Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 210447
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEN YOUNG 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
947 PM PDT SUN APR 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2010 PDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY MORNING AHEAD OF
THE NEXT COLD FRONT AND WILL BECOME QUITE GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN WILL ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT WITH SNOW LEVELS DROPPING TO AROUND
THE BURN ELEVATION BY TUESDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL
BE 0.10-0.20 OF AN INCH. STILL NOT EXPECTING MUCH SNOW
ACCUMULATION SINCE THE GROUND IS RELATIVELY WARM. BREEZY, MUCH
COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING
MORE SHOWERY. SHOWER CHANCES DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY. THE COOL,
WET AND BREEZY PATTERN WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR TWO.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WINDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH INCREASING TO 5-8 MPH BY
                    11AM-NOON, THEN 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10,000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25-30 MPH INCREASING TO 30-40 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN MAY
                    MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW AROUND DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10,000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 30-40 MPH.
CWR.................55 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY, BREEZY, MUCH COOLER. RAIN AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
CWR.................55 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...WINTER RIM ZONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140420.BENYO.02/MFR








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