Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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000
FNUS72 KCAE 261237
FWSCAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHERAW STATE PARK...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
837 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE RIDGE OFFSHORE AND COLD FRONT/TROUGH TO
THE WEST OF THE REGION. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL LIFT BY MID TO LATE MORNING
AS LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW INCREASES. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING
THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...
EXPECT STRONG SOUTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS THIS AFTERNOON...AROUND 20 MPH. SHOWERS
WILL BE ISOLATED THIS AFTERNOON AND LIKELY MAINLY EAST OF THE BURN AREA.
INCREASING INSTABILITY TODAY WILL RAISE MIXING HEIGHTS TO AROUND 5000 FEET.
SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY LATE TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING THE WINDS WILL TURN WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST...BEFORE TURNING
OUT OF THE NORTH BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE FEEDBACK INCLUDING OBSERVATIONS TAKEN AT
THE BURN SITE WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.  YOU CAN USE THE SAME
WEBPAGE WHERE YOU REQUESTED THE SPOT FORECAST FOR THIS.  YOU MAY
ALSO CALL OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS.

.TODAY...
TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)..............62  60  59  58  57  54  51  49
WEATHER COV..........
WEATHER TYPE.........
TEMP.................66  68  71  74  76  77  79  79
RH...................84  76  66  57  52  50  45  45
20 FT WIND DIR.......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND DIR.......220 220 220 220 220 220 210 210
20 FT WIND SPD.......7   8   9   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST......15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)........1.4 2.0 2.9 3.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR......S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD......17  21  22  23  23  23  23  22

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..............50     54     60     71     79     79
WEATHER COV..........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE.........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.................77     73     71     68     67     66
RH...................48     51     57     64     71     75
20 FT WIND...........SW 9   S 6    S 6    SW 6   SW 6   W 6
20 FT WIND GUST......15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT).........3300   1600   1400   1100   900    1000
TRANSPORT WIND.......SW 18  SW 12  SW 13  SW 13  SW 12  W 12
LVORI................1      2      3      5      6      6

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..............79     79     79     79     78     71
WEATHER COV..........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE.........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.................62     57     52     50     50     51
RH...................80     85     83     81     80     74
20 FT WIND...........NW 7   N 7    N 7    N 6    N 6    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST......15     15     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT).........1300   1900   2100   2100   1900   2200
TRANSPORT WIND.......NW 12  N 14   N 17   N 18   N 16   N 14

$$
FORECASTER...PETROLITO
REQUESTED BY...TOM DOOLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150326.CHERA.01/CAE





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