Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 252201
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR EGLIN F4...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
501 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1635 CDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE RIDGE STRETCHING WEST OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES WILL CREATE A GENERALLY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH FLOW IN THE MIXING
LAYER OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEK. PASSING UPPER SYSTEM WILL HELP
TO CREATE DAILY THUNDERSTORMS/SHOWER DEVELOPMENT THROUGH MID WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...OVERNIGHT PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT
POSSIBLE...WITH VISIBILITY RESTRICTED TO ONLY 5 MILES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS
                    AND SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AROUND 17 MPH DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 9.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 8.
STABILITY CLASS.....C EARLY BECOMING E.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........87     68     68     68     57     57
WEATHER COV.......LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............79     74     72     72     72     71
RH................79     92     99     99     100    100
20 FT WIND DIR....SSE    SSE    SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      6      6      6      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...12     13
MIX HGT (FT)......3600   2100   500    500    300    100
MIX HGT (M).......1100   640    150    150    90     30
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSE    SSE    SE     SE     SSE    SSE
TRANSP WIND SPD...17     14     14     14     12     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8      6      6      6      5      5
DISPERSION........46     18     11     11     9      9
LVORI.............1      4      5      5      8      8
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      E      E      E      E
CWR...............60     30     30     30     30     30

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 9
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 17 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 67.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........57     67     67     67     72     72
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............71     76     83     85     84     83
RH................100    87     70     65     66     70
20 FT WIND DIR....SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      6      8      8      10     8
20 FT WIND GUST...              16     16     18     16
MIX HGT (FT)......100    100    2600   2600   5100   5400
MIX HGT (M).......30     30     790    790    1550   1650
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE    S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     13     16     16     18     17
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      6      7      7      8      8
DISPERSION........9      0      45     45     57     67
LVORI.............8      6      1      1      1      3
STABILITY CLASS...E      C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............30     50     50     50     70     70

$$
FORECASTER...22
REQUESTED BY...LT  HARRISON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150525.EGLIN.01/MOB



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