Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 251431
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SLAUGHTER MESA RX...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
831 AM MDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 MDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE BURN AREA TODAY WHICH
WILL HELP TO SHIFT WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASE THEM UP
TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. VENT RATES WILL BECOME EXCELLENT HOWEVER.
A WEAK BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRY TO PUSH INTO THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...BUT LITTLE EFFECT FROM IT WILL OCCUR EXCEPT TO LOWER
MIXING HEIGHTS AND VENT RATES FOR THURSDAY. GOING INTO THE
WEEKEND...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING ABOVE NORMAL AND LIGHT WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 15
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300-8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........POOR THROUGH 11 AM...THEN BECOMING
                    EXCELLENT(168000 KT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) IN EVENING THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING UPSLOPE 3
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........POOR(25000 KT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.SLAUG.01/EPZ






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