Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FNUS72 KFFC 181125
FWSFFC

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMPARTMENT 175...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
725 AM EDT THU AUG 18 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DEEPER MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
FRIDAY. THERE ARE STILL SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS LEFT OVER FROM LAST
NIGHT THAT ARE JUST NORTH OF THE BURN LOCATION. THIS MAY BE AN
INDICATION THAT SHOWERS WILL KICK OFF A BIT SOONER THAN EXPECTED
BUT FOR NOW STILL THINK THE MAJORITY OF STORMS WILL BEGIN ACROSS THE
AREA AFTER 1PM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING WEST 3 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....5...INCREASING TO 30.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........38     54     63     64
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............87     92     94     93
RH..............65     52     46     48
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 3    W 5    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5
DISPERSION IDX..16     18     32     32
LVORI...........2      2      1      1
CWR.............10     30     40     40

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................40 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34...DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........65     67     70     71     67     52
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............91     85     80     77     75     74
RH..............53     70     78     85     90     92
20 FT WIND......W 6    SW 3   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      5
DISPERSION IDX..34     2      1      1      1      1
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      7      7
CWR.............40     40     30     30     20     20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6...INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 31 LATE.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........50     49     50     54     65     81
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............73     74     81     88     91     93
RH..............97     97     78     61     52     48
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 2   W 3    W 5    W 6    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      10     10     10
DISPERSION IDX..2      8      10     36     30     31
LVORI...........8      6      4      1      2      1
CWR.............20     20     20     30     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...MIKE DAVIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160818.COMPA.01/FFC



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