Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 292226
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for SR 44 and Damascus Road...FHP
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
626 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1900 EDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A high pressure ridge north of Florida will generate
a brisk southeast surface and transport flow across the area through
the weekend. These winds will push high temperatures into the upper
80s to mid 90s, resulting in high mixing heights that will lead to
very good to excellent dispersion across the area. While critical
relative humidity values are not expected to fall below 35 percent
for more than an hour or two tomorrow afternoon, the Fire Danger will
remain "high" to "very high" due to the high dispersion values. Other
than brief, isolated showers, conditions will remain dry through the
weekend.

Fog potential and other remarks...Surface and transport winds are
expected to remain strong enough to prevent fog formation through
the weekend.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......500-2400 ft AGL decreasing to 300-400 ft AGL
                    late in the night.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 24 mph becoming east 3 to 10
                    mph late in the night.
Dispersion index....36 decreasing to 8.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........25  40  40  40  40  40  40  63  63  63  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............82  80  78  77  75  75  75  74  74  73  72
RH..............55  67  71  76  82  82  84  87  87  87  90
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..13  10  9   7   6   6   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.15      10                          5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.22  22  23  24  24  22  20  15  10  6   3
Dispersion idx..39  32  25  18  11  11  10  10  8   6   4
LVORI...........2   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 15 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......800-2400 ft AGL increasing to 3100-4300 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 15 mph increasing to 22 to 24
                    mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....17 increasing to 61.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........63     61     61     61     60     60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............73     75     80     83     86     86
RH..............87     82     67     61     53     53
20 ft wind......E 3    SE 5   SE 13  SE 17  SE 16  SE 17
20 ft wind gust.5             15     25     20     25
Mix hgt (ft)....800    1800   3100   3900   4300   4000
Transport wind..SE 8   SE 22  SE 24  SE 23  SE 23  SE 23
Dispersion idx..13     29     46     63     64     61
LVORI...........6      6      2      1      1      1

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 16 mph decreasing to
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......1700-3300 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1300 ft AGL
                    late in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 28 mph decreasing to 5 to 13
                    mph after midnight.
Dispersion index....49 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........60     47     47     47     44     44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............83     79     76     74     73     72
RH..............59     67     76     82     85     89
20 ft wind......SE 17  SE 12  SE 10  SE 8   SE 6   SE 7
20 ft wind gust.25                   10
Mix hgt (ft)....3300   2400   1700   1000   300    300
Transport wind..SE 23  SE 26  SE 28  SE 20  SE 6   SE 5
Dispersion idx..52     37     31     13     4      3
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      5      6

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning. Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......600-2000 ft AGL increasing to 4400-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph increasing to 16 to 20 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 27 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 49 late in the morning increasing
                    to 55 in the late morning and early afternoon
                    decreasing to 48.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........44     52     52     52     67     67
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............72     73     80     85     87     87
RH..............89     86     67     56     51     51
20 ft wind......SE 7   SE 7   S 12   S 15   S 14   S 14
20 ft wind gust.                            15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1200   2700   4100   5300   4700
Transport wind..SE 10  S 17   S 20   S 18   S 16   S 16
Dispersion idx..7      27     59     51     51     48
LVORI...........5      4      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Johnson
Requested by...Sgt. R. J. Steele
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1708033.0/MLB
.EMAIL raymondsteele@flhsmv.gov


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