Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 172346
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for North Pelican...USFS Klamath Ranger District
National Weather Service Medford OR
446 PM PDT Thu Aug 17 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 PDT on August 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...Dry and unstable Friday...
...Moderate to poor humidity recoveries Friday night...

.DISCUSSION...Weather will trend similar from Thursday to Friday under
an upper ridge. A weak upper trough will swing through from the west
on Saturday. Winds on Saturday will generally be similar to Friday,
but temperatures will lower and humidity will rise. General winds on Friday
and Saturday will align with the northerly upslope flow, and this should
result in gusty conditions over the fire. The very dry air mass will
result in a Haines Index of 5 for Friday, and as moisture increases
Saturday, the Haines will lower. Some buildups are possible on Saturday,
but the atmosphere will be too stable for showers or any thunderstorms
in the area. Looking further out, the fire environment dries out Sunday
and Monday after the upper trough passes.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of smoke.
Max temperature.....73 to 77.
Min humidity........18 to 24 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....North to northwest 0 to 2 mph early increasing to
northwest 2 to 4 mph with gusts to 7 mph in the
late afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........North to northwest 2 to 4 mph early increasing to
northwest 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the
late afternoon.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL early increasing to 4500 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....North 3 mph early increasing to northwest
10 mph late in afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.   LAL.................1.
Haines..............5 (Moderate).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear. Areas of smoke.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........35 to 45 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Downslope south 0 to 2 mph overnight.
WIND (20 FT)........Downslope south 3 to 5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.   LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly sunny with some afternoon
buildups possible. Areas of smoke.
Max temperature.....70 to 74.
Min humidity........25 to 31 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....North to northwest 0 to 2 mph early increasing to
northwest 2 to 4 mph with gusts to 7 mph in the
late afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........North to northwest 2 to 4 mph early increasing to
northwest 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the
late afternoon.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.   LAL.................1.
Haines..............4

$$
Forecaster...KEENE
Requested by...SCOFMP IMT3 Team
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714486.1/MFR



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