National Weather Service Text Product Display

Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Versions: 1 2 3
000
FNUS74 KMOB 211223
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 453...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
723 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO EXTEND
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS WILL BE
GENERALLY GOOD. AN APPROACHING DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION WEDNESDAY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS WITH FAIR TO
GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSIONS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE THE
VISIBILITY TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION
EARLY THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND INLAND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-5800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 73 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 51 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........43     43     43     43
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............80     86     89     89
RH................66     53     47     44
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      6      7
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2200   2200   5600   5800
MIX HGT (M).......670    670    1710   1770
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      9      12     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      5      5
DISPERSION........26     26     73     51
LVORI.............2      2      1      1
CWR...............10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....51 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 9.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........43     46     46     46     48     48
WEATHER COV.......                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP..............87     81     73     70     68     67
RH................47     57     77     89     95     96
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....7      7      6      6      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST...       14
MIX HGT (FT)......5800   2400   1100   1100   500    600
MIX HGT (M).......1770   730    340    340    150    180
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     13     10     10     7      8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      6      4      4      3      4
DISPERSION........51     17     9      9      5      5
LVORI.............1      2      4      4      7      9
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 34 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........48     62     62     62     55     55
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............66     70     79     83     85     84
RH................99     89     67     57     53     53
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      SW     SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD....4      4      5      5      7      7
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......600    700    2200   2200   4600   4300
MIX HGT (M).......180    210    670    670    1400   1310
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      W      W      SW     NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      8      5      5      12     8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      2      2      5      4
DISPERSION........5      9      9      9      34     23
LVORI.............9      5      3      3      1      2
CWR...............10     30     30     30     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...DAVID BERENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130521.CHICK.01/MOB
National Weather Service National Headquarters
