Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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204
FNUS74 KMOB 072254
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 1565...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
454 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1520 CST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST MONDAY...

...HIGH DISPERSION INDICES EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...THE DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA LATE
MONDAY MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE CONSIDERABLY FOLLOWING
FRONTAL PASSAGE. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE LOW AGAIN...CURRENTLY
LOOKING TO DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT...BUT COOLER TEMPERATURES SHOULD
FOLLOW FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE WINDY CONDITIONS AND EFFECTIVE MIXING WILL
GENERATE HIGH DISPERSION INDICES MONDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    4 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....F.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........1      1      2      2      6      12
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............51     45     43     42     40     39
RH................38     60     70     76     82     85
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     WSW    SSW    SW     WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      3      3      2      3      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......1300   1300   700    200    200    300
MIX HGT (M).......400    400    210    60     60     90
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W      SSW    SW     SW     WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...2      2      3      3      3      6
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      1      1      1      1      3
DISPERSION........1      1      2      2      2      3
LVORI.............3      3      3      5      5      6
STABILITY CLASS...F      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    18 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO AROUND 6100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 20 TO
                    30 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 100 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING D IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........15     18     21     24     29     34
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............39     44     51     55     51     49
RH................76     80     58     35     38     39
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      WNW    WNW    NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      9      14     19     20     19
20 FT WIND GUST...       17     20     27     29     28
MIX HGT (FT)......400    400    3200   6100   6100   3800
MIX HGT (M).......120    120    980    1860   1860   1160
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W      WNW    WNW    WNW    NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     10     22     31     31     30
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      10     14     14     13
DISPERSION........5      5      54     103    103    81
LVORI.............4      4      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      D      D      D      D
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...21
REQUESTED BY...BOBBY ISER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160207.DESOT.02/MOB



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