13 64 31   W  9 15 4 4         9988   W 14123748    V
08/24-16 72 35 13 64 31   W  8 14 4 4         8760   W 13 96963   G
08/24-17 72 35 13 63 33   W  8 13 4 4         7532   W 12 73422   G
08/24-18 68 17  3 61 36   W  7  7 4 3         6304   W  9 53125  F

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...MEIER
REQUESTED BY...Christopher Mizenko
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714613.2/BOU


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