Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1
000
FNUS73 KDMX 041515
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSHPILES 10 THORN VALLEY...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
915 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE
DAY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN NEAR 50 PERCENT THROUGH THE DAY WITH
COLD AIR IN PLACE AND LITTLE CHANGE IN THE AIR MASS. WINDS WILL
LESSEN TONIGHT AND THEN SWITCH TO THE SOUTHWEST ON THURSDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (13700-42100 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........12  22  32  37  48  53  52  50
WEATHER COV.....                SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....                SW  SW  SW  SW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............14  15  16  17  17  17  16  15
RH..............56  55  56  53  53  53  56  58
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT WIND SPD..10  12  12  12  13  13  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   9   9   9   9   9   9   7
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5 1.7 1.0
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..13  13  14  15  17  20  21  21
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). SCATTERED FLURRIES EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 1 BELOW.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3600-30100 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........49     33     24     13     6      5
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............13     12     9      5      4      1
RH..............67     66     72     76     68     72
20 FT WIND......N 9    NW 9   NW 8   N 7    N 7    NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 6    NW 6   NW 6   N 5    N 5    NW 4
EYE LVL WND GST.10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    700    1600   2100   2000
MIXNG WIND......NW 21  NW 17  N 16   N 17   N 16   N 14
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      3      3      3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 19.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (12300-17000 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........7         1         6         3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............-1        5         13        19
RH..............75        59        53        51
20 FT WIND......NW 6      NW 7G10   W 7       SW 7
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 4G5    NW 5G10   W 5       SW 5
MIX HGT (FT)....1300      2100      2800      2800
MIXNG WIND......NW 12     NW 8      W 7       W 7
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         4

$$
FORECASTER...SKOW
REQUESTED BY...JIM KRIZMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150304.BRUSH.01/DMX


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.