Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS72 KILM 301534
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWELL...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1034 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA AND MOVE OFFSHORE BY DAYBREAK TODAY.
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER WILL REMAIN UNTIL THE COLD FRONT CLEARS
THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. COLD...CANADIAN AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THRU SATURDAY. GUSTY
NW WINDS TO OCCUR TODAY INTO TONIGHT WITH DECENT COLD AIR ADVECTION
OCCURRING. BY LATE SATURDAY THRU MONDAY...MILDER TEMPS AND INCREASING
RAIN CHANCES TO OCCUR. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE
AREA DURING MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

BROTAK WIND PROFILE TODAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4700 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH...INCREASING TO 23 TO 29
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (7704-51864 MPH-FT)...INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT (73370 MPH-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50     51     51     49
RH..................48     41     35     35
20 FT WIND..........NW 14  NW 13  NW 13  NW 11
20 FT WIND GUST.....30     30     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)........3600   4600   4600   3600
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 25  NW 23  NW 25  NW 29
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...90     108    118    103

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
MAX HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 9 TO 18
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 21
                    TO 24 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (26334-82225
                    MPH-FT)...DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR
                    (2300-22770 MPH-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      0      1      1
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................46     39     36     33     31     28
RH..................39     47     51     54     57     60
20 FT WIND..........NW 10  NW 8   NW 6   N 5    N 5    N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     15     10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)........2800   1200   300    600    900    800
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 30  NW 22  NW 9   N 18   N 24   N 22
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...82     26     2      11     23     18

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...840
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150130.BLACK.01/ILM






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