Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
FNUS73 KMQT 241002
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRIGGS RIVER NORTH...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
602 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION TODAY. THE DRY AIR MASS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH WILL RESULT
IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO 33 PERCENT TODAY AT THE BURN
SITE. WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY UNDER 10 MPH WITH LAKE BREEZES DEVELOPING
OFF LAKE MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE LAKE BREEZE
WILL PASS THROUGH THE SITE EARLY THIS EVENING...BRINGING WINDS OUT
OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AND INCREASED HUMIDITY. THE POTENTIAL OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE
BEST CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
ANOTHER PERIOD OF COOL WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE COOLEST WEATHER
SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 AT IGNITION...MAX 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (325) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (439).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2700-4100 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4900-6800 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. INCREASING TO
                    5700-7300 FT AGL LATE...THEN DECREASING TO 3700
                    FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........9      8      9      11     14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     73     76     77     74
RH..............47     39     35     33     42
GENERAL WIND....NW 7   NW 7   NW 6   W 6    SW 6
GENERAL GUST....13     13     12     12     12
VINDX KT-FT/100.325    390    410    427    221
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9   W 8    W 7    W 7    SW 7
MIX HGT (FT)....4100   5600   6800   7100   3700
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 96 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13
                    TO 27 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........15     18     21     24     25     27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     60     54     53     52     53
RH..............50     70     87     90     96     96
GENERAL WIND....SW 7   SW 7   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 7
GENERAL GUST....13     13     8      8      8      8
VINDX KT-FT/100.131    56     20     45     48     0
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8   SW 14  SW 18  SW 21  W 22   W 20
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   500    100    300    300    BLW100
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 TO 23 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (310) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1034) LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (342)
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-6600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6400-7100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    4600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........28     37     47     56     61     66
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     70     77     76     77     74
RH..............87     61     52     55     54     60
GENERAL WIND....SW 7   SW 7   SW 9   SW 10  SW 10  SW 10
GENERAL GUST....13     13     18     20     20     20
VINDX KT-FT/100.35     651    999    927    1034   690
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16   SW 16  SW 16  SW 16  SW 17  SW 17
MIX HGT (FT)....300    4700   7100   6600   6900   4600
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...TITUS
REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140724.DRIGG.01/MQT






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.