Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS73 KDTX 241314
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Seven Lakes...MDNR
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
914 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Standard diurnal temperature response expected today under full sunshine.
This will allow afternoon readings to reach near 70 degrees, which is
expected to drop afternoon relative humidity to between 30 and 35 percent.
Light northeast wind this morning, slowing shifting to east by early afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....65-70.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light and variable winds becoming east 6 to 11
                    mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......0-1600 ft AGL increasing to 4400-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to excellent (0-90000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)..........7   7   7   7   8   9
Weather cov......
Weather type.....
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............62  65  66  68  68  68
RH...............43  38  35  33  32  31
Eye lvl wnd dir..E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd..5   6   6   6   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst..15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)....2.7 3.9 4.8 5.2 5.0 4.4
Transp wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd..16  18  20  21  20  18
Haines index....4   4   4   4   5   5
VRate kt-ft/1000.40  60  80  90  90  70

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%)..........12     19     20     28     45     59
Weather cov......
Weather type.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............67     62     56     51     49     47
RH...............33     41     55     68     73     76
Eye level wind...E 7    E 6    E 7    SE 7   SE 6   SE 5
Eye lvl wnd gst..15     15     15     15     15     10

$$
Forecaster...Richter
Requested by...Don Klingler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707655.0/DTX
.EMAIL klinglerd@michigan.gov



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