Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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SPOT FORECAST FOR ESPLANADE JULY 4TH EVENTS...MEMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
759 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0741 EDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY...BRINGING
CLOUDS TO THE BOSTON AREA. A FEW SPRINKLES MAY FALL FROM TIME TO
TIME TODAY...BUT OVERALL DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR TODAY
AND TONIGHT IN BOSTON. ONSHORE WINDS WILL KEEP CONDITIONS
RELATIVELY MILD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE
BOSTON AREA FOR SUNDAY.

.OUTLOOK...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

WARMER BUT DRY WEATHER RETURNS MON WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BOTH TUE AND WED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT
                    AGL EARLY.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2800-17300 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............54  57  66  74  83  83  83  84  87  90  93
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65  66  68  70  72  73  73  73  73  73  72
RH..................75  73  65  59  55  51  49  49  49  51  55
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5           10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 1.0 1.8 2.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   3
LVORI...............3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI.................4   5   8   13  15  15  15  15  12  11  8
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....3   4   7   13  17  17  17  17  13  13  9

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1500-9900 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............93  93  93  88  82  76  71  65  60  52  45  38
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................70  68  65  63  62  62  62  62  62  61  61  61
RH..................59  65  73  78  81  81  81  81  81  84  84  87
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  E   N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   5   3   2   1   1   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....            5   10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.5 2.0 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   6   6
LVORI...............3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
ADI.................10  9   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   6
CWR.................10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
VRATE KT-FT/1000....10  8   6   7   6   6   5   3   2   2   3   3

.SUNDAY...

MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6000-7100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4700-40900 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING
                    TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54000-63800 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 1.0 1.1 2.1 3.1 4.1 5.1 6.1 7.1 6.7 6.4 6.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   7   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10
LVORI...............5   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................5   8   11  21  30  35  38  47  49  48  47  46
VRATE KT-FT/1000....5   6   8   15  25  33  41  55  64  61  57  54

$$
FORECASTER...NMB
REQUESTED BY...PAULA CUTTEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150704.ESPLA.01/BOX



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