Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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000
FNUS75 KMSO 232039
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR COUGAR WR EMB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
239 PM MDT TUE SEP 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1440 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEATHER DISTURBANCE AND AREA OF MOISTURE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE BURN AREA INTO THIS EVENING.  ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED, MOST AREAS NEAR THE BURN SHOULD ONLY SEE A FEW
SPRINKLES OR TRACE OF RAIN.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
AREA LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.  AS THIS OCCURS, THE AIR MASS WILL
SIGNIFICANTLY WARM AND DRY.  IN ADDITION, SOME OF THE MODERATE
SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT SHOULD MIX DOWN TO THE BURN.   A COLD FRONT
SHOULD PUSH ACROSS THE UNIT MID TO LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
SUPPORT A WIND SHIFT, AS WELL AS MORE WINDS.

.REMAINDER TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65 UPPER PART TO 76 LOWER PART.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT LOWER PART AND 50-55 PERCENT UPPER
                    PART.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-7 MPH. GUSTY WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR EVENING SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-8 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOP
                    TO 5 MPH THIS EVENING.  EXCEPT SOUTH 5 MPH
                    UPPER PART.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING SOUTH 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY AND MUCH WARMER/DRIER.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-85 LOWER PART AND 72-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT LOWER PART AND 28-32 PERCENT
                    UPPER PART.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 20 MPH UPPER PART IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    WITHIN LOWER PART BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS PFISTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140923.COUGA.02/MSO


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