Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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FNUS74 KHUN 171124
FWSHUN

Spot Forecast for Hickory Rush...Usfs
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
524 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on February 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Light and variable winds this morning will transition to a southwesterly
flow of 5-10 MPH by this afternoon. Sunny skies will generally prevail
with high clouds approaching from the west in the afternoon. RH values
are in the 50-60 percent range this morning but will drop to around 33 percent
by the afternoon. There is a chance RH values could go 1-2 percent lower if
afternoon highs are 1-2 degrees higher than currently forecast and that will
need to be monitored. Mixing heights are low this morning and should be
above 1800ft by 11 am.

Clouds continue to increase overnight with rain approaching from the west
around midnight to 2 am with scattered rainfall expected by sunrise on
Saturday. These scattered showers should continue through the day with
no thunderstorms forecast at this time. Winds will be more southerly
around 5 mph overnight. No fog is expected at this time.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Middle 60s.
Min humidity........Around 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
CWR.................10 percent.
Mixing height.......100 ft increasing 1300 ft AGL by 10 am...increasing
                    to 2300-3600 ft by noon.
                    AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 14 mph with highest values in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............50  55  59  62  65  66  66  64  61
RH..............54  49  42  36  33  33  33  37  44
20 FT WIND DIR..230 230 220 220 220 210 200 200 190
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.3 2.3 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.3 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.240 240 240 240 230 220 210 210 200
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   9   10  12  12  12  12  13  14
DISPERSION IDX..4   4   30  44  49  51  49  51  49
LVORI...........2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated showers
                    after midnight. Scattered showers by 6 am.
Min temperature.....Upper 40s.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
CWR.................10 percent...increasing to 40 percent.
Mixing height.......1000-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....                        ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............58  56  54  53  53  52  51  51  51  50  49  49
RH..............51  55  57  59  59  61  66  66  68  74  80  83
20 FT WIND DIR..190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 180 190 190
20 FT WIND SPD..1   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   2   2   2   1
20 FT WIND GUST.        5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.8 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.200 200 190 190 190 190 190 190 200 200 210 220
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  13  12  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   8
DISPERSION IDX..42  30  20  14  16  20  5   5   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  30  30  40

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered showers until
                    late afternoon...then isolated showers late with
rain tapering off by sunset.
Max temperature.....Lower 60s.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
CWR.................50 percent...decreasing to 10 percent.
Mixing height.......1700-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............48  48  49  51  53  56  58  60  62  62  61  59
RH..............89  89  89  83  80  72  69  67  62  65  67  75
20 FT WIND DIR..200 190 180 170 170 180 190 190 210 210 210 220
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   2   1
20 FT WIND GUST.            5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.220 220 210 200 210 230 230 230 230 230 220 210
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   8   8   9   10  12  10  9   8   8   9
DISPERSION IDX..4   4   4   4   4   25  30  29  27  24  22  22
LVORI...........6   6   6   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
CWR.............50  50  50  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  20  10

$$
Forecaster...Nash
Requested by...Kerry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702325.0/HUN
.EMAIL Kerryclark@fs.fed.us



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