Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FNUS73 KEAX 151358
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 5...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
858 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT WINDS AND COOL TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP FIRE DANGER LOW ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY...THEN INCREASING MOISTURE ON
WEDNESDAY SHOULD KEEP FIRE DANGER BELOW A CRITICAL LEVEL DESPITE
INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS. LIGHT RAIN IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY...BUT
ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SIGNIFICANT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 3 PM.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16
                    TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........0      2      8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     53     56
RH..............35     30     30
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 9    S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........17     25     36     44     43     42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     46     41     41     41     41
RH..............36     51     63     62     62     63
20 FT WIND......S 13   S 14   S 16   S 20   S 21   S 21
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     25     30     30     30
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 29 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 40 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 37
                    TO 43 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 26 TO 33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........41     41     40     39     46     56
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............42     50     57     62     64     65
RH..............60     49     39     35     33     33
20 FT WIND......S 23   S 26   S 28   SW 25  SW 22  SW 16
20 FT WIND GUST.30     35     35     35     30     25
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...BOOKBINDER
REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140415.UNIT5.01/EAX






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