Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 181231
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILKWATER RX...NAVAJO REGION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
531 AM MST MON AUG 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN ACTIVE MONSOON PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS TO THE AREA. A
MOISTENING TREND WILL BEGIN TODAY WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY
THAN YESTERDAY. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE
TUESDAY WITH MUCH HIGHER HUMIDITY AND COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (50800 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......508.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 11600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 9200 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (500 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 KNOTS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    20 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (41800 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......418.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SCHWITZER
REQUESTED BY...DARRYL K  WILSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140818.MILKW.01/FGZ






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