Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 281318
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR THE PILE MAN BURN...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
818 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0825 CDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND WILL BRING A DRIER AIR MASS INTO
THE REGION OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. LOWEST AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S BOTH AFTERNOONS ACROSS THE BURN AREA.
A MODERATE MIXING HEIGHT NEAR 5000 FEET WILL RESULT IN GOOD TO GENERALLY
GOOD DISPERSION VALUES.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST-NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 82.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........15     15     48     48     48
WEATHER COV.......              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............76     84     90     91     89
RH................66     53     47     46     50
20 FT WIND DIR....N      ENE    SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD....2      4      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......300    2400   4600   4600   6700
MIX HGT (M).......90     730    1400   1400   2040
TRANSP WIND DIR...N      SE     ESE    ESE    SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...3      7      9      9      13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      3      4      4      6
DISPERSION........2      22     51     51     82
LVORI.............4      2      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      20     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-1400 FT
                    AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST
                    7 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....82 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 7.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING F UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING E EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........48     48     48     48     49     49
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............86     79     74     72     71     70
RH................57     75     87     92     96     99
20 FT WIND DIR....SE     SE     ESE    ESE    ESE    ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......6700   800    1000   1000   1200   1400
MIX HGT (M).......2040   240    300    300    370    430
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE     SE     ESE    ESE    ESE    ESE
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     7      7      7      8      8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      3      3      3      4      4
DISPERSION........82     5      5      5      6      7
LVORI.............1      3      5      5      6      7
STABILITY CLASS...B      F      F      F      F      E
CWR...............20     30     30     30     30     30

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 8
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 28 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 2.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........49     58     66     66     56     56
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............69     72     80     84     87     87
20 FT WIND DIR....ESE    E      ESE    ESE    ESE    ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......1400   1600   2500   2500   3300   4200
MIX HGT (M).......430    490    760    760    1010   1280
TRANSP WIND DIR...ESE    E      SSE    SSE    ESE    S
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      9      12     12     12     8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      5      5      5      4
DISPERSION........7      16     24     24     31     25
LVORI.............7      4      3      3      2      2
STABILITY CLASS...E      C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............30     40     40     40     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150828.THEPI.01/MOB



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