Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 291306
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 400...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
806 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on March 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The southeast to south flow pattern will continue across the
region through Thursday. Generally good to good dispersions expected today.
Rain chances will increase significantly Thursday into Thursday night.

Fog Potential And Other Remarks...Areas of fog, dense in some locations,
possible over parts of the area early this morning and again tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1700-2900 ft AGL increasing to 3800-5000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...518-884 meters AGL increasing to 1158-1524
                    meters AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph increasing to 18 to 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second increasing to 8 to 9
                    meters/second late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....25 increasing to 81.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........56     45     37     32     26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............68     76     82     85     83
RH..............85     63     51     46     48
20 FT wind dir..SE     S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..6      7      8      8      8
20 FT wind gust.10     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   2900   4600   4900   5000
Mix hgt (m).....520    880    1400   1490   1520
Transp wind dir.SE     S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.9      13     16     18     18
Trans wind dir..SE     S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).4      6      7      8      8
Dispersion idx..21     49     71     80     81
LVORI...........4      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL decreasing to 1400-2800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1524 meters AGL decreasing to 427-853 meters
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 18 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 7 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....90 decreasing to 14.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........23     25     43     61     67     73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............80     74     68     65     65     65
RH..............53     65     81     92     93     94
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..7      7      7      7      7      6
20 FT wind gust.10     10     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....5000   1400   1400   1400   1400   1400
Mix hgt (m).....1520   430    430    430    430    430
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.18     17     17     17     17     17
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).8      8      8      8      8      8
Dispersion idx..90     12     16     15     15     12
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      5      6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0700, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1300, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1300-2500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...396-762 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 25 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 7 to 11 meters/second.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 53.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........79     80     79     77     78     83
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).10     50     50     50     60     60
LAL.............1      3      3      3      4      4
Temp............64     67     75     79     79     78
RH..............97     88     68     60     59     61
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..6      7      9      11     12     11
20 FT wind gust.10     10     15     15     20     15
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   1600   2300   2500   2500   2400
Mix hgt (m).....400    490    700    760    760    730
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.16     17     20     24     24     20
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).7      8      9      11     11     9
Dispersion idx..11     26     45     53     53     45
LVORI...........7      4      2      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705448.0/MOB
.EMAIL rbarnett@fs.fed.us



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