Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 051440
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MYRTLE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
740 AM MST MON DEC 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON DECEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...FOR TODAY...LOOK FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND GENERALLY LIGHT
WINDS UNDER WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. ON TUESDAY...A FAST MOVING WEATHER
DISTURBANCE WILL BRUSH THE AREA OF THE MYRTLE PILES DELIVERING
BREEZY CONDITIONS AS WELL AS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. AFTERNOON
VENTILATION WILL BE FAIR UNDER LIGHT WINDS TODAY BUT BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON BECOME GOOD WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONGER WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 TO 17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH UNTIL 900 AM LST...
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (27800 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......278.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO
                    2200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 TO 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 800 PM LST...
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (800 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......8.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 TO 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 15 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (48500 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......485.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 2600
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MCCOLLUM
REQUESTED BY...DANNY WHATLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603887.0/FGZ
.EMAIL DWHATLEY@FS.FED.US


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