Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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000
FNUS74 KLIX 251446
FWSLIX

SPOT FORECAST FOR IRISH BAYOU WILDFIRE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
946 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH
AFTERNOON.

REMARKS...
1. 100% THE INVERSION WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP NOT LONG AFTER SUNSET
AND LAST THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT BEFORE ERODING NOT LONG AFTER SUNRISE.
THE HEIGHT OF THE INVERSION SHOULD BE ABOUT 1000 FEET.

2. RH SHOULD REBOUND INTO THE 80-90 PERCENT RANGE...IF NOT SLIGHTLY
HIGHER.

3. UNLESS A SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM PASSES OVER THE SITE TODAY OR
TOMORROW...IT WILL BE THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK BEFORE RAIN CHANCES
REALLY COME BACK UP.

4. ASTRONOMICAL HI TIDE IS 10 AM THIS MORNING...OR RIGHT NOW. LOW TIDE
IS 10 PM TONIGHT. RANGE IS 1.1 FEET.

5. THE LAKE HAS BEEN EXHIBITING TYPICAL SUMMERTIME WIND REGIME WITH LIGHT
WINDS DURING THE DAY AND STRONGER/GUSTIER AT NIGHT. HAVE MANUALLY ADJUSTED
THE 20 FT WIND SPEED/GUST FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.


.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........22  19  34  53  56  64  68  55
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............85  87  88  90  90  91  91  91
RH..............77  72  68  64  64  64  64  64
DEWPOINT........77  77  76  76  76  77  77  77
20 FT WIND DIR..WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..15  12  11  10  8   8   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.20  17  15  12  11  11  11  12
EYE LVL WND DIR.WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.9 1.9 3.5 3.5 3.5 6.7 6.7
MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 2.0 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  12  12  8   8   8   7   7
TRANS SPD (M/S).5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3
DISPERSION......13  26  26  30  30  30  24  24
LVORI...........4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........36     36     30     21     19     24
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............91     89     86     85     84     83
RH..............62     66     75     80     82     85
DEWPOINT........76     76     77     78     78     78
20 FT WIND......WSW 10 SW 10  WSW 15 W 15   W 15   W 15
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     20     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..WSW 4  SW 4   WSW 4  W 4    W 4    W 4
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....6700   4200   600    600    900    1100
MIX HGT (M).....2040   1280   180    180    270    340
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7    W 9    S 9    S 9    WSW 13 W 14
TRAN WIND (M/S).W 3    W 4    S 4    S 4    WSW 6  W 6
DISPERSION......24     24     8      6      8      9
LVORI...........2      2      4      4      4      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     20     20     20

.SUNDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........27     25     17     26     30     28
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............81     84     90     90     91     91
RH..............88     80     68     66     64     64
DEWPOINT........77     77     78     77     77     77
20 FT WIND......WNW 15 WNW 12 NW 12  S 10   SSE 8  SSW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     18     16     14     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..WNW 4  WNW 4  NW 4   S 3    SSE 4  SSW 4
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   1500   2200   2200   4800   6900
MIX HGT (M).....340    460    670    670    1460   2100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14   W 17   W 14   W 14   WNW 8  W 8
TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6    W 8    W 6    W 6    WNW 4  W 4
DISPERSION......6      8      6      37     44     60
LVORI...........5      4      3      2      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...EFFERSON
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS LE ROUGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150725.IRISH.01/LIX


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