Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 180837
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for PennCarbose EPA/EMA Hazmat Clean-Up...Somerset County EMA
National Weather Service State College PA
437 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

Forecast is based on incident time of 0500 EDT on August 18.

If conditions become unrepresentative...
contact the National Weather Service in State College.

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front will move through the area today accompanied by
showers and scattered thunderstorms. Showers will taper off this
evening and much of the overnight will be dry.

Saturday will see increasing clouds as a weak disturbance aloft
races into the state. A few showers will be possible, mainly over
central and western areas in the afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Surface winds.......Light and variable winds...becoming west 5 to 7
                    mph.
Mixing height.......500-2100 ft AGL...increasing to 2500-3300 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 16 mph...becoming west 17 to 22
                    mph in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  60  85  85  85  74  74  74  74  74  74  49
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  50  50  50  60  60  60  70  70  70  20
Temp............71  70  70  71  73  74  75  76  76  77  77  76
RH..............81  87  93  97  93  84  82  79  79  71  71  71
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.4   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
Surface wnd gst.5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   10  13  14  15  16  18  21  22  21  20  17

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). A chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Surface winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening...becoming
                    light and variable.
Mixing height.......1300-3100 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-2000 ft
                    AGL in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 17 mph...decreasing to around 10 mph
                    late.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........49  49  32  32  32  32  32  32  37  37  37  37
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............74  72  70  68  67  66  65  64  64  63  63  62
RH..............76  84  87  90  90  90  90  93  90  93  93  97
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.6   6   6   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   4
Surface wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 2.6 2.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.0 1.6 0.9 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.17  17  17  14  9   7   10  17  21  18  14  10

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Surface winds.......Light and variable winds...becoming west 5 to 6
                    mph.
Mixing height.......700-2400 ft AGL...increasing to 4900-5000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  37  42  42  42  42  42  42  54  54  54  54
Weather cov.....                                SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCT SCT SCT SCT
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  40
Temp............60  62  64  66  68  70  71  73  74  75  76  74
RH..............100 93  90  84  78  76  73  68  66  64  62  66
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Surface wnd gst.5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.6 5.0 4.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  15  17  18  18  18  17  16  15  16  17  17

$$
Forecaster...WFO-CTP/LaCorte
Requested by...Joel Landis
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 1714535.0/CTP
.EMAIL landisj@co.somerset.pa.us



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