Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 220338
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLY PASS MACHINE PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
738 PM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON NOVEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG PACIFIC FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA
SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL END 7-9 AM PST AND THEN COLDER AIR WILL
MOVE IN DROPPING THE SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO THE BURN ELEVATION. SNOW
SHOWERS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BUT ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE
AN INCH OR LESS. THERE IS STILL A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY
NIGHT, BUT DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN ENDING THE CHANCES BY SUNDAY
MORNING. WE EXPECT MAINLY DRY WEATHER WITH A TREND TOWARD MILDER
CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN ENDING EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN COLDER
                    WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SNOW ACCUMULATION AN INCH OR LESS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES MAY DROP TO NEAR
                    FREEZING.
MIN HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................19 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH BECOMING WEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGH 45. NORTHWEST
WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING WEST.
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...ERIK BLANKENSHIP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141122.KELLY.01/MFR



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