Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FNUS73 KPAH 291222
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT B6-2...USFWS, CRAB ORCHARD NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
722 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON AUGUST 29.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING CHANCES OF WET WEATHER WILL ARRIVE AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. BUT LOOK FOR THE HEAT AND
HUMIDITY TO CONTINUE...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S AND LOWS IN THE
LOWER 70S JUST ABOUT EVERY DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........85 AT IGNITION...MAX 90.
RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100-8900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............85  86  88  89  89  89  88  87
RH..............63  60  55  53  52  52  53  55
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   5   5   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.0 6.8 7.5 8.1 8.6 8.8 8.9 8.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  14  14  14  15  16  17  20
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 72.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 51 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-8200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............86     80     77     75     74     73
RH..............57     69     76     82     84     87
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 4    S 3    S 3    S 3    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....8200   6200   3600   1400   700    800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 21   S 24   SW 28  SW 30  SW 30  SW 29
CWR.............0      0      0      50     50     50
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85.
RH..................MIN 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TEMP............73        80        83        84
RH..............87        72        70        67
20 FT WIND......S 4G5     SW 5G10   SW 5G10   S 6G10
MIX HGT (FT)....1300      3000      4400      3700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 26     SW 25     SW 25     SW 28
CWR.............60        60        60        60
HAINES INDEX....3         3         3         3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...DAVID JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140829.UNITB.01/PAH






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.