Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS73 KGRR 191422
FWSGRR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALDWIN FUELS UNIT 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1022 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (616) 949-5150, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...Dry today with just thin high cirrus clouds. Minimum
relative humidities falling to around 25 percent with highs in the
mid 60s and a west wind around 10 MPH. Warm and dry weather continuing
through the weekend. Breezy again on Saturday then rain chances
increasing late Sunday into Monday.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3900-4400
                    FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400 /GOOD/ AT IGNITION. MAX...1000 /EXCELLENT/.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........30     30     27     20     9      3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57     62     64     63     57     51
RH..............51     33     29     31     43     60
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 11   W 11   W 10   SW 8   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     13     14     12
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   4000   4300   3400   1700   500
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      5      4      4
SMOKE DISPERSAL 400    900    1000   700    200    0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-600 (POOR TO EXCELLENT).
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEADE
REQUESTED BY...BEN WAGNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717544.0/GRR
.EMAIL BENWAGNER@FS.FED.US


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