Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FNUS74 KMAF 251620
FWSMAF

Spot Forecast for South Antelope RX...BLM
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1020 AM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on February 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures are cooler today behind a cold front, though Min RH/s
this afternoon will drop to around 12-14 percent in the burn area.
Sustained winds are expected to remain around 15 mph or less,
though some  gusts to around 20 mph will be possible this afternoon.
Recovery tonight will be fair, though low RH/s will persist into
next week. Winds are going to increase Sunday through Tuesday, with
near critical to critical fire weather conditions expected each day.
Recovery will continue to be poor to fair, with continued drying of
fuels anticipated.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather Matrix
product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather Service Office.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph shifting to the
                    south 9 to 14 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL increasing to 4100-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 19 mph.

TIME (MST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............38     47     53     55
RH..............22     17     15     13
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..9      11     15     13
20 FT wind gust.10            20     15
Mix hgt (ft)....2900   4900   5800   4100
Transp wind dir.S      SW     SW     S
Transp wind spd.10     12     16     20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.

TIME (MST)      5 PM      8 PM      11 PM     2 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............54        45        43        36
RH..............14        22        25        33
20 FT wind dir..S         SW        SW        SW
20 FT wind spd..13        13        16        13
20 FT wind gust.15        15        20        15

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 10 to 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-1000 ft AGL increasing to 2800 ft AGL late
                    in the morning, then increasing to 4900 ft AGL
                    late in the morning increasing to 6900-8500 ft
                    AGL early in the afternoon increasing to
                    7700-9600 ft AGL decreasing to 5100 ft AGL late
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 17 mph shifting to the north around
                    13 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (MST)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............34        40        59        64
RH..............36        25        15        13
20 FT wind dir..SW        W         W         SW
20 FT wind spd..11        9         15        10
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....200       1000      6900      9500
Transp wind dir.SW        W         W         W
Transp wind spd.8         10        22        17

$$
Forecaster...Phillipson
Requested by...Nathan Curnutt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702262.1/MAF



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