Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FNUS74 KCRP 202219
FWSCRP

Spot Forecast for Harvey Debris Management 77 Site...USFWS
National Weather Service Corpus Christi, TX
519 PM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 CDT on October 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (361) 289-0959, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Increasing moisture expected tonight through Saturday. Isolated showers
expected to develop tonight, along with patchy to areas of fog. Isolated
to scattered showers are expected Saturday. Isolated thunderstorms are
anticipated, mainly during the afternoon hours Saturday. Weak southeast
flow expected tonight through early Saturday. Moderate southeast wind
conditions anticipated for Saturday afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Isolated showers
                    through the night. Areas of fog late in the
                    night.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1100-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 1000-1400 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ARS ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
TEMP............83  80  78  77  76  76  75  74  74  74  73  72
RH..............72  80  84  86  88  89  91  94  94  96  97  99
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND DIR..130 130 130 120 120 130 130 140 140 150 150 150
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND DIR.130 130 130 120 120 130 130 140 140 150 150 150
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND DIR.130 130 130 120 120 130 130 140 140 150 150 150
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  12  10  9   8   8   7   7   8   8   8   7
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning. Isolated showers early in
                    the morning. Scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 10 mph
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 10 mph
                    early in the morning.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 2.
Mixing height.......1200-2700 ft AGL increasing to 3500-4600 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 16 mph increasing to 16 to 18
                    mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....ARS SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....FOG RNF RNF RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........    ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
TEMP............72  72  72  76  80  83  85  87  87  87  87  86
RH..............100 100 100 90  79  73  68  64  64  63  64  66
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND DIR..150 150 150 150 150 150 150 160 150 150 150 150
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   6   8   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND DIR.150 150 150 150 150 150 150 160 150 150 150 150
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.9 4.2 4.6 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND DIR.150 150 150 150 150 150 150 160 150 150 150 150
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   9   14  16  17  16  16  16  17  18  18
LAL.............1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...COLLINS
Requested by...Garry Barney
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717313.8/CRP
.EMAIL gbarney@tfs.tamu.edu



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