Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 201343
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Rx Fire London Creek...SFWMD
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
843 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on February 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will be the main weather influence today
and Tuesday. Fog likely to form overnight/early morning`s, potentially
locally dense near smoldering burns in the area. Any fog or low clouds
that develop should burn off/dissipate by mid-morning. Continued
unseasonably warm with light/variable overnight/morning winds, then
an easterly component developing through the day. Dispersion indices
around fair. No precipitation forecast until around mid-week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......300-500 ft AGL increasing to 3900-4500 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....44.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   8   8   14  14  14  14  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  76  78  80  83  82  79  76
RH..............69  56  50  45  42  43  47  52
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 3.9 3.9 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.3 4.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  9   9   9   8   8
Dispersion idx..22  33  42  44  42  39  41  41
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning, LOCALLY DENSE AROUND SMOLDERING
                    BURNS.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 4 to 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......300-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....38 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 8.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........14     31     36     36     45     50
Weather cov.....                                   PATCHY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............74     70     66     64     63     63
RH..............58     70     81     86     90     91
20 ft wind......E 8    E 7    E 6    NE 5   NE 3   NE 3
20 ft wind gust.10                          5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....4300   2400   1100   1100   600    300
Transport wind..E 8    E 7    E 5    E 5    E 3    E 3
Dispersion idx..38     14     2      2      2      2
LVORI...........1      3      5      6      7      7

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning, LOCALLY DENSE AROUND SMOLDERING
                    BURNS.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east-SOUTHEAST 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......300-600 ft AGL increasing to 3600-4200 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 12 to
                    16 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....52.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........50        46        46        56
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG       NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............60        69        78        80
RH..............97        73        52        45
20 FT wind......NE 3G5    E 6       E 8G10    E 9G10
Mix hgt (ft)....300       700       2600      4200
Transport wind..NE 3      E 9       E 16      E 13
Dispersion idx..2         8         42        52
LVORI...........8         3         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Sedlock
Requested by...A. Riddick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702480.0/MLB
.EMAIL ariddick@sfwmd.gov



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