Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 310909
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 255...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
509 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION
WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING SOME CLOUDS
AND POSSIBLY A FEW SPRINKLES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 10 MPH
THROUGH THE MIDDAY HOURS...WITH SOME GUSTS IN THE MID TEENS THIS
AFTERNOON. CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND LIGHT NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL FOLLOW FOR TONIGHT...WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE
AND A SOUTHEAST WIND OF 5 TO 10 MPH EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7600-8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............8   9   12  18  21  33  33  33
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................70  73  76  79  81  83  83  82
RH..................63  57  50  44  39  38  37  38
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......1   2   2   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.2 6.2 7.3 7.9 8.1 8.2 8.0 7.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   9   10  9   9   9   9   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-7400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-1000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............33  33  13  13  12  12  11  11  11  10  10  9
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................81  78  73  70  67  64  63  62  62  61  60  58
RH..................39  43  53  59  65  73  75  78  78  78  81  86
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10                  5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......7.4 7.0 6.3 4.5 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   8   7
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   3   3   2

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-6500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............9   8   8   14  25  30  29  27  26  30  35  35
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................58  60  62  66  69  72  75  77  80  83  83  81
RH..................86  81  75  65  59  55  50  47  42  38  38  42
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.7 0.7 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.8 4.7 5.5 6.1 6.5 6.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...ERIC ERDMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160531.SGL25.01/CTP



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