Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
000
FNUS75 KFGZ 271430
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK CREEK WASH PILES...NAVAJO REGION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
730 AM MST FRI FEB 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON FEBRUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS FROM TODAY INTO SATURDAY. EXPECT BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS
TODAY...BUT STRONGER AND GUSTIER WINDS ON SATURDAY. AS THE CENTER
OF THE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA EARLY NEXT
WEEK...BREEZY WINDS AND SIGNIFICANT WETTING PRECIPITATION IS
LIKELY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 49 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. OCCASIONAL
                    AFTERNOON GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD (74200 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......742.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    3900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS...INCREASING TO 20
                    TO 25 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 100 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (6600 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......66.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 64 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    35 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (150500 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......1505.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...INCREASING
                    TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 KNOTS...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    35 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...DANIEL
REQUESTED BY...PHILLIP JAMES
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150227.BLACK.01/FGZ





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.