Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 252151
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BARONS CREEK CROSSING...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
451 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1623 CDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING FROM NORTHERN GILLESPIE
COUNTY TOWARD THE FIRE AREA. AHEAD OF THESE STORMS THERE WILL BE A
WIND SHIFT TO A NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION WITH WIND SPEEDS AROUND 25 MPH.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL DISSIPATE
GRADUALLY AFTER SUNSET. ISOLATED STORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...COULD PRODUCE STRONG
OUTFLOW WINDS RESULTING IN LOCALIZED ERRATIC WIND SHIFTS AND
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. WINDS IN THUNDERSTORMS COULD
                    BE UP TO 40 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. WINDS IN THUNDERSTORMS COULD
                    BE UP TO 40 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800-10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........68     66     41     33     29     22
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............92     87     81     78     76     73
RH..............34     42     56     64     69     79
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 5    E 3    SE 3   SE 3   S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10            5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 4    E 4    E 3    SE 2   SE 2   S 2
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....6      6      5      4      4      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9700-11100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO
                    7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........16     13     11     28     34     33
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............70     72     80     87     91     93
RH..............87     81     62     46     38     33
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 3    E 3    E 3    E 5    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5             10
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 2    E 2    E 3    E 3    E 4    E 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..       5      5      5      5      10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      5      5      6

$$
FORECASTER...05
REQUESTED BY...PEARLIE GREEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150825.BARON.01/EWX



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