Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FNUS74 KMEG 181129
FWSMEG

SPOT FORECAST FOR TISHOMINGO...NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
629 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH TODAY WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS. DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO THE MIDSOUTH
TONIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND WITH DRY WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.

BY SUNDAY...THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ODILE COMBINED WITH A COLD
FRONT WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT TO KICK OFF A FEW STORMS. THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACTIVE SUNDAY NIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT COOL CANADIAN
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AND TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOW 80S WITH LOW HUMIDITY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
CLOUD COVER.....MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
PRECIP CHC (%)..30  30  30  30  20  20  20
PRECIP TYPE.....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMPERATURE.....71  75  77  79  81  81  79
DEWPOINT........64  65  66  66  66  66  66
RH (%)..........79  72  69  64  60  59  63
20FTWND DIR.....N   N   NW  N   N   N   N
20FTWND SPD MPH.2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20FTWND GST MPH.2   2   2   2   2   2   2
MIXHGT KM AGL...0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.1
MIXHGT KFT AGL..2.0 3.2 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.1 3.7
MIXHGT KM MSL...0.8 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3
MIXHGT KFT MSL..2.6 3.8 4.7 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.3
TRANSWND DIR....NE  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
TRANS SPD M/S...3   4   4   4   3   3   3
TRANS SPD MPH...6   8   9   8   7   6   6
CATEGORY DAY....1   2   3   3   3   2   2

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
CLOUD COVER.....MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
PRECIP CHC (%)..20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0
PRECIP TYPE.....RW
WEATHER COV.....SCH
TEMPERATURE.....78  76  72  69  67  66  65  64  64  63  63  62
DEWPOINT........66  65  65  64  64  63  63  62  62  61  60  60
RH (%)..........65  70  78  85  90  91  94  94  93  92  91  90
20FTWND DIR.....N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20FTWND SPD MPH.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
20FTWND GST MPH.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2
MIXHGT KM AGL...1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
MIXHGT KFT AGL..3.1 2.5 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0
MIXHGT KM MSL...1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
MIXHGT KFT MSL..3.8 3.1 2.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.6
TRANSWND DIR....N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
TRANS SPD M/S...3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
TRANS SPD MPH...7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8
CATEGORY DAY....2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
CLOUD COVER.....PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
PRECIP CHC (%)..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
PRECIP TYPE.....
WEATHER COV.....
TEMPERATURE.....62  62  64  68  72  76  78  80  81  83  83  83
DEWPOINT........59  58  58  59  59  60  60  60  60  60  60  59
RH (%)..........90  87  82  73  64  57  54  52  49  45  45  45
20FTWND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20FTWND SPD MPH.2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
20FTWND GST MPH.2   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2
MIXHGT KM AGL...0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
MIXHGT KFT AGL..0.0 0.0 1.0 2.3 3.4 4.1 4.5 4.7 5.0 5.1 5.0 4.9
MIXHGT KM MSL...0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7
MIXHGT KFT MSL..0.4 0.6 1.6 2.9 4.0 4.7 5.1 5.3 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.5
TRANSWND DIR....E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANS SPD M/S...3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3
TRANS SPD MPH...7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   6
CATEGORY DAY....1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3

$$
FORECASTER...BRANDA
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS NEPPL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140918.TISHO.01/MEG

I`M SORRY BUT WE ARE NO LONGER CALCULATING THE LVORI INDEX/SMOKE
DISPERSION. IF YOU HAVE CONCERNS ABOUT THIS PLEASE CONTACT TOM
SALEM OUR SCIENCE AND OPERATIONS OFFICER AT 1-901-544-0401 AFTER
10AM.





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