Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 042358
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR NATIONAL CREEK COMPLEX...USFS RRF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
458 PM PDT FRI SEP 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1525 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THIS EVENING. SHOWERS WILL
TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT AS SNOW LEVELS LOWER TO 6000 TO 6500 FEET.
WETTING RAINS IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.
ON SATURDAY, THE LOW WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA WITH DRIER
NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA. SOME BREEZY NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY. AS THE LOW EXITS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND A WEAKER BROAD TROUGH SETS UP NORTH OF THE
AREA WHILE A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS OFFSHORE, EXPECT DRY WEATHER
TO CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. WINDS WILL ALSO DECREASE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY. SOME EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY
SUNDAY MORNING AS A SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH SETS UP ALONG THE COAST
AND BRINGS OFFSHORE FLOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                     5 MPH, BECOMING NORTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH
                     LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING NORTH
                     TO NORTHWEST 1 TO 2 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
                     GUSTY AND VARIABLE WINDS NEAR HEAVY SHOWERS
                     AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                     20 MPH, BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                     LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING NORTH
                     TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
CWR.................62 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH
                    INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FORECAST DAY 3...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOW 30S. 20 FOOT WINDS: NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH
IN THE EARLY EVENING, BECOMING NORTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING, SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 57 TO 67. 20 FOOT WINDS: EAST WINDS 2 TO 6 MPH
BECOMING VARIABLE 2 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...RUTH JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150904.NATIO.01/MFR



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