Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 311221
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WS03WEST...WEKIWA SPRINGS STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
821 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE AIR MASS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAINS QUITE
MOIST AND FAVORABLE FOR A HIGH COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS STARTING
LATE THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT DAYTIME SHOWERS
AND LIGHTNING STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS WEST FLORIDA BY MID MORNING
AND QUICKLY PUSH EAST-NORTHEAST OVER THE BURN AREA BY MIDDAY AND
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. STORMS OVER AND IN THE
VICINITY OF THE BURN MAY PRODUCE VARIABLE WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH.
OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION...LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME
BREEZY AT 10-15 MPH BY MIDDAY WITH VERY GOOD DISPERSIONS. SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS WITH SIMILAR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
 CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
                    15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 19 TO 21
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 INCREASING TO 61 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........54     54     80     80
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............82     84     86     86
RH..............79     74     70     68
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 12  SW 14  SW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 9 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 7 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........80     75     75     75     72     72
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............84     79     78     77     77     76
RH..............72     82     85     87     87     90
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 7   S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO
                    17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 INCREASING TO 57 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........64     75     75     81     87     87
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............77     78     81     83     85     82
RH..............90     88     82     74     70     77
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 7    S 12   SW 15  SW 17  SW 16
20 FT WIND GUST.              15     20     25     20

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...PAUL LAMMARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150731.WS03W.02/MLB



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