Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 241508
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Vermillion Highlands WMA...MNDNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1008 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A storm system in the Dakotas will continue southerly winds today,
with gusty winds through the afternoon. The wind direction will remain
close to 170 to 190 degrees, or directly out of the south. Any
precipitation will occur after 3 pm, with better coverage north of
your spot area.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers early in
                    the afternoon. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Temperature.........61 at ignition...Max 68.
RH..................46 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 11 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2500-3500
                    ft AGL increasing to 4600-6300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 32 to 39 mph.
Mixing winds........South 32 to 39 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /70400 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /113000 knot-ft/ increasing to
                    excellent (214500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate at ignition...max 6.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............61  64  66  67  68  67  67  66
RH..............46  40  36  33  32  33  33  36
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..11  15  16  16  15  14  12  9
20 FT wind gust.25  30  30  30  30  30  25  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 3.5 4.6 4.8 5.1 5.3 5.8 6.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.32  37  39  39  37  36  38  39
Mixing wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Mixing wind spd.32  37  39  39  37  36  38  39
Haines index....5   5   5   5   6   6   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100070  113 155 163 162 165 192 215

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
                    after midnight. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Temperature.........Min 49.
RH..................Max 80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    after midnight.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL decreasing to 300-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 30 to 39 mph decreasing to 13 to 14 mph.
Mixing winds........South 30 to 39 mph decreasing to 13 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (231400 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    to fair (2800-13300 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............65     61     58     55     52     51
RH..............38     48     53     61     71     74
20 ft wind......S 8    S 7    S 8    S 8    S 7    S 6
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     20     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....6800   2700   600    500    300    300
Transport wind..S 39   S 30   S 23   S 23   S 18   S 14
Mixing wind.....S 39   S 30   S 23   S 23   S 18   S 14
Haines index....4      4      4      5      4      3
SDspl kt-ft/1000231    70     12     11     6      3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain late in
                    the morning. Rain in the afternoon. Chance of
                    rain 80 percent.
Temperature.........Max 61.
RH..................Min 60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming northeast
                    5 to 6 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-2000 ft AGL increasing to 2400-3300 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 12 mph shifting to the south 2 to 3
                    mph late in the morning, then shifting to the
                    east 6 to 15 mph in the afternoon increasing to
                    around 17 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing winds........West 3 to 12 mph shifting to the south 2 to 3
                    mph late in the morning, then shifting to the
                    east 6 to 15 mph in the afternoon increasing to
                    around 17 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2500-39600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............49     53     59     61     60     59
RH..............80     71     62     60     67     72
20 ft wind......SW 5   W 4    NW 4   NE 5   NE 6   NE 6
20 ft wind gust.       5      5                    10
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1400   2400   3200   3300   2800
Transport wind..SW 12  W 5    SW 2   SE 6   E 10   E 15
Mixing wind.....SW 12  W 5    SW 2   SE 6   E 10   E 15
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10003      6      5      16     30     37

$$
Forecaster...TAGGART
Requested by...Tim Pharis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707671.0/MPX
.EMAIL tim.pharis@state.mn.us


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