Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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475
FNUS73 KPAH 181318 AAA
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for AT 42...UPDATED
National Weather Service Paducah KY
818 AM CDT Wed Oct 18 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will keep us dry through early Saturday, and
southerly winds will cause a warming trend. Highs today will be in
the lower to middle 70s, with highs by Friday and Saturday in the
upper 70s to around 80 degrees. A cold front will move across the
region Sunday into Sunday night. Showers and some thunderstorms
can be expected along and ahead of the front, with chances
spreading across the area Saturday night and continuing through
Sunday night. Cooler conditions will return behind the front for
early next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 72.
RH..................70 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds south at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 600-2400 ft
                    AGL increasing to 2900-4200 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 0 to 9 mph increasing to 9 to 15 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  60  64  68  70  72  72  71  68
RH..............70  64  56  49  44  40  37  39  45
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.        10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.7 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.2 4.2 3.8 2.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.0   0   5   9   14  15  15  13  9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......600-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 0 to 3 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............64     57     53     51     49     46
RH..............52     69     80     83     83     93
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..5      3      3      3      3      2
20 FT wind gust.       5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   600    800    800    800    800
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.3      0      0      0      0      0
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 74.
RH..................Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......700-2200 ft AGL increasing to 2900-4000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 0 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............44     49     61     69     73     73
RH..............100    89     67     51     40     38
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      SW     SW     S
20 FT wind spd..3      3      5      6      6      5
20 FT wind gust.5      5             10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....700    1000   1600   2900   3800   3800
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      SW     SW     SW
Transp wind spd.0      0      0      5      8      7
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
Forecaster...BLANCHARD
Requested by...John Paul Hart
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717453.0/PAH
.EMAIL john.paul.f.hart.civ@mail.mil



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