Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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000
FNUS71 KOKX 181654
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for DEC Fresh Ponds Central RX...NYS DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
1254 PM EDT Tue Apr 18 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 EDT on April 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A sea breeze has developed during the late morning and
as of this SPOT issuance, the sea breeze front is approaching the unit
from the south. Winds are expected to turn to the South (170 degrees)
by 2:00 PM.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the morning...becoming light and
                    variable...then becoming south around 8 mph
                    with gusts up to 20 mph early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL...increasing to 2700-4500 ft AGL early
                    in the morning...then increasing to 4100-5800
                    ft AGL in the late morning and
                    afternoon...decreasing to 2700 ft AGL late.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 22 mph...decreasing to 6 to 10 mph
                    late in the morning...then becoming east 2 to 9
                    mph in the afternoon...increasing to around 12
                    mph late.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   5   6   7   7   8   11  12  12  12  11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............49  49  51  53  54  55  54  54  55  56  55  57
RH..............58  54  48  43  46  41  37  35  34  34  35  36
20 FT wind dir..000 010 020 020 030 010 110 050 170 170 160 160
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   10  8   6   4   4   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.15  20  20  20  15  20  15  15  10  15  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 2.7 4.5 4.9 5.0 4.8 5.0 5.4 5.8 4.1 2.7
Transp wind dir.010 020 020 020 010 000 010 080 080 090 100 110
Transp wind spd.20  22  18  16  13  10  6   2   2   6   9   12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph early
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......1800-2800 ft AGL...decreasing to 300 ft AGL in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 21 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........12  13  13  16  21  24  29  38  43  44  47  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  51  48  45  43  41  40  40  40  39  38  38
RH..............40  52  58  68  73  79  82  79  79  79  82  82
20 FT wind dir..140 130 140 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   8   7   6   6   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 2.6 1.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.130 130 130 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 100 100
Transp wind spd.15  18  21  20  18  16  16  18  18  18  16  16

$$
Forecaster...TM
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1706961.0/OKX
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov



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