Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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130
FNUS73 KGRR 271524
FWSGRR

SPOT FORECAST FOR STOLL WOODCOCK...MDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1124 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (616) 949-5150, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will be approaching from the west late this morning into
early afternoon. This will keep chances for showers and a couple
of thunderstorms in the forecast through midday. The main issue will be
winds gusting to around 40 mph through the morning. Winds out of the south
this morning will shift out of the southwest for the afternoon. We then
keep it dry until Friday afternoon and evening, when a few showers are
introduced back into the forecast. Much of Saturday will be dry, but a
bigger system moves in late Saturday through Monday, bringing very wet
weather into the region.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH
                    MIDDAY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 19 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3900-4400
                    FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 23 TO 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 30
                    TO 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1100 /EXCELLENT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...1300
                    /EXCELLENT/.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
SKY (%).........78     78     74     66     69     70
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP............64     61     57     53     50     47
RH..............60     60     62     64     66     74
20 FT WIND......SW 15  SW 14  SW 14  W 11   W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.30     30     30     25     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   4200   4400   4100   4200   4200
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4      4      4
SMOKE DISPERSAL 1100   1300   1300   1200   1200   1200

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...JAM
REQUESTED BY...DON KLINGLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707874.0/GRR
.EMAIL KLINGLERD@MICHIGAN.GOV



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