Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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FNUS76 KMFR 180003
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR JULY COMPLEX  LOG AND WHITES FIRES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
503 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1532 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD WEST OF THE COAST THIS EVENING.
STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF IT OVER THE MOUNTAINS
OF WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY. SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD INLAND
TO THE WILDFIRE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY, THOUGH STEADIEST RAIN
WILL LIKELY STAY TO THE WEST. EVEN SO, A WETTING RAIN LOOKS LIKELY
BY THE END OF THURSDAY AS THE ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGH MOVES
INLAND. SHOWERS WILL END THURSDAY EVENING AND RAPID WARMING AND
DRYING WILL OCCUR FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN WITH
PREVAILING NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL EASE
SATURDAY AS THE THERMAL TROUGH PUSHES INLAND, BUT RH RECOVERIES
WILL REMAIN POOR THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE LATE NEXT WEEK.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS, COOLER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 BOTTOM...55-65 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10-20 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AND DECREASING TO 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES..............3.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGES: SOUTH 10-20 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING
                    WEST 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    VALLEYS/CANYONS: SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING, BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST 3-7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 TOP...50-55 BOTTOM.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO AROUND 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES..............3.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGES: WEST SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH.
                    VALLEYS/CANYONS: WEST NORTHWEST SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST NORTHEAST 3-7 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 BOTTOM...65-75 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT BOTTOM AND 30-35 PERCENT TOP.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO AROUND 5000 FT AGL
                    BY LATE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES..............INCREASING TO 4.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGES: EAST NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH.
                    VALLEYS/CANYONS: EAST-NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES..............5.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGES: EAST 10-15 MPH.
                    VALLEYS/CANYONS: EAST 5-10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
SUNNY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS 73 TO 83. EAST-SOUTHEAST
5-10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 3-7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS NEAR 60. HIGHS 76 TO 84. SOUTHEAST OR UPSLOPE 2-5
MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST AT SIMILAR SPEEDS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS 73 TO 83. SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS CHURCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140917.JULYC.01/MFR







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