Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 171252
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 420   421...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
752 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT AND ADVANCE EASTWARD...BRINGING HIGH RAIN
CHANCES TO MOST OF THE AREA FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG WITH VISIBILITIES 2-5
MILES IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-4100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 27 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 2.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........51     51     60     60
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............58     63     67     68
RH................67     58     53     52
20 FT WIND DIR....E      E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD....7      7      10     9
20 FT WIND GUST...14     14     18     17
MIX HGT (FT)......2100   2100   3900   4100
MIX HGT (M).......640    640    1190   1250
TRANSP WIND DIR...E      E      ESE    E
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     12     12     8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      5      5      4
DISPERSION........23     23     31     22
LVORI.............2      2      1      2
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      C
CWR...............0      0      10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST-NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO EAST-NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 DECREASING TO 8.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 4.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING E IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING D
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........60     76     76     76     100    100
WEATHER COV.......       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............67     64     59     58     58     57
RH................55     63     75     78     79     81
20 FT WIND DIR....E      E      E      E      E      ENE
20 FT WIND SPD....9      7      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...17     14     12     12
MIX HGT (FT)......4100   1000   400    400    500    600
MIX HGT (M).......1250   300    120    120    150    180
TRANSP WIND DIR...E      ENE    ENE    ENE    E      ENE
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      6      7      7      10     13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      3      3      3      4      6
DISPERSION........22     5      5      5      9      11
LVORI.............2      3      4      4      4      4
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      E      E      D      D
CWR...............10     30     30     30     60     60

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH-NORTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 28 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....D BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........100    83     83     83     68     68
WEATHER COV.......LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............56     58     64     67     69     69
RH................83     79     65     61     58     56
20 FT WIND DIR....ENE    ENE    NE     NE     NE     NNE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      6      8      8      9      8
20 FT WIND GUST...              15     15     16     15
MIX HGT (FT)......600    700    1800   1800   2900   3000
MIX HGT (M).......180    210    550    550    880    910
TRANSP WIND DIR...ENE    ENE    NE     NE     NE     NE
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     14     14     14     13     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      6      6      6      6      4
DISPERSION........11     15     25     25     30     25
LVORI.............4      4      2      2      2      2
STABILITY CLASS...D      C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............60     40     40     40     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...RYAN BARNETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.CHICK.01/MOB







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