Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 261729
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR S-130 190 BURN...TX A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1229 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON JUNE 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTH
AND EAST OF THE BURN SITE AS OF 1230PM. SLIGHTLY GREATER COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED THROUGH IGNITION TIME AND THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED NEAR THE
BURN SITE AND IT COULD BE IMPACTED BY BRIEF MODERATE RAIN AND
LIGHTNING IF A STORM WAS TO MOVE OVERHEAD. STORMS WILL NOT LAST
LONG OVER THE BURN SITE IF IMPACTED GIVEN THEIR QUICK MOTION TO
THE NORTHWEST.

WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH BUT MAY
BE LOWER IN SHELTERED AREAS. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 50
PERCENT THROUGH THE BURN TIME AS AMPLE MOISTURE IS IN PLACE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MAX HAINES INDEX....4 (LOW).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700-7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........52     52
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............91     93
RH..............58     54
20 FT WIND......SE 8   SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6   SE 6
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1.
MAX HAINES INDEX....4 (LOW).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
                    0 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH 0 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........48     44     40     39     40     44
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............92     87     82     78     77     77
RH..............58     68     77     85     87     87
20 FT WIND......SE 9   SE 8   SE 6   S 3    S 3    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15            5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 7   SE 6   SE 5   S 3    S 3    S 2
EYE LEVEL WIND..15     15            5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      3

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX HAINES INDEX....4 (LOW).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900-7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........48     50     49     48     46     41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............75     78     85     90     93     94
RH..............94     88     75     60     51     49
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 2   SW 3   SE 3   SE 5   E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SE 3   SE 4   E 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..              5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...00
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN MOORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160626.S1301.01/EWX



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