Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 231026
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BG-B2...BIG LAGOON STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
526 AM CDT THU JUN 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON JUNE 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BROAD HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL RESULT IN
GENERALLY LIGHT EARLY MORNING AND LATE NIGHT WINDS. AS THE COASTAL
SEABREEZE SETS UP NORTH OF THE BURN SITE TODAY AND AGAIN ON
FRIDAY...SOUTHERLY FLOW LOOKS TO PICKUP THROUGH THE DAY ALONG WITH SOME
OCCASIONAL HIGHER AFTERNOON GUSTS. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WEST WINDS BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. OCCASIONALLY
                    HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500-3700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT WINDS...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    10 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 46 IN LATE AFTERNOON. (GENERALLY GOOD).
LVORI...............DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........20     19     18     18     17
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............81     87     87     87     87
RH................67     57     57     59     59
20 FT WIND DIR....W      SSW    S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....4      7      9      10     9
20 FT WIND GUST...                            16
MIX HGT (FT)......3000   3500   3700   3300   3100
MIX HGT (M).......910    1070   1130   1010   940
TRANSP WIND DIR...NE     E      SSE    S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      8      10     10     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      4      4      4      5
DISPERSION........19     26     33     33     40
LVORI.............3      2      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      C      C
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
                    OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1500-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........14     13     14     14     14     14
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............85     83     80     79     78     76
RH................63     67     74     77     79     85
20 FT WIND DIR....SSW    SSW    SW     SW     WSW    W
20 FT WIND SPD....9      8      6      5      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST...16
MIX HGT (FT)......3100   1700   1700   1700   1600   1500
MIX HGT (M).......940    520    520    520    490    460
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSW    SSW    SW     SW     SW     WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     12     9      9      10     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      5      4      4      4      5
DISPERSION........46     7      6      6      6      6
LVORI.............1      3      3      4      4      5
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      F      F      F      F
CWR...............10     0      0      0      0      0

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WEST WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3200-3400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 44 IN LATE AFTERNOON. (GENERALLY GOOD).
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 2.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........13     14     16     17     18     21
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............75     78     82     86     88     89
RH................90     82     72     63     59     57
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      W      SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD....3      4      6      8      10     10
20 FT WIND GUST...                     15            17
MIX HGT (FT)......1600   2000   3000   3300   3200   2600
MIX HGT (M).......490    610    910    1010   980    790
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      WNW    WNW    W      SW     SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     10     8      9      12     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      4      4      4      5      5
DISPERSION........6      25     24     25     28     32
LVORI.............6      3      3      2      2      2
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      C      C
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...10
REQUESTED BY...CHEYANNE QUIGLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160623.BGB2_.01/MOB



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