Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 231336
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RATHBUN...US COE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
736 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE BY
IGNITION TIME. INCREASING HIGHS CLOUDS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...GENERALLY
AROUND 15000 FEET.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........37 AT IGNITION...MAX 44.
RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5100-41800 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13
                    MPH.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........12  14  23  41  50  52  57
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............37  41  43  44  44  43  39
RH..............64  57  55  53  55  57  67
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..13  13  13  13  13  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.9   9   9   9   9   9   7
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.4 1.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..15  15  16  16  16  14  12
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........59     40     32     41     51     54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
RH..............72     69     75     81     88     92
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6   W 6    W 6    NW 9   NW 9   NW 9
EYE LVL WND GST.10     10     10

.SATURDAY...

EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 9G10   NW 9G10   W 7G10    W 7G10

$$
FORECASTER...LEE
REQUESTED BY...JOHN PASA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150123.RATHB.01/DMX



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