Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FNUS74 KFWD 270044
FWSFWD

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOSQUE COUNTY...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
744 PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1924 CDT ON JULY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING WELL TO THE NORTH OF
THE FIRE WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND SHOULD NOT
IMPACT THE SITE. THERE IS A VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY TO BRIEFLY SWITCH WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTH FOR AN HOUR
OR TWO AFTER 2300 CDT TONIGHT.

TOMORROW, ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT THE FIRE SITE, ALTHOUGH THE CHANCE IS RELATIVELY LOW.
THE MOST LIKELY TIME LOOKS TO BE BETWEEN 1300 AND 1900 CDT AND
STORM MOTIONS WOULD BE FROM THE NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10
MPH. ANY STORMS WOULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS, AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

OUR REGION WILL BE CAUGHT IN AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN, AND
SLIGHT CHANCES OF AFTERNOON STORMS WILL PERSIST INTO THE END OF
THE WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH THIS EVENING,
                    BECOMING SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700-8200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.
MAX HAINES INDEX....5 (MODERATE).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........62     54     47     39     38     36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............92     84     79     77     75     73
RH..............46     61     74     79     87     93
20 FT WIND......E 5    SE 4   SE 4   S 4    S 3    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 2    SE 2   SE 2   S 2    S 2    S 1
MIX HGT (FT)....7700   3000   700    700    600    500
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13   SE 12  S 10   S 9    S 7    S 6
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      3      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY AFTER 1300
                    CDT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH.
MAX HAINES INDEX....5 (MODERATE).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........36     38     44     49     53     55
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............72     75     82     88     92     94
RH..............97     87     72     55     46     41
20 FT WIND......S 2    SE 2   SE 2   S 3    SE 4   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 1    S 1    S 1    S 2    SE 2   SE 2
MIX HGT (FT)....500    800    1500   4900   7000   7800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6    S 5    S 3    SE 6   SE 8   SE 9
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      5      5

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH.
MAX HAINES INDEX....5 (MODERATE).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........56     55     51     47     48     54
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............93     89     82     80     77     76
RH..............44     50     65     72     79     85
20 FT WIND......SE 6   S 6    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10            5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 3   S 3    S 2    S 2    S 2    S 2
MIX HGT (FT)....6800   4500   700    700    700    700
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14  S 15   S 13   S 13   S 13   S 12
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      3      3


$$
FORECASTER...CARLAW
REQUESTED BY...SARAH BROOKS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160726.BOSQU.01/FWD


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