Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 260940
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 33 SANDY RIDGE...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
540 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON AUGUST 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE DISTRICT TODAY
PROVIDING ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WITH LIGHT WIND AND MINIMUM AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 35 TO 45 PERCENT RANGE. A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE STATE WEDNESDAY...BRINGING
A SCATTERING OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...BRINGING A COOLER AIRMASS WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND
LOW HUMIDITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO 7 TO 12
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............0   0   1   11  4   5   5   5   7   10  11
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59  62  65  68  71  73  75  77  78  79  79
RH..................75  65  61  57  53  49  45  42  42  42  42
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5           10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 1.0 2.2 3.2 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....0   1   5   8   12  12  9   8   7   7   7
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-1000 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............12  12  12  14  17  29  36  43  46  46  46  46
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................78  76  74  72  69  67  66  64  62  62  61  61
RH..................44  47  52  57  62  67  73  79  86  87  88  89
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.4 2.5 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   9   9   8   6   3   2   2   2   2   2   3
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL
                    1400...THEN 16-25 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 16 TO 17
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............46  46  64  64  64  64  64  64  64  64  64  64
WEATHER COV.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                    SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT SCT
TEMP................60  62  64  66  69  71  73  74  75  77  77  76
RH..................92  88  84  77  71  67  64  61  58  57  56  61
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   6   7   8   10  12  13  14  14  14  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....            10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.3 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   8   10  13  14  15  16  17  17  17  16  16
LAL.................1   1   1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
HAINES INDEX........3   2   2   2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF GUINDON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140826.SGL33.01/CTP


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