Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 051248
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHESSER ISLAND...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
748 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1030 EST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ARE
EXPECTED BY MIDDAY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONT.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED
THIS MORNING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-2900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 13 TO
                    22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 59.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........71  69  67  65  67  70  72  74
WEATHER COV.....                    ISO ISO SCT
WEATHER TYPE....                    RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........                            ISO
TEMP............73  75  77  79  80  80  81  78
RH..............81  76  69  64  62  62  60  64
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..10  12  13  13  13  12  10  8
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
DISPERSION IDX..24  38  54  63  62  60  58  54
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   10  10  10  10  20  20  30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........76     80     82     83     85     91
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............75     69     64     60     58     56
RH..............69     78     87     87     86     86
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 6    NW 7   N 8    N 8    N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     15

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........97     98     98     98     99     79
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............52     49     48     47     46     45
RH..............89     93     89     89     89     93
20 FT WIND......N 7    NE 7   NE 8   N 8    N 8    N 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...ANDY HEISEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150305.CHESS.01/JAX



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