Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 232331
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER SPRAY...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
731 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
THE WIND WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON THURSDAY AND SHOULD GUST TO 25 MPH.
WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED, A DEEPER MIXED LAYER, AND LOWER
DEWPOINTS, AFTERNOON HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS AND
20S. THEREFORE, A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THURSDAY.

OVERVIEW FOR THE NEXT WEEK...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER
THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL BUILD SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS OUR REGION
THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN WEAKEN FRIDAY NIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ITS
ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY. MORE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ARRIVE FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. AN UNSETTLED
PATTERN WILL SET UP FOR NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............5   6   7   8   8   9   11  13
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47  50  53  55  57  57  57  57
RH..................32  27  24  22  20  20  19  20
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......20  20  20  18  18  18  20  18
20 FT WIND GUST.....30  30  30  30  25  25  25  20
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH...DIMINISHING TO
                    AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............14  16  16  21  31  36  39  42  43  45  48  52
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56  53  50  48  46  44  43  42  40  39  39  38
RH..................22  24  26  31  38  44  49  51  56  58  58  59
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......16  13  9   7   6   3   2   2   1   0   0   0
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  15  10  10      5   5   5
CWR.................0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............55  58  60  63  68  73  78  83  86  84  81  78
WEATHER COV.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................38  39  42  46  49  53  55  57  59  59  60  59
RH..................62  65  60  49  44  36  35  33  32  33  33  36
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......0   0   1   2   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....            5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CWR.................10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1


$$
FORECASTER...ROBERTSON
REQUESTED BY...MATT BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140424.SILVE.01/PHI




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