Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
FNUS74 KMOB 281251
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD 301A...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
751 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...VERY HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. STORM CHANCES INCREASE FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO
THE AREA FROM THE NORTH. MUCH DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH MID-LATE WEEK IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS
WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD TO GOOD BOTH TODAY AND TUESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE IN
ISOLATED LOCATIONS TONIGHT DUE TO THE MOIST GROUND AND RADIATIONAL
COOLING...BUT WITH THE MUCH LOWER DEWPOINTS ADVECTING INTO THE AREA
WIDESPREAD FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 14
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3700 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 20 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 57 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING C LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING D EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........42     51     51     51
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............91     91     91     89
RH................64     62     63     66
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD....11     14     14     11
20 FT WIND GUST...20     24     24     21
MIX HGT (FT)......4000   6900   6900   3700
MIX HGT (M).......1220   2100   2100   1130
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W      W      W
TRANSP WIND SPD...15     16     16     15
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      7      7      7
DISPERSION........58     56     56     39
LVORI.............1      1      1      3
STABILITY CLASS...C      D      D      C
CWR...............20     50     50     50

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 6
                    TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHNORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....39 DECREASING TO 8.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 5.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........51     54     54     54     40     40
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP..............88     84     80     77     74     72
RH................68     74     80     83     86     87
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      WNW    WNW    NW     NNW
20 FT WIND SPD....11     8      6      6      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST...21     15
MIX HGT (FT)......3700   600    600    600    500    500
MIX HGT (M).......1130   180    180    180    150    150
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W      WNW    WNW    NNW    N
TRANSP WIND SPD...15     13     12     12     12     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      6      5      5      5      5
DISPERSION........39     11     11     11     5      5
LVORI.............3      3      4      4      5      5
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      E      E      F      F
CWR...............50     40     40     40     10     10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 41 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 64 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........40     13     13     13     14     14
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............71     74     84     88     89     88
RH................90     78     53     44     42     43
20 FT WIND DIR....NNW    N      NNW    NNW    WNW    WNW
20 FT WIND SPD....4      4      5      5      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST...                            13
MIX HGT (FT)......500    500    3400   3400   6300   3500
MIX HGT (M).......150    150    1040   1040   1920   1070
TRANSP WIND DIR...N      N      NNW    NNW    NNW    NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     10     10     10     9      9
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      4      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........5      11     41     41     64     37
LVORI.............5      4      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............10     10     10     10     0      0

$$
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140728.JACKS.01/MOB







USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.