Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 221349
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWATER STATE PARK...FLORIDA DEPT. OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
849 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
BUT CONDITIONS WILL NOT MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA. AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS
WILL RANGE FROM FAIR TO GENERALLY GOOD TODAY...WITH GENERALLY
FAIR CONDITIONS FORECAST FOR THURSDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH-NORTHEAST
                    7 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 45.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........14     14     14     14
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............66     74     78     80
RH................58     42     37     34
20 FT WIND DIR....NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE
20 FT WIND SPD....6      6      7      6
20 FT WIND GUST...13     13     14
MIX HGT (FT)......2100   2100   3800   3500
MIX HGT (M).......640    640    1160   1070
TRANSP WIND DIR...NE     NE     NNE    NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     10     13     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      6      4
DISPERSION........28     28     46     44
LVORI.............2      2      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....44 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........14     0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............69     60     55     52     50     47
RH................46     63     71     74     80     88
20 FT WIND DIR....NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE    NE     NE
20 FT WIND SPD....6      5      5      5      4      3
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......3500   1800   1000   1000   200    100
MIX HGT (M).......1070   550    300    300    60     30
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE    NE     NE
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     7      6      6      6      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      3      3      3      3      2
DISPERSION........44     3      3      3      3      2
LVORI.............1      3      3      3      4      6
STABILITY CLASS...B      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 700 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2800 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 2.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........0      10     10     10     11     11
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............45     46     61     70     74     75
RH................96     92     54     40     33     31
20 FT WIND DIR....NE     NNE    NE     NE     ENE    NE
20 FT WIND SPD....3      5      5      5      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......100    700    2200   2200   3200   2800
MIX HGT (M).......30     210    670    670    980    850
TRANSP WIND DIR...NE     NNE    NE     NE     ENE    NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      8      7      7      7      6
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      4      3      3      3      3
DISPERSION........2      8      19     19     27     20
LVORI.............6      5      2      2      2      2
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...12
REQUESTED BY...DARYL HATFIELD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141022.BLACK.01/MOB







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