Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1
000
FNUS74 KEPZ 201646
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for GRINDSTONE BROADCAST BURN...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service Santa Teresa NM/El Paso TX
946 AM MST Mon Nov 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on November 20.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the El Paso
National Weather Service Forecast Office.

.DISCUSSION...
Westerly winds will bring warmer dry weather across southern New
Mexico today and Tuesday with temperatures around 5 to 10 degrees
above normal. A weak cold front will push through Tuesday
resulting in occasional gusty winds and slightly cooler
temperatures by Wednesday. High pressure aloft will produce more
warm dry weather with well above normal temperatures Thanksgiving
day through early next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    at times.
Mixing height.......1400-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........38     38     38     38
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............49     53     55     55
RH..............16     16     16     15
20 ft wind......W 11   W 12   W 12   W 11
20 ft wind gust.20     25     25     20
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   2300   2300   2300
Transport wind..W 13   W 16   W 17   W 13
Haines index....4      4      4      4
Vent Rate.......POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph.
Mixing height.......300-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 18 to 19 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........27     27     27     27     27     27
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............51     49     48     39     49     48
RH..............18     20     22     31     21     22
20 ft wind......W 10   W 11   W 12   W 12   W 12   NW 12
20 ft wind gust.20     25     25     25     25     25
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    300    400    400    400
Transport wind..W 10   W 12   W 13   W 14   W 16   NW 18
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      3
Vent Rate.......POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......3000-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (62300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........37        37        37        37
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............47        53        59        58
RH..............24        22        19        21
20 FT wind......NW 12G25  NW 11G20  N 9G20    NE 10G20
Mix hgt (ft)....3000      3000      3600      3600
Transport wind..NW 18     N 18      NE 23     E 16
Haines index....3         3         3         3
Vent Rate.......GOOD      GOOD      GOOD      GOOD

$$
Forecaster...LANEY
Requested by...Erik Kimbrell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719032.0/EPZ
.EMAIL nmadc@fs.fed.us



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.