078
FNUS72 KMFL 041243
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for HA 4...Seminole Tribe of Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
843 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Breezy easterly flow this morning with the potential of a few showers and
potentially a isolated thunderstorm at the burn site later this afternoon.
Errartic wind direction and higher gusts are possible in and around shower
and thunderstorm activity. Relative humidity values will remain above critical
thresholds with dispersions in the fair to good range. Light and variable
winds will prevail after sunset.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    sprinkles late in the morning, then slight
                    chance of showers early in the afternoon.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1700, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....30 increasing to 48 late in the morning.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  49  48  42  38  38  38  39
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  20  30  30  30  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
Temp............81  83  85  86  87  87  87  87
RH..............69  63  57  53  52  50  50  52
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  15  16  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  12  10  10  9   9
Dispersion idx..30  43  48  51  52  50  48  46
LVORI...........3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....39 decreasing to 6 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........35  30  26  26  20  24  20  20  14  20  20  22
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............86  84  80  75  73  72  71  70  70  69  68  68
RH..............51  57  67  82  90  93  93  100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   7   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.15  14  14  13  12  9   8   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 3.0 2.4 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..42  36  8   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   1   3   4   6   6   7   9   9   9   9   9

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 58.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........24     13     17     20     32     33
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     50     50
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............68     70     81     84     86     86
RH..............100    100    72     59     53     51
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..3      5      8      8      8      8
20 FT wind gust.7      8      13     16     16     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    2000   3300   4100   4300
Transport wind..E 8    E 9    E 13   E 13   E 10   E 12
Dispersion idx..3      9      31     47     49     54
LVORI...........9      7      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Hadi
Requested by...Jeffrey Radakovic
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413130.0/MFL
.DELDT 05/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0