Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FNUS74 KLIX 082054
FWSLIX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DE SOTO 0954...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
254 PM CST MON FEB 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1445 CST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 8 TO 12 MPH WILL SLIGHTLY INCREASE THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. THE DIRECTION SHOULD VEER TO SSE AROUND MIDNIGHT...
SW EARLY IN THE MORNING AND THEN AND ABRUPT SHIFT TO AROUND NW
BEFORE SUNRISE AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. A LINE OF SHOWERS
WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT. EXPECTING THE MAJORITY OF THIS RAIN
TO FALL BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE WITH UP TO 1 INCH OF RAIN
FALLING. WINDS SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO INHIBIT FOG DEVELOPMENT
BUT COULD SEE SOME MISTY TYPE CONDITIONS DURING THE RAIN. LOW
CLOUD DECK AROUND 1500 FT WILL PERSIS TOMORROW BUT NO FOG.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CST)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........58     58     82     82     82     100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............60     59     53     54     54     54     54     54
RH..............55     64     83     86     90     86     83     83
20 FT WIND......SE 8   SE 9   SE 10  SE 11  SE 11  SSE 12 SW 10  NNW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT-AGL)2600   2600   1800   1800   1600   800    800    1000
MIX HGT (M-AGL).790    790    550    550    490    240    240    300
TRAN WIND (MPH).SE 14  SE 14  SE 16  SE 16  SE 21  SSE 15 SW 15  W 17
TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6   SE 6   SE 7   SE 7   SE 9   SSE 7  SW 7   W 8
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      30     40     40     50     100    100

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 53.
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    20 TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........97     97     97     84     84     84
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............55     53     53     53     53     53
RH..............77     83     77     66     59     54
20 FT WIND......N 9    N 10   N 11   NW 12  NW 10  NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT-AGL)1100   1100   2400   2400   2400   3300
MIX HGT (M-AGL).340    340    730    730    730    1010
TRAN WIND (MPH).S 21   S 21   NW 20  NW 28  NW 28  NW 29
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 9    S 9    NW 9   NW 13  NW 13  NW 13
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     50     50     50     50     50

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE EFFERSON
REQUESTED BY...BUZZ WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100208.DESOT.02/LIX






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