Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 280351
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP GULCH 9 28 16...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
951 PM MDT TUE SEP 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. CHANCES FOR ANY PRECIPITATION DURING
THE DAY ARE MINIMAL BUT THEY DO INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS THE
LOW APPROACHES... SOME MIXING IS EXPECTED ALLOWING GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSAL FROM NOON ONWARDS. ON THURSDAY...THE LOW WILL BECOME AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AS IT MOVES OVERHEAD. CHANCES ALSO
INCREASE FOR GREATER COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION WITH SOME ISOLATED
MORNING SHOWERS POSSIBLE BECOMING SCATTERED IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
SOME THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AFTER 3PM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    6 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD AFTER 12PM.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD AFTER 1PM.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...RYAN HUGHES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160928.SHEEP.02/GJT



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