Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FNUS75 KPUB 241044
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
444 AM MDT THU APR 24 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN ACROSS BURN SITE TODAY IN THE WAKE
OF A QUICK MOVING DISTURBANCE THAT TRACKED ACROSS THE AREA YESTERDAY.
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY. AIR
MASS PRETTY DRY WITH MIN RHS DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT.

INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE DISTRICT ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM.  THIS WILL RESULT IN DRY...WINDY AND
WARMER WEATHER WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
DEPENDING ON WINDS AND FUELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 10
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 2000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 10-15
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE AT TIMES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...MATT NORDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140424.TRAIL.01/PUB



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