Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 271141
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR RXB CCSP...DCNR BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
741 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA WILL RIDGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING A DRIER AND COOLER
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIND SPEEDS
TODAY WILL BE MAINLY UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS MAY LINGER
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE AREAS MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 1 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............70  67  66  63  62  63  61  63
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  53  56  58  61  63  65  65
RH..................56  52  49  45  42  41  40  41
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....            5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.3 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   E   SE  S   SE  E   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   3   3   3   3   2   1   1
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............48  50  44  43  41  40  46  57  63  65  75  77
WEATHER COV.........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  62  59  56  54  51  50  50  49  48  47  45
RH..................45  48  55  59  64  68  68  68  71  71  74  76
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.3 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   NE  NE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   3   5   5   3   2   1   1   1   3   7   10
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1300 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............82  93  98  98  98  98  98  98  100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................44  44  46  48  50  52  53  55  56  57  58  57
RH..................79  79  71  68  63  61  59  57  57  55  55  57
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                                        5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 M   M   M
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   M   M   M
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  12  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   M   M   M
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...RICK MEINTEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.RXBCC.02/CTP



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