Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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SPOT FORECAST FOR MASHPEE FIRE...MEMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
739 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1927 EDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT RESULTING IN
SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS. SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS
INCREASING THE DEWPOINTS AND IN RESULT THE RH FIELDS ARE
INCREASING FROM 70 TO 90 PERCENT OVER NEXT FEW HOURS. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE OUT OF THE SOUTH AT AROUND 10-15 MPH WITH A FEW
ISOLATED GUSTS 20 MPH. THE CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN IS LIMITED AS
THERE IS A GOOD AMOUNT OF DRY AIR AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. AS THE
SHOWERS MOVE TOWARDS THE CAPE EXPECT SOME TO IMPACT THE MASHPEE
REGION HOWEVER IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A SOAKER. AT MOST RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE 0.10 IN OR LESS. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BY 2
AM SWITCHING THE WINDS TO THE WEST.

TOMORROW A FEW SCT SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP BY THE LATE MORNING WITH
NW WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 80
                    PERCENT...DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT...DECREASING
                    TO 30 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (2600-4100 KNOT-FT).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............58  71  85  96  96  95  95  81  67  54
WEATHER COV.........ISO CHC DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                    ISO ISO ISO
TEMP................51  49  49  49  49  49  49  48  48  47
RH..................86  93  96  96  96  96  96  96  96  100
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......13  13  13  14  13  12  9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.....8   8   8   8   8   7   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  13  13  13  12  12  12  10  10  9
LVORI...............5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   8
ADI.................M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
CWR.................20  50  80  80  80  50  30  30  20  20
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT THROUGH
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 17 TO 21
                    MPH LATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2200-30500 KNOT-FT).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............58  62  66  71  75  80  79  78  77  77  76  75
WEATHER COV.........        ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47  47  48  50  52  53  54  55  56  56  56  55
RH..................100 100 96  89  80  77  71  69  64  62  62  61
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......9   8   8   9   10  12  13  14  15  16  16  16
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  30
EYE LVL WND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.....5   5   5   5   6   7   8   8   9   10  10  10
EYE LVL WND GST.....10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  30
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   8   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  14  17  21
LVORI...............8   8   6   5   4   4   3   3   2   2   1   1
ADI.................M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
CWR.................10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   3   2   5   7   10  12  16  19  24  28  31

$$
FORECASTER...DUNTEN
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN DENTZAU
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140422.MASHP.02/BOX



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