Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FNUS73 KDLH 241357
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR SLUGGER 1...TOFTE RANGER DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
857 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THE MAIN ISSUE THIS MORNING WILL BE THE FOG. IT SHOULD GRADUALLY
LIFT AND DISSIPATE THIS MORNING, BUT THE LINGERING CLOUD COVER IS
ONE OF THE REASONS THIS AREA OF THE ARROWHEAD SHOULD NOT GET AS
WARM AND DRY AS AREAS FARTHER INLAND FROM LAKE SUPERIOR.

THE RH WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO COME DOWN THIS MORNING AND EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE FOG AND LINGERING CLOUD COVER.

IT IS POSSIBLE THOUGH THAT IT COULD BE WARMER AND DRIER THAN
FORECAST. THIS WILL DEPEND ON THE CURRENTLY SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER
LAKE SUPERIOR CAN BECOME SUFFICIENTLY SW THIS AFTERNOON SO AS NOT
TO BRING AS MUCH COOLER AND MORE HUMID AIR FROM THE LAKE TO THIS
SITE. IF THIS CAN HAPPEN, IT COULD GET A FEW DEGREES WARMER AND UP
TO 5 PERCENT DRIER THAN FORECAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON.
                    AREAS OF DENSE FOG UNTIL 10 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3600) INCREASING TO POOR (9000) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO FAIR (23500)
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (17400) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............48     52     57     60     58
RH..............85     75     62     53     57
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW    SSW    SSW    SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7      6      7      7      7
20 FT WIND GUST.8      11     13     15     13

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO 12
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3850) INCREASING TO POOR (5900) AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............53     52     51     49     45     42
RH..............66     70     68     63     65     68
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     W      W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..6      7      9      11     12     12
20 FT WIND GUST.12     14     17     20     22     22

$$
FORECASTER...GEOFF
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.SLUGG.01/DLH






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